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Grizzlies at Knicks

NBA · Tuesday, Nov 11 · 6:30 PM CT · Madison Square Garden · Final MEM 120 – NY 133
← NBA / Nov 11, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
MEM30243927120
NY42353719133
Team box
MEM·NY
43-84
field goals
47-98
14-38
3-pointers
22-55
20-24
free throws
17-20
44
rebounds
44
36
assists
35
22
turnovers
15
50
points in paint
46
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jalen BrunsonNY3632510
Mikal BridgesNY382275
Karl-Anthony TownsNY3221134
Santi AldamaMEM301973
Jaren Jackson Jr.MEM301963
Jaylen WellsMEM291834

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NY +28
MEM +28
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: NY 28 · MEM 5lead changes: 5

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was MEM 33%, NY 67% · Updated Nov 11, 2025

Expected margin
NY by 6.5
Expected score
NY 118.4 – 111.9 MEM
Expected total
230.3
GrizzliesThe matchupKnicks
+202Our fair odds−202
111.9Expected points118.4
−0.00Power rating+0.45
113.7Points / game120.6
118.6Allowed / game111.9
43.6FG%45.7
33.83P%38.8
43.6Rebounds / game47.7
4−7Season record6−3
3−7Last 106−4
Brandon Clarke · Javon Small
Scotty Pippen Jr. · Ty Jerome
Zach EdeyOut—

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
MEM chance · NY chance
Our model fair33.1%66.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
MEMMemphis Grizzlies+20233%————
NYNew York Knicks−20267%————
SpreadNY by 6.5
MEMMemphis Grizzlies+6.5our margin————
NYNew York Knicks−6.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 230.3
Over230.3our total————
Under230.3our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 6.5 expected
Memphis Grizzlies by 49 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 48 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 47 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 46 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 45 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 44 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 43 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 42 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 41 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 40 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 39 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 38 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 37 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 36 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 35 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 34 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 33 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 32 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 31 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 30 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 29 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 28 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 27 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 26 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 25 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 24 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 23 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 22 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 21 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 20 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 19 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 18 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 17 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 16 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 15 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 14 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 13 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 12 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 11 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 10 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 9 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 8 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 7 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 6 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 5 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 4 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 3 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 2 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 3 points: 3%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 11 points: 3%New York Knicks by 12 points: 3%New York Knicks by 13 points: 3%New York Knicks by 14 points: 2%New York Knicks by 15 points: 2%New York Knicks by 16 points: 2%New York Knicks by 17 points: 2%New York Knicks by 18 points: 2%New York Knicks by 19 points: 2%New York Knicks by 20 points: 2%New York Knicks by 21 points: 2%New York Knicks by 22 points: 1%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 27 points: 1%New York Knicks by 28 points: 1%New York Knicks by 29 points: 1%New York Knicks by 30 points: 1%New York Knicks by 31 points: 1%New York Knicks by 32 points: 1%New York Knicks by 33 points: <1%New York Knicks by 34 points: <1%New York Knicks by 35 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%New York Knicks by 45 points: <1%New York Knicks by 46 points: <1%New York Knicks by 47 points: <1%New York Knicks by 48 points: <1%New York Knicks by 49 points: <1%
← MEM wins byNY wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more58%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more42%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more28%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

230.3 expected
180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 220.568%
Total over 230.549%
Total over 240.529%
Total from 221 to 24039%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Memphis Grizzlies
GKentavious Caldwell-Popestarted
GJa Morantstarted
FJaren Jackson Jr.started
FJaylen Wellsstarted
CJock Landalestarted
New York Knicks
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GLandry Shametstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
FOG Anunobystarted
CKarl-Anthony Townsstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
MEM·NY
Nov 9, 2025 vs OKC
last game
Nov 9, 2025 vs BKN
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
5th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 10, 5:00 PM ET
Memphis Grizzlies
MEMBrandon Clarke · right knee; surgery recoveryOut
MEMJavon Small · left toe; sorenessOut
MEMScotty Pippen Jr. · left great toe; surgery recoveryOut
MEMTy Jerome · right calf; strainOut
MEMZach Edey · left ankle; surgery recoveryOut
New York Knicks
NYMitchell Robinson · left ankle; left ankle injury managementQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 9+ games
MEM·NY
−0.00
rating (0 = average)
+0.45
113.7
points / game
120.6
118.6
points allowed / game
111.9
4−7
season record
6−3
3−5
home record
6−0
1−2
away record
0−3
L1
streak
W4
3−7
last 10
6−4
43.6
FG%
45.7
33.8
3P%
38.8
43.6
rebounds / game
47.7
27.5
assists / game
27.2
14.6
turnovers / game
14.0
46.2
points in paint / game
45.3

Rating Trend

MEM · NY · 15 days
Memphis GrizzliesNew York Knicks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · NY 4−4
Feb 28, 2025at MEMNY 114 − 113
Jan 27, 2025at NYNY 143 − 106
Feb 6, 2024at NYNY 123 − 113
Jan 13, 2024at MEMNY 106 − 94
Nov 27, 2022at NYMEM 127 − 123
Oct 19, 2022at MEMMEM 115 − 112
Mar 11, 2022at MEMMEM 118 − 114
Feb 2, 2022at NYMEM 120 − 108

MEM · Last 10

3−7 · streak L1
Nov 9, 2025vs OKC100 − 114L
Nov 7, 2025vs DAL118 − 104W
Nov 5, 2025vs HOU109 − 124L
Nov 3, 2025vs DET106 − 114L
Nov 2, 2025at TOR104 − 117L
Oct 31, 2025vs LAL112 − 117L
Oct 29, 2025at PHX114 − 113W
Oct 27, 2025at GS118 − 131L
Oct 25, 2025vs IND128 − 103W
Oct 24, 2025vs MIA114 − 146L

NY · Last 10

6−4 · streak W4
Nov 9, 2025vs BKN134 − 98W
Nov 5, 2025vs MIN137 − 114W
Nov 3, 2025vs WSH119 − 102W
Nov 2, 2025vs CHI128 − 116W
Oct 31, 2025at CHI125 − 135L
Oct 28, 2025at MIL111 − 121L
Oct 26, 2025at MIA107 − 115L
Oct 24, 2025vs BOS105 − 95W
Oct 22, 2025vs CLE119 − 111W
May 31, 2025at IND108 − 125L