bayesRatings

Nets at Magic

NBA · Friday, Nov 14 · 6:00 PM CT · Kia Center · Final BKN 98 – ORL 105
← NBA / Nov 14, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
BKN3622241698
ORL27272526105
Team box
BKN·ORL
38-89
field goals
36-78
10-39
3-pointers
15-39
12-16
free throws
18-21
34
rebounds
46
23
assists
21
7
turnovers
19
50
points in paint
38
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Franz WagnerORL372565
Michael Porter Jr.BKN3624117
Tristan da SilvaORL322291
Desmond BaneORL401952
Ziaire WilliamsBKN361510
Jalen SuggsORL281476

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
ORL +16
BKN +16
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: ORL 7 · BKN 16lead changes: 9

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BKN 24%, ORL 76% · Updated Nov 14, 2025

Expected margin
ORL by 10.8
Expected score
ORL 110.0 – 99.2 BKN
Expected total
209.2
NetsThe matchupMagic
+310Our fair odds−310
99.2Expected points110.0
−0.94Power rating−0.05
109.9Points / game116.6
124.9Allowed / game115.1
43.2FG%47.4
32.93P%32.8
38.8Rebounds / game45.6
1−10Season record6−6
1−9Last 105−5
Ben Saraf · Cam Thomas
Danny Wolf · Haywood Highsmith
Nolan TraoreOutColin Castleton · Moritz Wagner
Orlando Robinson · Paolo Banchero

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BKN chance · ORL chance
Our model fair24.4%75.6%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BKNBrooklyn Nets+31024%————
ORLOrlando Magic−31076%————
SpreadORL by 10.8
BKNBrooklyn Nets+10.8our margin————
ORLOrlando Magic−10.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 209.2
Over209.2our total————
Under209.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Orlando Magic by 10.8 expected
Brooklyn Nets by 52 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 51 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 50 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 49 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 48 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 47 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 46 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 45 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 44 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 43 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 2%Orlando Magic by 1 point: 2%Orlando Magic by 2 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 3 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 4 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 5 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 6 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 7 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 8 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 9 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 10 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 11 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 12 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 13 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 14 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 15 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 16 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 17 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 18 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 19 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 20 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 21 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 22 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 23 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 24 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 25 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 26 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 27 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 28 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 29 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 30 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 31 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 32 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 33 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 34 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 35 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 36 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 37 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 38 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 39 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 40 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 41 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 42 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 43 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 44 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 45 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 46 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 47 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 48 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 49 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 50 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 51 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 52 points: <1%
← BKN wins byORL wins by →
Orlando Magic wins by 5 or more68%
Orlando Magic wins by 10 or more53%
Orlando Magic wins by 15 or more38%
Within 5 points either way20%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

209.2 expected
170 points: <1%171 points: <1%172 points: <1%173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: 1%177 points: 1%178 points: 1%179 points: 1%180 points: 1%181 points: 1%182 points: 1%183 points: 1%184 points: 1%185 points: 1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 2%194 points: 2%195 points: 2%196 points: 2%197 points: 2%198 points: 2%199 points: 2%200 points: 2%201 points: 2%202 points: 2%203 points: 2%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 1%225 points: 1%226 points: 1%227 points: 1%228 points: 1%229 points: 1%230 points: 1%231 points: 1%232 points: 1%233 points: 1%234 points: 1%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: <1%242 points: <1%243 points: <1%244 points: <1%245 points: <1%246 points: <1%247 points: <1%248 points: <1%249 points: <1%250 points: <1%251 points: <1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 199.569%
Total over 209.549%
Total over 219.528%
Total from 200 to 21941%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Brooklyn Nets
GTerance Mannstarted
GEgor Deminstarted
FMichael Porter Jr.started
FNoah Clowneystarted
CNic Claxtonstarted
Orlando Magic
GDesmond Banestarted
GJalen Suggsstarted
FFranz Wagnerstarted
FTristan da Silvastarted
CWendell Carter Jr.started

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BKN·ORL
Nov 11, 2025 vs TOR
last game
Nov 12, 2025 at NY
2 days
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 14, 5:00 PM ET
Brooklyn Nets
BKNBen Saraf · g league - on assignmentOut
BKNCam Thomas · left hamstring; strainOut
BKNDanny Wolf · g league - on assignmentOut
BKNHaywood Highsmith · right knee; surgery, injury recoveryOut
BKNNolan Traore · g league - on assignmentOut
Orlando Magic
ORLColin Castleton · g league - two-wayOut
ORLMoritz Wagner · left knee; injury recoveryOut
ORLOrlando Robinson · g league - two-wayOut
ORLPaolo Banchero · left groin; strainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 11+ games
BKN·ORL
−0.94
rating (0 = average)
−0.05
109.9
points / game
116.6
124.9
points allowed / game
115.1
1−10
season record
6−6
0−6
home record
3−3
1−4
away record
3−3
L3
streak
W2
1−9
last 10
5−5
43.2
FG%
47.4
32.9
3P%
32.8
38.8
rebounds / game
45.6
24.1
assists / game
24.7
16.0
turnovers / game
16.3
40.7
points in paint / game
52.3

Rating Trend

BKN · ORL · 18 days
Brooklyn NetsOrlando Magic
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · ORL 7−3
Dec 29, 2024at ORLORL 102 − 101
Dec 1, 2024at BKNORL 100 − 92
Nov 29, 2024at BKNORL 123 − 100
Oct 25, 2024at ORLORL 116 − 101
Mar 13, 2024at ORLORL 114 − 106
Feb 27, 2024at ORLORL 108 − 81
Dec 2, 2023at BKNBKN 129 − 101
Nov 14, 2023at BKNBKN 124 − 104
Apr 7, 2023at BKNBKN 101 − 84
Mar 26, 2023at ORLORL 119 − 106

BKN · Last 10

1−9 · streak L3
Nov 11, 2025vs TOR109 − 119L
Nov 9, 2025at NY98 − 134L
Nov 7, 2025vs DET107 − 125L
Nov 5, 2025at IND112 − 103W
Nov 3, 2025vs MIN109 − 125L
Nov 2, 2025vs PHI105 − 129L
Oct 29, 2025vs ATL112 − 117L
Oct 27, 2025at HOU109 − 137L
Oct 26, 2025at SA107 − 118L
Oct 24, 2025vs CLE124 − 131L

ORL · Last 10

5−5 · streak W2
Nov 12, 2025at NY124 − 107W
Nov 10, 2025vs POR115 − 112W
Nov 9, 2025vs BOS107 − 111L
Nov 7, 2025vs BOS123 − 110W
Nov 4, 2025at ATL112 − 127L
Nov 1, 2025at WSH125 − 94W
Oct 30, 2025at CHA123 − 107W
Oct 29, 2025at DET116 − 135L
Oct 27, 2025at PHI124 − 136L
Oct 25, 2025vs CHI98 − 110L