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Trail Blazers at Magic

NBA · Monday, Nov 10 · 6:00 PM CT · Kia Center · Final POR 112 – ORL 115
← NBA / Nov 10, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
POR24322036112
ORL26332828115
Team box
POR·ORL
40-90
field goals
39-87
13-36
3-pointers
8-30
19-26
free throws
29-34
38
rebounds
50
22
assists
26
10
turnovers
13
48
points in paint
46
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Shaedon SharpePOR293131
Paolo BancheroORL352893
Deni AvdijaPOR352755
Desmond BaneORL332237
Franz WagnerORL361996
Wendell Carter Jr.ORL301995

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
ORL +14
POR +14
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: ORL 14 · POR 7lead changes: 7

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was POR 41%, ORL 59% · Updated Nov 10, 2025

Expected margin
ORL by 3.6
Expected score
ORL 108.1 – 104.5 POR
Expected total
212.7
Trail BlazersThe matchupMagic
+142Our fair odds−142
104.5Expected points108.1
−0.19Power rating−0.07
121.6Points / game116.0
119.8Allowed / game116.2
44.7FG%47.5
33.03P%33.1
43.8Rebounds / game44.8
5−4Season record4−6
6−4Last 104−6
Blake Wesley · Damian Lillard
Javonte Cooke · Matisse Thybulle
Scoot HendersonOutColin Castleton · Jalen Suggs
Moritz Wagner · Orlando Robinson

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
POR chance · ORL chance
Our model fair41.4%58.6%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PORPortland Trail Blazers+14241%————
ORLOrlando Magic−14259%————
SpreadORL by 3.6
PORPortland Trail Blazers+3.6our margin————
ORLOrlando Magic−3.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 212.7
Over212.7our total————
Under212.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Orlando Magic by 3.6 expected
Portland Trail Blazers by 45 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 44 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 43 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 42 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2%Orlando Magic by 1 point: 2%Orlando Magic by 2 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 3 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 4 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 5 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 6 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 7 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 8 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 9 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 10 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 11 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 12 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 13 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 14 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 15 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 16 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 17 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 18 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 19 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 20 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 21 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 22 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 23 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 24 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 25 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 26 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 27 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 28 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 29 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 30 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 31 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 32 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 33 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 34 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 35 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 36 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 37 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 38 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 39 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 40 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 41 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 42 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 43 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 44 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 45 points: <1%
← POR wins byORL wins by →
Orlando Magic wins by 5 or more50%
Orlando Magic wins by 10 or more35%
Orlando Magic wins by 15 or more22%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

212.7 expected
170 points: <1%171 points: <1%172 points: <1%173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: 1%181 points: 1%182 points: 1%183 points: 1%184 points: 1%185 points: 1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 2%198 points: 2%199 points: 2%200 points: 2%201 points: 2%202 points: 2%203 points: 2%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 1%230 points: 1%231 points: 1%232 points: 1%233 points: 1%234 points: 1%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: <1%245 points: <1%246 points: <1%247 points: <1%248 points: <1%249 points: <1%250 points: <1%251 points: <1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 202.570%
Total over 212.550%
Total over 222.530%
Total from 203 to 22240%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Portland Trail Blazers
GJrue Holidaystarted
GShaedon Sharpestarted
FToumani Camarastarted
FDeni Avdijastarted
CDonovan Clinganstarted
Orlando Magic
GDesmond Banestarted
GAnthony Blackstarted
FPaolo Bancherostarted
FFranz Wagnerstarted
CWendell Carter Jr.started

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
POR·ORL
Nov 8, 2025 at MIA
last game
Nov 9, 2025 vs BOS
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 10, 5:00 PM ET
Portland Trail Blazers
PORBlake Wesley · tear right foot; fractureOut
PORDamian Lillard · left achilles tendon; injury managementOut
PORJavonte Cooke · g league - two-wayOut
PORMatisse Thybulle · left thumb; ligamentOut
PORScoot Henderson · left hamstring; tearOut
Orlando Magic
ORLColin Castleton · g league - two-wayOut
ORLJalen Suggs · left knee; injury managementOut
ORLMoritz Wagner · left knee; injury recoveryOut
ORLOrlando Robinson · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 9+ games
POR·ORL
−0.19
rating (0 = average)
−0.07
121.6
points / game
116.0
119.8
points allowed / game
116.2
5−4
season record
4−6
3−2
home record
2−3
2−2
away record
2−3
L1
streak
L1
6−4
last 10
4−6
44.7
FG%
47.5
33.0
3P%
33.1
43.8
rebounds / game
44.8
26.6
assists / game
24.1
17.4
turnovers / game
16.8
52.9
points in paint / game
53.2

Rating Trend

POR · ORL · 14 days
Portland Trail BlazersOrlando Magic
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · ORL 4−4
Jan 30, 2025at PORPOR 119 − 90
Jan 23, 2025at ORLPOR 101 − 79
Apr 1, 2024at ORLORL 104 − 103
Oct 27, 2023at PORORL 102 − 97
Mar 5, 2023at ORLPOR 122 − 119
Jan 10, 2023at PORORL 109 − 106
Feb 8, 2022at PORORL 113 − 95
Jan 17, 2022at ORLPOR 98 − 88

POR · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Nov 8, 2025at MIA131 − 136L
Nov 5, 2025vs OKC121 − 119W
Nov 3, 2025vs LAL115 − 123L
Oct 31, 2025vs DEN109 − 107W
Oct 29, 2025at UTAH136 − 134W
Oct 27, 2025at LAL122 − 108W
Oct 26, 2025at LAC107 − 114L
Oct 24, 2025vs GS139 − 119W
Oct 22, 2025vs MIN114 − 118L
Apr 13, 2025vs LAL109 − 81W

ORL · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Nov 9, 2025vs BOS107 − 111L
Nov 7, 2025vs BOS123 − 110W
Nov 4, 2025at ATL112 − 127L
Nov 1, 2025at WSH125 − 94W
Oct 30, 2025at CHA123 − 107W
Oct 29, 2025at DET116 − 135L
Oct 27, 2025at PHI124 − 136L
Oct 25, 2025vs CHI98 − 110L
Oct 24, 2025vs ATL107 − 111L
Oct 22, 2025vs MIA125 − 121W