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Lakers at Trail Blazers

NBA · Monday, Nov 3 · 9:00 PM CT · Moda Center · Final LAL 123 – POR 115
← NBA / Nov 3, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
LAL24283833123
POR33203329115
Team box
LAL·POR
50-85
field goals
42-85
9-23
3-pointers
9-40
14-16
free throws
22-30
34
rebounds
38
29
assists
23
17
turnovers
18
64
points in paint
64
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Deni AvdijaPOR363362
Deandre AytonLAL3129102
Rui HachimuraLAL382841
Nick Smith Jr.LAL272516
Shaedon SharpePOR282372
Jerami GrantPOR311834

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
POR +14
LAL +14
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: POR 13 · LAL 14lead changes: 2

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAL 55%, POR 45% · Updated Nov 3, 2025

Expected margin
LAL by 1.9
Expected score
LAL 113.2 – 111.3 POR
Expected total
224.6
LakersThe matchupTrail Blazers
−122Our fair odds+122
113.2Expected points111.3
+0.22Power rating−0.22
119.3Points / game121.2
116.9Allowed / game116.7
52.3FG%44.5
32.33P%34.0
41.0Rebounds / game41.7
5−2Season record4−2
5−5Last 106−4
Adou Thiero · Austin Reaves
Gabe Vincent · LeBron James
Luka DoncicOutBlake Wesley · Damian Lillard
Matisse Thybulle · Scoot Henderson

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAL chance · POR chance
Our model fair55.0%45.0%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LALLos Angeles Lakers−12255%————
PORPortland Trail Blazers+12245%————
SpreadLAL by 1.9
LALLos Angeles Lakers−1.9our margin————
PORPortland Trail Blazers+1.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 224.6
Over224.6our total————
Under224.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Los Angeles Lakers by 1.9 expected
Los Angeles Lakers by 42 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 41 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 40 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 39 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 38 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 37 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 36 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 35 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 34 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 33 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 32 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 31 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 30 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 29 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 28 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 27 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 26 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 25 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 24 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 23 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 22 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 21 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 20 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 19 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 18 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 17 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 16 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 15 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 14 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 13 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 12 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 11 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 10 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 9 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 8 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 7 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 6 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 5 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 4 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 3 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 2 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 1 point: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 42 points: <1%
← LAL wins byPOR wins by →
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 5 or more45%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 10 or more31%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 15 or more19%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

224.6 expected
176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 214.569%
Total over 224.550%
Total over 234.530%
Total from 215 to 23439%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Los Angeles Lakers
GMarcus Smartstarted
FRui Hachimurastarted
FJake LaRaviastarted
FDalton Knechtstarted
CDeandre Aytonstarted
Portland Trail Blazers
GJrue Holidaystarted
GShaedon Sharpestarted
FToumani Camarastarted
FDeni Avdijastarted
CDonovan Clinganstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAL·POR
Nov 2, 2025 vs MIA
last game
Oct 31, 2025 vs DEN
0 days
days of rest
2 days
yes
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 3, 5:00 PM ET
Los Angeles Lakers
LALAdou Thiero · left knee; surgery recoveryOut
LALAustin Reaves · right groin; sorenessOut
LALGabe Vincent · left ankle; sprainOut
LALLeBron James · right sciatica; -Out
LALLuka Doncic · lower left leg; contusion injury managementOut
LALDeandre Ayton · back; spasmsQuestionable
LALMaxi Kleber · abdominal muscle; strainQuestionable
Portland Trail Blazers
PORBlake Wesley · right foot; fractureOut
PORDamian Lillard · left achilles tendon; injury managementOut
PORMatisse Thybulle · left thumb; ligament tearOut
PORScoot Henderson · left hamstring; tearOut
PORShaedon Sharpe · left calf; sorenessProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 6+ games
LAL·POR
+0.22
rating (0 = average)
−0.22
119.3
points / game
121.2
116.9
points allowed / game
116.7
5−2
season record
4−2
2−2
home record
2−1
3−0
away record
2−1
W3
streak
W3
5−5
last 10
6−4
52.3
FG%
44.5
32.3
3P%
34.0
41.0
rebounds / game
41.7
27.0
assists / game
27.2
17.1
turnovers / game
16.8
55.7
points in paint / game
52.0

Rating Trend

LAL · POR · 7 days
Los Angeles LakersPortland Trail Blazers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · POR 3−7
Oct 27, 2025at LALPOR 122 − 108
Apr 13, 2025at PORPOR 109 − 81
Feb 20, 2025at PORLAL 110 − 102
Jan 2, 2025at LALLAL 114 − 106
Dec 8, 2024at LALLAL 107 − 98
Jan 21, 2024at LALLAL 134 − 110
Nov 17, 2023at PORLAL 107 − 95
Nov 12, 2023at LALLAL 116 − 110
Feb 13, 2023at PORPOR 127 − 115
Jan 22, 2023at PORLAL 121 − 112

LAL · Last 10

5−5 · streak W3
Nov 2, 2025vs MIA130 − 120W
Oct 31, 2025at MEM117 − 112W
Oct 29, 2025at MIN116 − 115W
Oct 27, 2025vs POR108 − 122L
Oct 26, 2025at SAC127 − 120W
Oct 24, 2025vs MIN128 − 110W
Oct 21, 2025vs GS109 − 119L
Apr 30, 2025vs MIN96 − 103L
Apr 27, 2025at MIN113 − 116L
Apr 25, 2025at MIN104 − 116L

POR · Last 10

6−4 · streak W3
Oct 31, 2025vs DEN109 − 107W
Oct 29, 2025at UTAH136 − 134W
Oct 27, 2025at LAL122 − 108W
Oct 26, 2025at LAC107 − 114L
Oct 24, 2025vs GS139 − 119W
Oct 22, 2025vs MIN114 − 118L
Apr 13, 2025vs LAL109 − 81W
Apr 11, 2025vs GS86 − 103L
Apr 9, 2025at UTAH126 − 133L
Apr 6, 2025vs SA120 − 109W