bayesRatings

Nets at Celtics

NBA · Friday, Nov 21 · 6:30 PM CT · TD Garden · Final BKN 113 – BOS 105

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
BKN22403021113
BOS28252428105
Team box
BKN·BOS
43-82
field goals
42-90
13-33
3-pointers
11-34
14-21
free throws
10-14
41
rebounds
44
31
assists
24
14
turnovers
13
44
points in paint
52
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Michael Porter Jr.BKN373382
Jaylen BrownBOS322684
Anfernee SimonsBOS332334
Noah ClowneyBKN371930
Nic ClaxtonBKN35181112
Neemias QuetaBOS2916123

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BOS +18
BKN +18
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: BOS 6 · BKN 18lead changes: 5

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BKN 13%, BOS 87% · Updated Nov 21, 2025

Expected margin
BOS by 17.5
Expected score
BOS 116.2 – 98.7 BKN
Expected total
214.8
NetsThe matchupCeltics
+679Our fair odds−679
98.7Expected points116.2
−0.92Power rating+0.77
109.6Points / game113.7
121.3Allowed / game108.5
43.6FG%45.3
33.33P%34.9
38.9Rebounds / game45.0
2−12Season record8−7
2−8Last 106−4
Ben Saraf · Cam Thomas
Danny Wolf · Haywood Highsmith
Nolan Traore
OutAmari Williams · Jayson Tatum
Max Shulga · Ron Harper Jr.

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BKN chance · BOS chance
Our model fair12.8%87.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BKNBrooklyn Nets+67913%————
BOSBoston Celtics−67987%————
SpreadBOS by 17.5
BKNBrooklyn Nets+17.5our margin————
BOSBoston Celtics−17.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 214.8
Over214.8our total————
Under214.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Boston Celtics by 17.5 expected
Brooklyn Nets by 53 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 52 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 51 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 50 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 49 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 48 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 47 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 46 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 45 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 44 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 43 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 1%Boston Celtics by 1 point: 1%Boston Celtics by 2 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 3 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 4 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 5 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 6 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 7 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 8 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 9 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 10 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 11 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 12 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 13 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 14 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 15 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 16 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 17 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 18 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 19 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 20 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 21 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 22 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 23 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 24 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 25 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 26 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 27 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 28 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 29 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 30 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 31 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 32 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 33 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 34 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 35 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 36 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 37 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 38 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 39 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 40 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 41 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 42 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 43 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 44 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 45 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 46 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 47 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 48 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 49 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 50 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 51 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 52 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 53 points: <1%
← BKN wins byBOS wins by →
Boston Celtics wins by 5 or more84%
Boston Celtics wins by 10 or more73%
Boston Celtics wins by 15 or more58%
Within 5 points either way13%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

214.8 expected
171 points: <1%172 points: <1%173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: 1%183 points: 1%184 points: 1%185 points: 1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 2%201 points: 2%202 points: 2%203 points: 2%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 1%232 points: 1%233 points: 1%234 points: 1%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: <1%248 points: <1%249 points: <1%250 points: <1%251 points: <1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 204.570%
Total over 214.550%
Total over 224.530%
Total from 205 to 22440%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Brooklyn Nets
GTerance Mannstarted
GEgor Deminstarted
FNoah Clowneystarted
CNic Claxtonstarted
Boston Celtics
GJaylen Brownstarted
GJordan Walshstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BKN·BOS
Nov 18, 2025 vs BOS
last game
Nov 18, 2025 at BKN
2 days
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
2
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 20, 5:00 PM ET
Brooklyn Nets
BKNBen Saraf · left ankle; sprainOut
BKNCam Thomas · left hamstring; strainOut
BKNDanny Wolf · g league - on assignmentOut
BKNHaywood Highsmith · right knee; surgery, injury recoveryOut
BKNNolan Traore · g league - on assignmentOut
Boston Celtics
BOSAmari Williams · g league - two-wayOut
BOSJayson Tatum · right achilles; repairOut
BOSMax Shulga · g league - two-wayOut
BOSRon Harper Jr. · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 14+ games
BKN·BOS
−0.92
rating (0 = average)
+0.77
109.6
points / game
113.7
121.3
points allowed / game
108.5
2−12
season record
8−7
0−7
home record
4−3
2−5
away record
4−4
L1
streak
W3
2−8
last 10
6−4
43.6
FG%
45.3
33.3
3P%
34.9
38.9
rebounds / game
45.0
24.6
assists / game
24.3
15.1
turnovers / game
11.5
41.3
points in paint / game
41.1

Rating Trend

BKN · BOS · 25 days
Brooklyn NetsBoston Celtics
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · BOS 9−1
Nov 18, 2025at BKNBOS 113 − 99
Mar 18, 2025at BOSBOS 104 − 96
Mar 15, 2025at BKNBOS 115 − 113
Nov 13, 2024at BKNBOS 139 − 114
Nov 8, 2024at BOSBOS 108 − 104
Feb 14, 2024at BOSBOS 136 − 86
Feb 13, 2024at BKNBOS 118 − 110
Nov 10, 2023at BOSBOS 121 − 107
Nov 4, 2023at BKNBOS 124 − 114
Mar 3, 2023at BOSBKN 115 − 105

BKN · Last 10

2−8 · streak L1
Nov 18, 2025vs BOS99 − 113L
Nov 16, 2025at WSH129 − 106W
Nov 14, 2025at ORL98 − 105L
Nov 11, 2025vs TOR109 − 119L
Nov 9, 2025at NY98 − 134L
Nov 7, 2025vs DET107 − 125L
Nov 5, 2025at IND112 − 103W
Nov 3, 2025vs MIN109 − 125L
Nov 2, 2025vs PHI105 − 129L
Oct 29, 2025vs ATL112 − 117L

BOS · Last 10

6−4 · streak W3
Nov 18, 2025at BKN113 − 99W
Nov 16, 2025vs LAC121 − 118W
Nov 12, 2025vs MEM131 − 95W
Nov 11, 2025at PHI100 − 102L
Nov 9, 2025at ORL111 − 107W
Nov 7, 2025at ORL110 − 123L
Nov 5, 2025vs WSH136 − 107W
Nov 3, 2025vs UTAH103 − 105L
Nov 1, 2025vs HOU101 − 128L
Oct 31, 2025at PHI109 − 108W