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Celtics at Cavaliers

NBA · Sunday, Nov 30 · 5:00 PM CT · Rocket Arena · Final BOS 117 – CLE 115
← NBA / Nov 30, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
BOS28303227117
CLE26252836115
Team box
BOS·CLE
40-81
field goals
43-94
14-40
3-pointers
20-52
23-29
free throws
9-13
46
rebounds
43
19
assists
28
19
turnovers
14
42
points in paint
42
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Payton PritchardBOS314233
Evan MobleyCLE3927144
Darius GarlandCLE312138
Jaylen BrownBOS38191211
Donovan MitchellCLE391878
Anfernee SimonsBOS271812

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CLE +21
BOS +21
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CLE 5 · BOS 21lead changes: 6

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BOS 45%, CLE 55% · Updated Nov 30, 2025

Expected margin
CLE by 2.6
Expected score
CLE 113.6 – 111.0 BOS
Expected total
224.6
CelticsThe matchupCavaliers
+120Our fair odds−120
111.0Expected points113.6
+0.75Power rating+0.69
114.8Points / game119.0
110.7Allowed / game115.5
46.2FG%46.2
35.93P%35.2
44.4Rebounds / game43.8
10−9Season record12−8
6−4Last 105−5
Derrick White · Jayson Tatum
Neemias QuetaOutChris Livingston · Jarrett Allen
Larry Nance Jr. · Lonzo Ball
Max Strus

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BOS chance · CLE chance
Our model fair45.4%54.6%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BOSBoston Celtics+12045%————
CLECleveland Cavaliers−12055%————
SpreadCLE by 2.6
BOSBoston Celtics+2.6our margin————
CLECleveland Cavaliers−2.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 224.6
Over224.6our total————
Under224.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cleveland Cavaliers by 2.6 expected
Boston Celtics by 44 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 43 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 42 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 41 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 40 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 39 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 38 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 37 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 36 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 35 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 34 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 33 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 32 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 31 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 30 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 29 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 28 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 27 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 26 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 25 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 24 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 23 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 22 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 21 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 20 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 19 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 18 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 17 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 16 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 15 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 14 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 13 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 12 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 11 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 10 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 9 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 8 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 7 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 6 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 5 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 4 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 3 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 2 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 1 point: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 42 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 43 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 44 points: <1%
← BOS wins byCLE wins by →
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 5 or more47%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 10 or more33%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 15 or more20%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

224.6 expected
176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 214.569%
Total over 224.550%
Total over 234.530%
Total from 215 to 23439%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Boston Celtics
GJaylen Brownstarted
GPayton Pritchardstarted
GJordan Walshstarted
FSam Hauserstarted
FXavier Tillmanstarted
Cleveland Cavaliers
GDonovan Mitchellstarted
GDarius Garlandstarted
GJaylon Tysonstarted
FDe'Andre Hunterstarted
CEvan Mobleystarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BOS·CLE
Nov 29, 2025 at MIN
last game
Nov 28, 2025 at ATL
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 30, 5:00 PM ET
Boston Celtics
BOSDerrick White · right calf; contusionOut
BOSJayson Tatum · right achilles; repairOut
BOSNeemias Queta · left ankle; sprain injury managementOut
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLEChris Livingston · g league - two-wayOut
CLEJarrett Allen · right 3rd finger; strainOut
CLELarry Nance Jr. · right calf; strainOut
CLELonzo Ball · rest - left knee injury managementOut
CLEMax Strus · left foot; surgery - jones fractureOut
CLESam Merrill · right hand; sprainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 19+ games
BOS·CLE
+0.75
rating (0 = average)
+0.69
114.8
points / game
119.0
110.7
points allowed / game
115.5
10−9
season record
12−8
6−4
home record
8−3
4−5
away record
4−5
L1
streak
L2
6−4
last 10
5−5
46.2
FG%
46.2
35.9
3P%
35.2
44.4
rebounds / game
43.8
24.5
assists / game
27.2
11.3
turnovers / game
14.6
42.3
points in paint / game
46.0

Rating Trend

BOS · CLE · 33 days
Boston CelticsCleveland Cavaliers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CLE 3−7
Oct 29, 2025at BOSBOS 125 − 105
Feb 28, 2025at BOSCLE 123 − 116
Feb 4, 2025at CLEBOS 112 − 105
Dec 1, 2024at CLECLE 115 − 111
Nov 19, 2024at BOSBOS 120 − 117
May 15, 2024at BOSBOS 113 − 98post
May 13, 2024at CLEBOS 109 − 102post
May 11, 2024at CLEBOS 106 − 93post
May 9, 2024at BOSCLE 118 − 94post
May 7, 2024at BOSBOS 120 − 95post

BOS · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Nov 29, 2025at MIN115 − 119L
Nov 26, 2025vs DET117 − 114W
Nov 23, 2025vs ORL138 − 129W
Nov 21, 2025vs BKN105 − 113L
Nov 18, 2025at BKN113 − 99W
Nov 16, 2025vs LAC121 − 118W
Nov 12, 2025vs MEM131 − 95W
Nov 11, 2025at PHI100 − 102L
Nov 9, 2025at ORL111 − 107W
Nov 7, 2025at ORL110 − 123L

CLE · Last 10

5−5 · streak L2
Nov 28, 2025at ATL123 − 130L
Nov 24, 2025at TOR99 − 110L
Nov 23, 2025vs LAC120 − 105W
Nov 21, 2025vs IND120 − 109W
Nov 19, 2025vs HOU104 − 114L
Nov 17, 2025vs MIL118 − 106W
Nov 15, 2025vs MEM108 − 100W
Nov 13, 2025vs TOR113 − 126L
Nov 12, 2025at MIA130 − 116W
Nov 10, 2025at MIA138 − 140L