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Cavaliers at Raptors

NBA · Monday, Nov 24 · 6:00 PM CT · Scotiabank Arena · Final CLE 99 – TOR 110

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CLE3222222399
TOR29283122110
Team box
CLE·TOR
36-87
field goals
44-90
14-48
3-pointers
10-36
13-13
free throws
12-18
37
rebounds
51
27
assists
28
12
turnovers
16
42
points in paint
48
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Brandon IngramTOR373772
Scottie BarnesTOR3818116
Donovan MitchellCLE341718
Jaylon TysonCLE341592
Evan MobleyCLE311454
Nae'Qwan TomlinCLE321440

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
TOR +14
CLE +14
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: TOR 14 · CLE 8lead changes: 5

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CLE 66%, TOR 34% · Updated Nov 24, 2025

Expected margin
CLE by 5.5
Expected score
CLE 118.8 – 113.3 TOR
Expected total
232.1
CavaliersThe matchupRaptors
−191Our fair odds+191
118.8Expected points113.3
+0.72Power rating−0.20
119.9Points / game121.0
115.1Allowed / game114.3
46.5FG%50.4
35.13P%38.4
43.9Rebounds / game41.5
12−6Season record12−5
7−3Last 109−1
Craig Porter Jr. · Darius Garland
De'Andre Hunter · Jarrett Allen
Max Strus
OutRJ Barrett

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CLE chance · TOR chance
Our model fair65.7%34.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CLECleveland Cavaliers−19166%————
TORToronto Raptors+19134%————
SpreadCLE by 5.5
CLECleveland Cavaliers−5.5our margin————
TORToronto Raptors+5.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 232.1
Over232.1our total————
Under232.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cleveland Cavaliers by 5.5 expected
Cleveland Cavaliers by 46 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 45 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 44 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 43 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 42 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 2 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 3 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 4 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 5 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 6 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 7 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 8 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 9 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 10 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 11 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 12 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 13 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 14 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 15 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 16 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 17 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 18 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 19 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 20 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 21 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 22 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 23 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 24 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 25 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 26 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 27 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 28 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 29 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 30 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 31 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 32 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 33 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 34 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 35 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 36 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 37 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 38 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 39 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 40 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 41 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 42 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 43 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 44 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 45 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 46 points: <1%
← CLE wins byTOR wins by →
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 5 or more55%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 10 or more40%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 15 or more26%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

232.1 expected
182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 222.568%
Total over 232.548%
Total over 242.529%
Total from 223 to 24239%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Cleveland Cavaliers
GLonzo Ballstarted
GJaylon Tysonstarted
CEvan Mobleystarted
Toronto Raptors
CJakob Poeltlstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CLE·TOR
Nov 23, 2025 vs LAC
last game
Nov 23, 2025 vs BKN
0 days
days of rest
0 days
yes
back-to-back
yes
4
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 24, 5:00 PM ET
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLECraig Porter Jr. · left hamstring; strainOut
CLEDarius Garland · left great toe; injury managementOut
CLEDe'Andre Hunter · restOut
CLEJarrett Allen · right 3rd finger; strainOut
CLEMax Strus · left foot; surgery - jones fractureOut
CLESam Merrill · right hand; sprainOut
CLEDean Wade · right knee; hyperextensionQuestionable
Toronto Raptors
TORRJ Barrett · right knee; sprainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 17+ games
CLE·TOR
+0.72
rating (0 = average)
−0.20
119.9
points / game
121.0
115.1
points allowed / game
114.3
12−6
season record
12−5
8−3
home record
5−2
4−3
away record
7−3
W2
streak
W7
7−3
last 10
9−1
46.5
FG%
50.4
35.1
3P%
38.4
43.9
rebounds / game
41.5
27.1
assists / game
30.4
14.6
turnovers / game
13.9
46.2
points in paint / game
54.6

Rating Trend

CLE · TOR · 28 days
Cleveland CavaliersToronto Raptors
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · TOR 3−7
Nov 13, 2025at CLETOR 126 − 113
Oct 31, 2025at CLETOR 112 − 101
Feb 12, 2025at TORCLE 131 − 108
Jan 9, 2025at CLECLE 132 − 126
Nov 24, 2024at CLECLE 122 − 108
Oct 23, 2024at TORCLE 136 − 106
Feb 10, 2024at TORCLE 119 − 95
Jan 1, 2024at TORTOR 124 − 121
Nov 26, 2023at CLECLE 105 − 102
Feb 26, 2023at CLECLE 118 − 93

CLE · Last 10

7−3 · streak W2
Nov 23, 2025vs LAC120 − 105W
Nov 21, 2025vs IND120 − 109W
Nov 19, 2025vs HOU104 − 114L
Nov 17, 2025vs MIL118 − 106W
Nov 15, 2025vs MEM108 − 100W
Nov 13, 2025vs TOR113 − 126L
Nov 12, 2025at MIA130 − 116W
Nov 10, 2025at MIA138 − 140L
Nov 8, 2025vs CHI128 − 122W
Nov 7, 2025at WSH148 − 115W

TOR · Last 10

9−1 · streak W7
Nov 23, 2025vs BKN119 − 109W
Nov 21, 2025vs WSH140 − 110W
Nov 19, 2025at PHI121 − 112W
Nov 17, 2025vs CHA110 − 108W
Nov 15, 2025at IND129 − 111W
Nov 13, 2025at CLE126 − 113W
Nov 11, 2025at BKN119 − 109W
Nov 8, 2025at PHI120 − 130L
Nov 7, 2025at ATL109 − 97W
Nov 4, 2025vs MIL128 − 100W