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Clippers at Cavaliers

NBA · Sunday, Nov 23 · 5:00 PM CT · Rocket Arena · Final LAC 105 – CLE 120
← NBA / Nov 23, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
LAC24282726105
CLE27323328120
Team box
LAC·CLE
37-80
field goals
45-87
8-26
3-pointers
17-45
23-26
free throws
13-20
40
rebounds
41
23
assists
28
16
turnovers
14
52
points in paint
40
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Donovan MitchellCLE333786
Ivica ZubacLAC3333184
Kawhi LeonardLAC262032
James HardenLAC321926
Evan MobleyCLE3418102
De'Andre HunterCLE291744

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CLE +20
LAC +20
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CLE 20 · LAC 8lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAC 32%, CLE 68% · Updated Nov 23, 2025

Expected margin
CLE by 7.7
Expected score
CLE 117.8 – 110.1 LAC
Expected total
227.9
ClippersThe matchupCavaliers
+216Our fair odds−216
110.1Expected points117.8
+0.20Power rating+0.72
112.2Points / game119.9
117.1Allowed / game115.6
47.1FG%46.2
36.63P%34.9
41.4Rebounds / game44.1
5−11Season record11−6
2−8Last 107−3
Bogdan Bogdanovic · Bradley Beal
Derrick Jones Jr. · Jordan MillerOutCraig Porter Jr. · Jarrett Allen
Lonzo Ball · Max Strus
Sam Merrill

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAC chance · CLE chance
Our model fair31.6%68.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LACLA Clippers+21632%————
CLECleveland Cavaliers−21668%————
SpreadCLE by 7.7
LACLA Clippers+7.7our margin————
CLECleveland Cavaliers−7.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 227.9
Over227.9our total————
Under227.9our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Cleveland Cavaliers by 7.7 expected
LA Clippers by 50 points: <1%LA Clippers by 49 points: <1%LA Clippers by 48 points: <1%LA Clippers by 47 points: <1%LA Clippers by 46 points: <1%LA Clippers by 45 points: <1%LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 32 points: <1%LA Clippers by 31 points: <1%LA Clippers by 30 points: <1%LA Clippers by 29 points: <1%LA Clippers by 28 points: <1%LA Clippers by 27 points: <1%LA Clippers by 26 points: <1%LA Clippers by 25 points: <1%LA Clippers by 24 points: <1%LA Clippers by 23 points: <1%LA Clippers by 22 points: <1%LA Clippers by 21 points: <1%LA Clippers by 20 points: <1%LA Clippers by 19 points: <1%LA Clippers by 18 points: 1%LA Clippers by 17 points: 1%LA Clippers by 16 points: 1%LA Clippers by 15 points: 1%LA Clippers by 14 points: 1%LA Clippers by 13 points: 1%LA Clippers by 12 points: 1%LA Clippers by 11 points: 1%LA Clippers by 10 points: 1%LA Clippers by 9 points: 2%LA Clippers by 8 points: 2%LA Clippers by 7 points: 2%LA Clippers by 6 points: 2%LA Clippers by 5 points: 2%LA Clippers by 4 points: 2%LA Clippers by 3 points: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 1 point: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 5 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 6 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 7 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 8 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 9 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 10 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 11 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 12 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 13 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 14 points: 3%Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 16 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 17 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 18 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 19 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 20 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 21 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 22 points: 2%Cleveland Cavaliers by 23 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 24 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 25 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 26 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 27 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 28 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 29 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 30 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 31 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 32 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 33 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 34 points: 1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 35 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 36 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 37 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 38 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 39 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 40 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 41 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 42 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 43 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 44 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 45 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 46 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 47 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 48 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 49 points: <1%Cleveland Cavaliers by 50 points: <1%
← LAC wins byCLE wins by →
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 5 or more61%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 10 or more45%
Cleveland Cavaliers wins by 15 or more31%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

227.9 expected
178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 217.570%
Total over 227.550%
Total over 237.531%
Total from 218 to 23739%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
LA Clippers
GJames Hardenstarted
GKris Dunnstarted
FKawhi Leonardstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
CIvica Zubacstarted
Cleveland Cavaliers
GDonovan Mitchellstarted
GDarius Garlandstarted
GJaylon Tysonstarted
FDe'Andre Hunterstarted
CEvan Mobleystarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAC·CLE
Nov 22, 2025 at CHA
last game
Nov 21, 2025 vs IND
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
6th straight road game
home / road
6th straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 23, 5:00 PM ET
LA Clippers
LACBogdan Bogdanovic · left hip; contusionOut
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACDerrick Jones Jr. · right knee; sprainOut
LACJordan Miller · left hamstring; injury managementOut
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLECraig Porter Jr. · left hamstring; strainOut
CLEJarrett Allen · right 3rd finger; strainOut
CLELonzo Ball · rest - left knee injury managementOut
CLEMax Strus · left foot; surgery - jones fractureOut
CLESam Merrill · right hand; sprainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 16+ games
LAC·CLE
+0.20
rating (0 = average)
+0.72
112.2
points / game
119.9
117.1
points allowed / game
115.6
5−11
season record
11−6
3−5
home record
7−3
2−6
away record
4−3
W1
streak
W1
2−8
last 10
7−3
47.1
FG%
46.2
36.6
3P%
34.9
41.4
rebounds / game
44.1
24.1
assists / game
27.1
16.1
turnovers / game
14.6
47.5
points in paint / game
46.6

Rating Trend

LAC · CLE · 27 days
LA ClippersCleveland Cavaliers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · CLE 5−3
Mar 30, 2025at CLECLE 127 − 122
Mar 18, 2025at LACLAC 132 − 119
Apr 7, 2024at LACLAC 120 − 118
Jan 29, 2024at CLECLE 118 − 108
Jan 29, 2023at CLECLE 122 − 99
Nov 7, 2022at LACLAC 119 − 117
Mar 14, 2022at CLECLE 120 − 111
Oct 27, 2021at LACCLE 92 − 79

LAC · Last 10

2−8 · streak W1
Nov 22, 2025at CHA131 − 116W
Nov 20, 2025at ORL101 − 129L
Nov 17, 2025at PHI108 − 110L
Nov 16, 2025at BOS118 − 121L
Nov 14, 2025at DAL133 − 127W
Nov 12, 2025vs DEN116 − 130L
Nov 10, 2025vs ATL102 − 105L
Nov 8, 2025vs PHX103 − 114L
Nov 6, 2025at PHX102 − 115L
Nov 4, 2025vs OKC107 − 126L

CLE · Last 10

7−3 · streak W1
Nov 21, 2025vs IND120 − 109W
Nov 19, 2025vs HOU104 − 114L
Nov 17, 2025vs MIL118 − 106W
Nov 15, 2025vs MEM108 − 100W
Nov 13, 2025vs TOR113 − 126L
Nov 12, 2025at MIA130 − 116W
Nov 10, 2025at MIA138 − 140L
Nov 8, 2025vs CHI128 − 122W
Nov 7, 2025at WSH148 − 115W
Nov 5, 2025vs PHI132 − 121W