bayesRatings

Clippers at Hornets

NBA · Saturday, Nov 22 · 12:00 PM CT · Spectrum Center · Final LAC 131 – CHA 116
← NBA / Nov 22, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
LAC38243435131
CHA30272534116
Team box
LAC·CHA
46-90
field goals
41-85
19-43
3-pointers
11-36
20-24
free throws
23-26
41
rebounds
38
30
assists
24
10
turnovers
11
52
points in paint
44
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
James HardenLAC355537
Kon KnueppelCHA342611
Brandon MillerCHA262113
Miles BridgesCHA301932
Ivica ZubacLAC301896
LaMelo BallCHA251847

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CHA +24
LAC +24
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CHA 8 · LAC 24lead changes: 7

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAC 72%, CHA 28% · Updated Nov 22, 2025

Expected margin
LAC by 8.4
Expected score
LAC 114.0 – 105.6 CHA
Expected total
219.7
ClippersThe matchupHornets
−259Our fair odds+259
114.0Expected points105.6
+0.20Power rating−1.04
111.0Points / game116.6
117.1Allowed / game120.2
46.8FG%45.9
36.13P%35.9
41.5Rebounds / game46.0
4−11Season record4−11
1−9Last 102−8
Bogdan Bogdanovic · Bradley Beal
Derrick Jones Jr. · Jordan Miller
Kawhi LeonardOutGrant Williams · Josh Green
Tidjane Salaun · Tre Mann

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAC chance · CHA chance
Our model fair72.2%27.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LACLA Clippers−25972%————
CHACharlotte Hornets+25928%————
SpreadLAC by 8.4
LACLA Clippers−8.4our margin————
CHACharlotte Hornets+8.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 219.7
Over219.7our total————
Under219.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

LA Clippers by 8.4 expected
LA Clippers by 49 points: <1%LA Clippers by 48 points: <1%LA Clippers by 47 points: <1%LA Clippers by 46 points: <1%LA Clippers by 45 points: <1%LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: 1%LA Clippers by 35 points: 1%LA Clippers by 34 points: 1%LA Clippers by 33 points: 1%LA Clippers by 32 points: 1%LA Clippers by 31 points: 1%LA Clippers by 30 points: 1%LA Clippers by 29 points: 1%LA Clippers by 28 points: 1%LA Clippers by 27 points: 1%LA Clippers by 26 points: 1%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 24 points: 1%LA Clippers by 23 points: 1%LA Clippers by 22 points: 1%LA Clippers by 21 points: 1%LA Clippers by 20 points: 2%LA Clippers by 19 points: 2%LA Clippers by 18 points: 2%LA Clippers by 17 points: 2%LA Clippers by 16 points: 2%LA Clippers by 15 points: 3%LA Clippers by 14 points: 3%LA Clippers by 13 points: 3%LA Clippers by 12 points: 3%LA Clippers by 11 points: 3%LA Clippers by 10 points: 3%LA Clippers by 9 points: 3%LA Clippers by 8 points: 3%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 3 points: 3%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 1 point: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 2 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 3 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 4 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 5 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 6 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 7 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 8 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 9 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 10 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 11 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 12 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 13 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 14 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 15 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 16 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 17 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 18 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 19 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 20 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 21 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 22 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 23 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 24 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 25 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 26 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 27 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 28 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 29 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 30 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 31 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 32 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 33 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 34 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 35 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 36 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 37 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 38 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 39 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 40 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 41 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 42 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 43 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 44 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 45 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 46 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 47 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 48 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 49 points: <1%
← LAC wins byCHA wins by →
LA Clippers wins by 5 or more64%
LA Clippers wins by 10 or more47%
LA Clippers wins by 15 or more31%
Within 5 points either way21%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

219.7 expected
173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 209.570%
Total over 219.550%
Total over 229.530%
Total from 210 to 22939%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
LA Clippers
GJames Hardenstarted
GKris Dunnstarted
GKobe Sandersstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
CIvica Zubacstarted
Charlotte Hornets
GLaMelo Ballstarted
GKon Knueppelstarted
FMiles Bridgesstarted
FBrandon Millerstarted
CRyan Kalkbrennerstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAC·CHA
Nov 20, 2025 at ORL
last game
Nov 19, 2025 at IND
1 day
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
5th straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 22, 5:00 PM ET
LA Clippers
LACBogdan Bogdanovic · left hip; sorenessOut
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACDerrick Jones Jr. · right knee; sprainOut
LACJordan Miller · left hamstring; injury managementOut
LACKawhi Leonard · right ankle; sprainOut
Charlotte Hornets
CHAGrant Williams · right knee; surgeryOut
CHAJosh Green · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHATidjane Salaun · g league - on assignmentOut
CHATre Mann · left ankle; sorenessOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 15+ games
LAC·CHA
+0.20
rating (0 = average)
−1.04
111.0
points / game
116.6
117.1
points allowed / game
120.2
4−11
season record
4−11
3−5
home record
3−4
1−6
away record
1−7
L3
streak
L4
1−9
last 10
2−8
46.8
FG%
45.9
36.1
3P%
35.9
41.5
rebounds / game
46.0
23.7
assists / game
26.3
16.5
turnovers / game
16.5
47.2
points in paint / game
50.0

Rating Trend

LAC · CHA · 26 days
LA ClippersCharlotte Hornets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · CHA 0−8
Mar 16, 2025at LACLAC 123 − 88
Jan 31, 2025at CHALAC 112 − 104
Mar 31, 2024at CHALAC 130 − 118
Dec 26, 2023at LACLAC 113 − 104
Dec 21, 2022at LACLAC 126 − 105
Dec 5, 2022at CHALAC 119 − 117
Jan 30, 2022at CHALAC 115 − 90
Nov 7, 2021at LACLAC 120 − 106

LAC · Last 10

1−9 · streak L3
Nov 20, 2025at ORL101 − 129L
Nov 17, 2025at PHI108 − 110L
Nov 16, 2025at BOS118 − 121L
Nov 14, 2025at DAL133 − 127W
Nov 12, 2025vs DEN116 − 130L
Nov 10, 2025vs ATL102 − 105L
Nov 8, 2025vs PHX103 − 114L
Nov 6, 2025at PHX102 − 115L
Nov 4, 2025vs OKC107 − 126L
Nov 3, 2025vs MIA119 − 120L

CHA · Last 10

2−8 · streak L4
Nov 19, 2025at IND118 − 127L
Nov 17, 2025at TOR108 − 110L
Nov 15, 2025vs OKC96 − 109L
Nov 14, 2025at MIL134 − 147L
Nov 12, 2025vs MIL111 − 100W
Nov 10, 2025vs LAL111 − 121L
Nov 7, 2025at MIA108 − 126L
Nov 4, 2025at NO112 − 116L
Nov 2, 2025vs UTAH126 − 103W
Nov 1, 2025vs MIN105 − 122L