bayesRatings

Clippers at Magic

NBA · Thursday, Nov 20 · 6:00 PM CT · Kia Center · Final LAC 101 – ORL 129

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
LAC24252725101
ORL30313236129
Team box
LAC·ORL
36-89
field goals
45-94
14-36
3-pointers
18-34
15-19
free throws
21-24
43
rebounds
51
20
assists
32
21
turnovers
11
40
points in paint
50
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
James HardenLAC313158
Jalen SuggsORL262337
Franz WagnerORL302063
Tristan da SilvaORL301781
Desmond BaneORL311575
Ivica ZubacLAC3214190

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
ORL +30
LAC +30
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: ORL 30 · LAC 2lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAC 48%, ORL 52% · Updated Nov 20, 2025

Expected margin
ORL by 1.5
Expected score
ORL 106.1 – 104.6 LAC
Expected total
210.7
ClippersThe matchupMagic
+107Our fair odds−107
104.6Expected points106.1
+0.20Power rating+0.00
111.7Points / game115.9
116.3Allowed / game113.9
47.3FG%47.2
35.93P%32.6
41.4Rebounds / game44.9
4−10Season record8−7
2−8Last 107−3
Bradley Beal · Derrick Jones Jr.
Jordan Miller · Kawhi Leonard
OutColin Castleton · Moritz Wagner
Noah Penda · Orlando Robinson
Paolo Banchero

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAC chance · ORL chance
Our model fair48.4%51.6%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LACLA Clippers+10748%————
ORLOrlando Magic−10752%————
SpreadORL by 1.5
LACLA Clippers+1.5our margin————
ORLOrlando Magic−1.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 210.7
Over210.7our total————
Under210.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Orlando Magic by 1.5 expected
LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 32 points: <1%LA Clippers by 31 points: <1%LA Clippers by 30 points: <1%LA Clippers by 29 points: <1%LA Clippers by 28 points: <1%LA Clippers by 27 points: <1%LA Clippers by 26 points: <1%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 24 points: 1%LA Clippers by 23 points: 1%LA Clippers by 22 points: 1%LA Clippers by 21 points: 1%LA Clippers by 20 points: 1%LA Clippers by 19 points: 1%LA Clippers by 18 points: 1%LA Clippers by 17 points: 1%LA Clippers by 16 points: 1%LA Clippers by 15 points: 1%LA Clippers by 14 points: 2%LA Clippers by 13 points: 2%LA Clippers by 12 points: 2%LA Clippers by 11 points: 2%LA Clippers by 10 points: 2%LA Clippers by 9 points: 2%LA Clippers by 8 points: 2%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 3 points: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%Orlando Magic by 1 point: 2%Orlando Magic by 2 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 3 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 4 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 5 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 6 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 7 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 8 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 9 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 10 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 11 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 12 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 13 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 14 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 15 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 16 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 17 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 18 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 19 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 20 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 21 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 22 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 23 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 24 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 25 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 26 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 27 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 28 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 29 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 30 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 31 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 32 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 33 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 34 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 35 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 36 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 37 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 38 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 39 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 40 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 41 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 42 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 43 points: <1%
← LAC wins byORL wins by →
Orlando Magic wins by 5 or more44%
Orlando Magic wins by 10 or more30%
Orlando Magic wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

210.7 expected
170 points: <1%171 points: <1%172 points: <1%173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: 1%179 points: 1%180 points: 1%181 points: 1%182 points: 1%183 points: 1%184 points: 1%185 points: 1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 2%196 points: 2%197 points: 2%198 points: 2%199 points: 2%200 points: 2%201 points: 2%202 points: 2%203 points: 2%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 1%227 points: 1%228 points: 1%229 points: 1%230 points: 1%231 points: 1%232 points: 1%233 points: 1%234 points: 1%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: <1%243 points: <1%244 points: <1%245 points: <1%246 points: <1%247 points: <1%248 points: <1%249 points: <1%250 points: <1%251 points: <1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 200.570%
Total over 210.550%
Total over 220.529%
Total from 201 to 22041%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
LA Clippers
GJames Hardenstarted
GKris Dunnstarted
GKobe Sandersstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
CIvica Zubacstarted
Orlando Magic
GDesmond Banestarted
GJalen Suggsstarted
FFranz Wagnerstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAC·ORL
Nov 17, 2025 at PHI
last game
Nov 18, 2025 vs GS
2 days
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
4th straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 20, 5:00 PM ET
LA Clippers
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACDerrick Jones Jr. · right knee; sprainOut
LACJordan Miller · left hamstring; sorenessOut
LACKawhi Leonard · right ankle; sprainOut
Orlando Magic
ORLColin Castleton · g league - two-wayOut
ORLMoritz Wagner · left knee; injury recoveryOut
ORLNoah Penda · g league - on assignmentOut
ORLOrlando Robinson · g league - two-wayOut
ORLPaolo Banchero · left groin; strainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 14+ games
LAC·ORL
+0.20
rating (0 = average)
+0.00
111.7
points / game
115.9
116.3
points allowed / game
113.9
4−10
season record
8−7
3−5
home record
5−3
1−5
away record
3−4
L2
streak
W1
2−8
last 10
7−3
47.3
FG%
47.2
35.9
3P%
32.6
41.4
rebounds / game
44.9
23.9
assists / game
24.4
16.1
turnovers / game
15.8
47.7
points in paint / game
51.7

Rating Trend

LAC · ORL · 24 days
LA ClippersOrlando Magic
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · ORL 2−6
Mar 31, 2025at ORLLAC 96 − 87
Nov 20, 2024at LACLAC 104 − 93
Mar 29, 2024at ORLLAC 100 − 97
Oct 31, 2023at LACLAC 118 − 102
Mar 18, 2023at LACORL 113 − 108
Dec 7, 2022at ORLORL 116 − 111
Jan 26, 2022at ORLLAC 111 − 102
Dec 11, 2021at LACLAC 106 − 104

LAC · Last 10

2−8 · streak L2
Nov 17, 2025at PHI108 − 110L
Nov 16, 2025at BOS118 − 121L
Nov 14, 2025at DAL133 − 127W
Nov 12, 2025vs DEN116 − 130L
Nov 10, 2025vs ATL102 − 105L
Nov 8, 2025vs PHX103 − 114L
Nov 6, 2025at PHX102 − 115L
Nov 4, 2025vs OKC107 − 126L
Nov 3, 2025vs MIA119 − 120L
Oct 31, 2025vs NO126 − 124W

ORL · Last 10

7−3 · streak W1
Nov 18, 2025vs GS121 − 113W
Nov 16, 2025at HOU113 − 117L
Nov 14, 2025vs BKN105 − 98W
Nov 12, 2025at NY124 − 107W
Nov 10, 2025vs POR115 − 112W
Nov 9, 2025vs BOS107 − 111L
Nov 7, 2025vs BOS123 − 110W
Nov 4, 2025at ATL112 − 127L
Nov 1, 2025at WSH125 − 94W
Oct 30, 2025at CHA123 − 107W