bayesRatings

Nets at Raptors

NBA · Sunday, Nov 23 · 5:00 PM CT · Scotiabank Arena · Final BKN 109 – TOR 119
← NBA / Nov 23, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
BKN28302427109
TOR34312232119
Team box
BKN·TOR
35-75
field goals
39-84
12-34
3-pointers
15-30
27-31
free throws
26-29
40
rebounds
32
23
assists
30
19
turnovers
9
44
points in paint
44
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Tyrese MartinBKN252663
Michael Porter Jr.BKN332564
Noah ClowneyBKN372211
Scottie BarnesTOR341774
RJ BarrettTOR201621
Ja'Kobe WalterTOR191610

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
TOR +12
BKN +12
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: TOR 12 · BKN 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BKN 28%, TOR 72% · Updated Nov 23, 2025

Expected margin
TOR by 7.4
Expected score
TOR 115.0 – 107.6 BKN
Expected total
222.6
NetsThe matchupRaptors
+262Our fair odds−262
107.6Expected points115.0
−0.92Power rating−0.20
109.9Points / game121.1
120.2Allowed / game114.6
44.2FG%50.6
33.73P%37.6
39.0Rebounds / game42.1
3−12Season record11−5
3−7Last 109−1
Ben Saraf · Cam Thomas
Danny Wolf · Haywood Highsmith
Nolan TraoreOutJakob Poeltl

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BKN chance · TOR chance
Our model fair27.6%72.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BKNBrooklyn Nets+26228%————
TORToronto Raptors−26272%————
SpreadTOR by 7.4
BKNBrooklyn Nets+7.4our margin————
TORToronto Raptors−7.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 222.6
Over222.6our total————
Under222.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Toronto Raptors by 7.4 expected
Brooklyn Nets by 50 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 49 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 48 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 47 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 46 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 45 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 44 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 43 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 1 point: 2%Toronto Raptors by 2 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 3 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 4 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 5 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 6 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 7 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 8 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 9 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 10 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 11 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 12 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 13 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 14 points: 3%Toronto Raptors by 15 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 16 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 17 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 18 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 19 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 20 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 21 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 22 points: 2%Toronto Raptors by 23 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 24 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 25 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 26 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 27 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 28 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 29 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 30 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 31 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 32 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 33 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 34 points: 1%Toronto Raptors by 35 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 36 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 37 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 38 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 39 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 40 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 41 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 42 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 43 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 44 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 45 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 46 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 47 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 48 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 49 points: <1%Toronto Raptors by 50 points: <1%
← BKN wins byTOR wins by →
Toronto Raptors wins by 5 or more60%
Toronto Raptors wins by 10 or more44%
Toronto Raptors wins by 15 or more30%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

222.6 expected
175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 212.569%
Total over 222.550%
Total over 232.530%
Total from 213 to 23239%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Brooklyn Nets
GTerance Mannstarted
GEgor Deminstarted
FMichael Porter Jr.started
FNoah Clowneystarted
CNic Claxtonstarted
Toronto Raptors
GImmanuel Quickleystarted
FBrandon Ingramstarted
FSandro Mamukelashvilistarted
FRJ Barrettstarted
FScottie Barnesstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BKN·TOR
Nov 21, 2025 at BOS
last game
Nov 21, 2025 vs WSH
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 23, 5:00 PM ET
Brooklyn Nets
BKNBen Saraf · injury recovery left ankle; sprainOut
BKNCam Thomas · left hamstring; strainOut
BKNDanny Wolf · g league - on assignmentOut
BKNHaywood Highsmith · right knee; surgery,Out
BKNNolan Traore · g league - on assignmentOut
Toronto Raptors
TORJakob Poeltl · lower back; injury managementOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 15+ games
BKN·TOR
−0.92
rating (0 = average)
−0.20
109.9
points / game
121.1
120.2
points allowed / game
114.6
3−12
season record
11−5
0−7
home record
4−2
3−5
away record
7−3
W1
streak
W6
3−7
last 10
9−1
44.2
FG%
50.6
33.7
3P%
37.6
39.0
rebounds / game
42.1
25.1
assists / game
30.4
15.1
turnovers / game
14.2
41.5
points in paint / game
55.2

Rating Trend

BKN · TOR · 27 days
Brooklyn NetsToronto Raptors
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · TOR 5−5
Nov 11, 2025at BKNTOR 119 − 109
Apr 6, 2025at BKNTOR 120 − 109
Mar 26, 2025at BKNTOR 116 − 86
Jan 1, 2025at TORTOR 130 − 113
Dec 19, 2024at TORBKN 101 − 94
Apr 10, 2024at BKNBKN 106 − 102
Mar 25, 2024at TORBKN 96 − 88
Feb 22, 2024at TORTOR 121 − 93
Nov 28, 2023at BKNBKN 115 − 103
Dec 16, 2022at TORBKN 119 − 116

BKN · Last 10

3−7 · streak W1
Nov 21, 2025at BOS113 − 105W
Nov 18, 2025vs BOS99 − 113L
Nov 16, 2025at WSH129 − 106W
Nov 14, 2025at ORL98 − 105L
Nov 11, 2025vs TOR109 − 119L
Nov 9, 2025at NY98 − 134L
Nov 7, 2025vs DET107 − 125L
Nov 5, 2025at IND112 − 103W
Nov 3, 2025vs MIN109 − 125L
Nov 2, 2025vs PHI105 − 129L

TOR · Last 10

9−1 · streak W6
Nov 21, 2025vs WSH140 − 110W
Nov 19, 2025at PHI121 − 112W
Nov 17, 2025vs CHA110 − 108W
Nov 15, 2025at IND129 − 111W
Nov 13, 2025at CLE126 − 113W
Nov 11, 2025at BKN119 − 109W
Nov 8, 2025at PHI120 − 130L
Nov 7, 2025at ATL109 − 97W
Nov 4, 2025vs MIL128 − 100W
Nov 2, 2025vs MEM117 − 104W