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Magic at Celtics

NBA · Sunday, Nov 23 · 5:00 PM CT · TD Garden · Final ORL 129 – BOS 138
← NBA / Nov 23, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
ORL27303240129
BOS32483028138
Team box
ORL·BOS
47-100
field goals
53-88
16-38
3-pointers
15-33
19-24
free throws
17-22
44
rebounds
37
33
assists
29
8
turnovers
5
52
points in paint
64
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jaylen BrownBOS373548
Jett HowardORL293073
Anfernee SimonsBOS222352
Payton PritchardBOS341958
Desmond BaneORL291845
Jase RichardsonORL211852

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BOS +26
ORL +26
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: BOS 26 · ORL 2lead changes: 2

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was ORL 27%, BOS 73% · Updated Nov 23, 2025

Expected margin
BOS by 10.6
Expected score
BOS 110.0 – 99.5 ORL
Expected total
209.5
MagicThe matchupCeltics
+275Our fair odds−275
99.5Expected points110.0
+0.00Power rating+0.77
117.6Points / game113.2
113.6Allowed / game108.8
47.7FG%45.4
34.23P%34.7
44.8Rebounds / game44.9
10−7Season record8−8
7−3Last 105−5
Colin Castleton · Jalen Suggs
Moritz Wagner · Paolo Banchero
Wendell Carter Jr.OutAmari Williams · Jayson Tatum
Max Shulga · Ron Harper Jr.

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
ORL chance · BOS chance
Our model fair26.6%73.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
ORLOrlando Magic+27527%————
BOSBoston Celtics−27573%————
SpreadBOS by 10.6
ORLOrlando Magic+10.6our margin————
BOSBoston Celtics−10.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 209.5
Over209.5our total————
Under209.5our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Boston Celtics by 10.6 expected
Orlando Magic by 52 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 51 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 50 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 49 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 48 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 47 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 46 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 45 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 44 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 43 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 42 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 41 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 40 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 39 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 38 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 37 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 36 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 35 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 34 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 33 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 32 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 31 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 30 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 29 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 28 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 27 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 26 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 25 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 24 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 23 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 22 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 21 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 20 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 19 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 18 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 17 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 16 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 15 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 14 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 13 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 12 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 11 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 10 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 9 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 8 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 7 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 6 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 5 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 4 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 3 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 2 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 1 point: 2%Boston Celtics by 1 point: 2%Boston Celtics by 2 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 3 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 4 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 5 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 6 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 7 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 8 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 9 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 10 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 11 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 12 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 13 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 14 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 15 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 16 points: 3%Boston Celtics by 17 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 18 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 19 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 20 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 21 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 22 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 23 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 24 points: 2%Boston Celtics by 25 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 26 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 27 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 28 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 29 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 30 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 31 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 32 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 33 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 34 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 35 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 36 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 37 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 38 points: 1%Boston Celtics by 39 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 40 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 41 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 42 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 43 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 44 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 45 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 46 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 47 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 48 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 49 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 50 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 51 points: <1%Boston Celtics by 52 points: <1%
← ORL wins byBOS wins by →
Boston Celtics wins by 5 or more68%
Boston Celtics wins by 10 or more53%
Boston Celtics wins by 15 or more38%
Within 5 points either way20%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

209.5 expected
170 points: <1%171 points: <1%172 points: <1%173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: 1%177 points: 1%178 points: 1%179 points: 1%180 points: 1%181 points: 1%182 points: 1%183 points: 1%184 points: 1%185 points: 1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 2%194 points: 2%195 points: 2%196 points: 2%197 points: 2%198 points: 2%199 points: 2%200 points: 2%201 points: 2%202 points: 2%203 points: 2%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 1%226 points: 1%227 points: 1%228 points: 1%229 points: 1%230 points: 1%231 points: 1%232 points: 1%233 points: 1%234 points: 1%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: <1%242 points: <1%243 points: <1%244 points: <1%245 points: <1%246 points: <1%247 points: <1%248 points: <1%249 points: <1%250 points: <1%251 points: <1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 199.570%
Total over 209.549%
Total over 219.529%
Total from 200 to 21941%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Orlando Magic
GDesmond Banestarted
GAnthony Blackstarted
FFranz Wagnerstarted
FTristan da Silvastarted
COrlando Robinsonstarted
Boston Celtics
GDerrick Whitestarted
GJaylen Brownstarted
GPayton Pritchardstarted
GJordan Walshstarted
CNeemias Quetastarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
ORL·BOS
Nov 22, 2025 vs NY
last game
Nov 21, 2025 vs BKN
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 23, 5:00 PM ET
Orlando Magic
ORLColin Castleton · g league - two-wayOut
ORLJalen Suggs · left knee; injury managementOut
ORLMoritz Wagner · left knee; injury recoveryOut
ORLPaolo Banchero · left groin; strainOut
ORLWendell Carter Jr. · left ankle; sprainOut
Boston Celtics
BOSAmari Williams · g league - two-wayOut
BOSJayson Tatum · right achilles; repairOut
BOSMax Shulga · g league - two-wayOut
BOSRon Harper Jr. · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 16+ games
ORL·BOS
+0.00
rating (0 = average)
+0.77
117.6
points / game
113.2
113.6
points allowed / game
108.8
10−7
season record
8−8
7−3
home record
4−4
3−4
away record
4−4
W3
streak
L1
7−3
last 10
5−5
47.7
FG%
45.4
34.2
3P%
34.7
44.8
rebounds / game
44.9
25.1
assists / game
24.2
15.4
turnovers / game
11.6
52.4
points in paint / game
41.8

Rating Trend

ORL · BOS · 27 days
Orlando MagicBoston Celtics
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · BOS 6−4
Nov 9, 2025at ORLBOS 111 − 107
Nov 7, 2025at ORLORL 123 − 110
Apr 29, 2025at BOSBOS 120 − 89post
Apr 27, 2025at ORLBOS 107 − 98post
Apr 25, 2025at ORLORL 95 − 93post
Apr 23, 2025at BOSBOS 109 − 100post
Apr 20, 2025at BOSBOS 103 − 86post
Apr 9, 2025at ORLORL 96 − 76
Jan 17, 2025at BOSBOS 121 − 94
Dec 23, 2024at ORLORL 108 − 104

ORL · Last 10

7−3 · streak W3
Nov 22, 2025vs NY133 − 121W
Nov 20, 2025vs LAC129 − 101W
Nov 18, 2025vs GS121 − 113W
Nov 16, 2025at HOU113 − 117L
Nov 14, 2025vs BKN105 − 98W
Nov 12, 2025at NY124 − 107W
Nov 10, 2025vs POR115 − 112W
Nov 9, 2025vs BOS107 − 111L
Nov 7, 2025vs BOS123 − 110W
Nov 4, 2025at ATL112 − 127L

BOS · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Nov 21, 2025vs BKN105 − 113L
Nov 18, 2025at BKN113 − 99W
Nov 16, 2025vs LAC121 − 118W
Nov 12, 2025vs MEM131 − 95W
Nov 11, 2025at PHI100 − 102L
Nov 9, 2025at ORL111 − 107W
Nov 7, 2025at ORL110 − 123L
Nov 5, 2025vs WSH136 − 107W
Nov 3, 2025vs UTAH103 − 105L
Nov 1, 2025vs HOU101 − 128L