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Knicks at Magic

NBA · Saturday, Nov 22 · 4:00 PM CT · Kia Center · Final NY 121 – ORL 133

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
NY29372728121
ORL31333435133
Team box
NY·ORL
43-79
field goals
47-85
13-37
3-pointers
13-33
22-28
free throws
26-30
36
rebounds
36
28
assists
28
17
turnovers
14
46
points in paint
64
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Franz WagnerORL343767
Jalen BrunsonNY3733311
Desmond BaneORL322735
Jalen SuggsORL322631
Karl-Anthony TownsNY372483
Mikal BridgesNY381872

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
ORL +18
NY +18
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: ORL 18 · NY 10lead changes: 17

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NY 53%, ORL 47% · Updated Nov 22, 2025

Expected margin
NY by 0.2
Expected score
NY 107.0 – 106.8 ORL
Expected total
213.8
KnicksThe matchupMagic
−115Our fair odds+115
107.0Expected points106.8
+0.40Power rating+0.00
120.8Points / game116.7
114.9Allowed / game113.1
45.6FG%47.2
36.73P%33.9
47.0Rebounds / game45.3
9−5Season record9−7
7−3Last 107−3
OG AnunobyOutColin Castleton · Moritz Wagner
Orlando Robinson · Paolo Banchero

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NY chance · ORL chance
Our model fair53.5%46.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NYNew York Knicks−11553%————
ORLOrlando Magic+11547%————
SpreadNY by 0.2
NYNew York Knicks−0.2our margin————
ORLOrlando Magic+0.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 213.8
Over213.8our total————
Under213.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 0.2 expected
New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 35 points: <1%New York Knicks by 34 points: <1%New York Knicks by 33 points: <1%New York Knicks by 32 points: <1%New York Knicks by 31 points: <1%New York Knicks by 30 points: <1%New York Knicks by 29 points: <1%New York Knicks by 28 points: <1%New York Knicks by 27 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 22 points: 1%New York Knicks by 21 points: 1%New York Knicks by 20 points: 1%New York Knicks by 19 points: 1%New York Knicks by 18 points: 1%New York Knicks by 17 points: 1%New York Knicks by 16 points: 1%New York Knicks by 15 points: 2%New York Knicks by 14 points: 2%New York Knicks by 13 points: 2%New York Knicks by 12 points: 2%New York Knicks by 11 points: 2%New York Knicks by 10 points: 2%New York Knicks by 9 points: 2%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 3 points: 3%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%Orlando Magic by 1 point: 2%Orlando Magic by 2 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 3 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 4 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 5 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 6 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 7 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 8 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 9 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 10 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 11 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 12 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 13 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 14 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 15 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 16 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 17 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 18 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 19 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 20 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 21 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 22 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 23 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 24 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 25 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 26 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 27 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 28 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 29 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 30 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 31 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 32 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 33 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 34 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 35 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 36 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 37 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 38 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 39 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 40 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 41 points: <1%
← NY wins byORL wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more40%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more27%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more17%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

213.8 expected
171 points: <1%172 points: <1%173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: 1%182 points: 1%183 points: 1%184 points: 1%185 points: 1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 2%199 points: 2%200 points: 2%201 points: 2%202 points: 2%203 points: 2%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 1%231 points: 1%232 points: 1%233 points: 1%234 points: 1%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: <1%247 points: <1%248 points: <1%249 points: <1%250 points: <1%251 points: <1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 203.570%
Total over 213.550%
Total over 223.530%
Total from 204 to 22340%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
New York Knicks
Orlando Magic
GDesmond Banestarted
GJalen Suggsstarted
FFranz Wagnerstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NY·ORL
Nov 19, 2025 at DAL
last game
Nov 20, 2025 vs LAC
2 days
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
3
3rd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 21, 5:00 PM ET
New York Knicks
NYOG Anunoby · left hamstring; strainedOut
Orlando Magic
ORLColin Castleton · g league - two-wayOut
ORLMoritz Wagner · left knee; injury recoveryOut
ORLOrlando Robinson · g league - two-wayOut
ORLPaolo Banchero · left groin; strainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 14+ games
NY·ORL
+0.40
rating (0 = average)
+0.00
120.8
points / game
116.7
114.9
points allowed / game
113.1
9−5
season record
9−7
8−1
home record
6−3
1−4
away record
3−4
W1
streak
W2
7−3
last 10
7−3
45.6
FG%
47.2
36.7
3P%
33.9
47.0
rebounds / game
45.3
27.3
assists / game
24.9
13.5
turnovers / game
15.5
47.1
points in paint / game
51.6

Rating Trend

NY · ORL · 26 days
New York KnicksOrlando Magic
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · ORL 6−4
Nov 12, 2025at NYORL 124 − 107
Jan 6, 2025at NYORL 103 − 94
Dec 27, 2024at ORLNY 108 − 85
Dec 15, 2024at ORLNY 100 − 91
Dec 3, 2024at NYNY 121 − 106
Mar 8, 2024at NYNY 98 − 74
Feb 14, 2024at ORLORL 118 − 100
Jan 15, 2024at NYORL 98 − 94
Dec 29, 2023at ORLORL 117 − 108
Mar 23, 2023at ORLORL 111 − 106

NY · Last 10

7−3 · streak W1
Nov 19, 2025at DAL113 − 111W
Nov 17, 2025at MIA113 − 115L
Nov 14, 2025vs MIA140 − 132W
Nov 12, 2025vs ORL107 − 124L
Nov 11, 2025vs MEM133 − 120W
Nov 9, 2025vs BKN134 − 98W
Nov 5, 2025vs MIN137 − 114W
Nov 3, 2025vs WSH119 − 102W
Nov 2, 2025vs CHI128 − 116W
Oct 31, 2025at CHI125 − 135L

ORL · Last 10

7−3 · streak W2
Nov 20, 2025vs LAC129 − 101W
Nov 18, 2025vs GS121 − 113W
Nov 16, 2025at HOU113 − 117L
Nov 14, 2025vs BKN105 − 98W
Nov 12, 2025at NY124 − 107W
Nov 10, 2025vs POR115 − 112W
Nov 9, 2025vs BOS107 − 111L
Nov 7, 2025vs BOS123 − 110W
Nov 4, 2025at ATL112 − 127L
Nov 1, 2025at WSH125 − 94W