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Knicks at Mavericks

NBA · Wednesday, Nov 19 · 8:30 PM CT · American Airlines Center · Final NY 113 – DAL 111
← NBA / Nov 19, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
NY24283526113
DAL25253526111
Team box
NY·DAL
41-93
field goals
35-85
12-42
3-pointers
16-44
19-35
free throws
25-30
49
rebounds
50
27
assists
23
9
turnovers
18
44
points in paint
30
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jalen BrunsonNY352835
D'Angelo RussellDAL252357
Naji MarshallDAL342351
Karl-Anthony TownsNY3518146
Josh HartNY3016105
Mikal BridgesNY351656

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
DAL +8
NY +8
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: DAL 7 · NY 8lead changes: 16

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NY 60%, DAL 40% · Updated Nov 19, 2025

Expected margin
NY by 3.5
Expected score
NY 115.1 – 111.6 DAL
Expected total
226.7
KnicksThe matchupMavericks
−148Our fair odds+148
115.1Expected points111.6
+0.40Power rating−0.26
121.4Points / game110.3
115.2Allowed / game117.2
45.8FG%44.9
37.33P%31.1
46.8Rebounds / game45.1
8−5Season record4−11
6−4Last 102−8
OG AnunobyOutAnthony Davis · Dante Exum
Kyrie Irving · Ryan Nembhard

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NY chance · DAL chance
Our model fair59.7%40.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NYNew York Knicks−14860%————
DALDallas Mavericks+14840%————
SpreadNY by 3.5
NYNew York Knicks−3.5our margin————
DALDallas Mavericks+3.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 226.7
Over226.7our total————
Under226.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 3.5 expected
New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 35 points: <1%New York Knicks by 34 points: <1%New York Knicks by 33 points: <1%New York Knicks by 32 points: <1%New York Knicks by 31 points: 1%New York Knicks by 30 points: 1%New York Knicks by 29 points: 1%New York Knicks by 28 points: 1%New York Knicks by 27 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 22 points: 1%New York Knicks by 21 points: 1%New York Knicks by 20 points: 1%New York Knicks by 19 points: 1%New York Knicks by 18 points: 2%New York Knicks by 17 points: 2%New York Knicks by 16 points: 2%New York Knicks by 15 points: 2%New York Knicks by 14 points: 2%New York Knicks by 13 points: 2%New York Knicks by 12 points: 3%New York Knicks by 11 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 3 points: 3%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 1 point: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 2 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 3 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 4 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 5 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 6 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 7 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 8 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 9 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 10 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 11 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 12 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 13 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 14 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 15 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 16 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 17 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 18 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 19 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 20 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 21 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 22 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 23 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 24 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 25 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 26 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 27 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 28 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 29 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 30 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 31 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 32 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 33 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 34 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 35 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 36 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 37 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 38 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 39 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 40 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 41 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 42 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 43 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 44 points: <1%
← NY wins byDAL wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more50%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more35%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more22%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

226.7 expected
177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 216.569%
Total over 226.550%
Total over 236.530%
Total from 217 to 23639%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
New York Knicks
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GLandry Shametstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
CKarl-Anthony Townsstarted
CMitchell Robinsonstarted
Dallas Mavericks
GKlay Thompsonstarted
GBrandon Williamsstarted
GMax Christiestarted
FP.J. Washingtonstarted
CDereck Lively IIstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NY·DAL
Nov 17, 2025 at MIA
last game
Nov 17, 2025 at MIN
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 19, 5:00 PM ET
New York Knicks
NYOG Anunoby · left hamstring; strainedOut
NYJalen Brunson · right ankle; sprainedQuestionable
Dallas Mavericks
DALAnthony Davis · left calf; strainOut
DALDante Exum · right knee; injury managementOut
DALKyrie Irving · left knee; surgeryOut
DALRyan Nembhard · left knee; sprainOut
DALCaleb Martin · illness; illnessQuestionable
DALCooper Flagg · illness; illnessQuestionable
DALDaniel Gafford · right ankle; injury managementProbable
DALDereck Lively II · right knee; injury managementProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 13+ games
NY·DAL
+0.40
rating (0 = average)
−0.26
121.4
points / game
110.3
115.2
points allowed / game
117.2
8−5
season record
4−11
8−1
home record
3−7
0−4
away record
1−4
L1
streak
L1
6−4
last 10
2−8
45.8
FG%
44.9
37.3
3P%
31.1
46.8
rebounds / game
45.1
27.3
assists / game
23.9
13.8
turnovers / game
17.1
47.4
points in paint / game
50.3

Rating Trend

NY · DAL · 23 days
New York KnicksDallas Mavericks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · DAL 5−3
Mar 25, 2025at NYNY 128 − 113
Nov 27, 2024at DALDAL 129 − 114
Feb 8, 2024at NYDAL 122 − 108
Jan 11, 2024at DALDAL 128 − 124
Dec 27, 2022at DALDAL 126 − 121
Dec 3, 2022at NYDAL 121 − 100
Mar 9, 2022at DALNY 107 − 77
Jan 12, 2022at NYNY 108 − 85

NY · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Nov 17, 2025at MIA113 − 115L
Nov 14, 2025vs MIA140 − 132W
Nov 12, 2025vs ORL107 − 124L
Nov 11, 2025vs MEM133 − 120W
Nov 9, 2025vs BKN134 − 98W
Nov 5, 2025vs MIN137 − 114W
Nov 3, 2025vs WSH119 − 102W
Nov 2, 2025vs CHI128 − 116W
Oct 31, 2025at CHI125 − 135L
Oct 28, 2025at MIL111 − 121L

DAL · Last 10

2−8 · streak L1
Nov 17, 2025at MIN96 − 120L
Nov 16, 2025vs POR138 − 133W
Nov 14, 2025vs LAC127 − 133L
Nov 12, 2025vs PHX114 − 123L
Nov 10, 2025vs MIL114 − 116L
Nov 8, 2025at WSH111 − 105W
Nov 7, 2025at MEM104 − 118L
Nov 5, 2025vs NO99 − 101L
Nov 3, 2025at HOU102 − 110L
Nov 1, 2025at DET110 − 122L