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Suns at Timberwolves

NBA · Monday, Dec 8 · 6:30 PM CT · Target Center · Final PHX 108 – MIN 105
← NBA / Dec 8, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
PHX29322324108
MIN23342721105
Team box
PHX·MIN
41-90
field goals
39-83
12-33
3-pointers
11-42
14-20
free throws
16-23
43
rebounds
46
26
assists
26
9
turnovers
15
50
points in paint
40
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Anthony EdwardsMIN384092
Mark WilliamsPHX292273
Julius RandleMIN372138
Collin GillespiePHX331964
Dillon BrooksPHX311822
Rudy GobertMIN211581

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
MIN +11
PHX +11
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: MIN 2 · PHX 11lead changes: 2

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was PHX 32%, MIN 68% · Updated Dec 8, 2025

Expected margin
MIN by 7.2
Expected score
MIN 116.6 – 109.4 PHX
Expected total
226.0
SunsThe matchupTimberwolves
+216Our fair odds−216
109.4Expected points116.6
+0.05Power rating+0.59
116.2Points / game120.3
113.8Allowed / game115.0
46.9FG%48.7
36.83P%38.8
42.5Rebounds / game43.2
13−10Season record15−8
5−5Last 107−3
Devin Booker · Isaiah Livers
Jalen GreenOutRocco Zikarsky

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
PHX chance · MIN chance
Our model fair31.6%68.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PHXPhoenix Suns+21632%————
MINMinnesota Timberwolves−21668%————
SpreadMIN by 7.2
PHXPhoenix Suns+7.2our margin————
MINMinnesota Timberwolves−7.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 226.0
Over226.0our total————
Under226.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Minnesota Timberwolves by 7.2 expected
Phoenix Suns by 49 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 48 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 47 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 46 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 45 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 44 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 43 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 42 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 41 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 40 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 39 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 38 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 37 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 36 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 35 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 34 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 33 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 32 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 31 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 30 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 29 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 28 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 27 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 26 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 25 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 24 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 23 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 22 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 21 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 20 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 19 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 18 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 17 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 16 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 15 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 14 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 13 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 12 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 11 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 10 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 9 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 8 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 7 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 6 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 5 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 4 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 3 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 2 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 1 point: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 1 point: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 2 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 3 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 4 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 5 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 6 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 7 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 8 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 9 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 10 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 11 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 12 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 13 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 14 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 15 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 16 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 17 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 18 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 19 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 20 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 21 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 22 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 23 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 24 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 25 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 26 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 27 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 28 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 29 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 30 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 31 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 32 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 33 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 34 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 35 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 36 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 37 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 38 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 39 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 40 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 41 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 42 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 43 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 44 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 45 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 46 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 47 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 48 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 49 points: <1%
← PHX wins byMIN wins by →
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 5 or more59%
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 10 or more44%
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 15 or more30%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

226.0 expected
177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 216.568%
Total over 226.548%
Total over 236.529%
Total from 217 to 23639%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Phoenix Suns
GGrayson Allenstarted
GCollin Gillespiestarted
FRoyce O'Nealestarted
FDillon Brooksstarted
CMark Williamsstarted
Minnesota Timberwolves
GDonte DiVincenzostarted
GAnthony Edwardsstarted
FJulius Randlestarted
FJaden McDanielsstarted
CRudy Gobertstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
PHX·MIN
Dec 5, 2025 at HOU
last game
Dec 6, 2025 vs LAC
2 days
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
3
3rd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 8, 5:00 PM ET
Phoenix Suns
PHXDevin Booker · right groin; strainOut
PHXIsaiah Livers · right hip; strainOut
PHXJalen Green · right hamstring; strainOut
PHXDillon Brooks · left achilles; sorenessQuestionable
Minnesota Timberwolves
MINRocco Zikarsky · g league - two-wayOut
MINAnthony Edwards · n/a; illnessQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 23+ games
PHX·MIN
+0.05
rating (0 = average)
+0.59
116.2
points / game
120.3
113.8
points allowed / game
115.0
13−10
season record
15−8
8−4
home record
8−3
5−6
away record
7−5
L1
streak
W5
5−5
last 10
7−3
46.9
FG%
48.7
36.8
3P%
38.8
42.5
rebounds / game
43.2
25.4
assists / game
26.5
16.0
turnovers / game
15.1
45.9
points in paint / game
50.6

Rating Trend

PHX · MIN · 41 days
Phoenix SunsMinnesota Timberwolves
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · MIN 8−2
Nov 21, 2025at PHXPHX 114 − 113
Mar 28, 2025at MINMIN 124 − 109
Mar 2, 2025at PHXMIN 116 − 98
Jan 29, 2025at PHXMIN 121 − 113
Nov 17, 2024at MINMIN 120 − 117
Apr 28, 2024at PHXMIN 122 − 116post
Apr 26, 2024at PHXMIN 126 − 109post
Apr 23, 2024at MINMIN 105 − 93post
Apr 20, 2024at MINMIN 120 − 95post
Apr 14, 2024at MINPHX 125 − 106

PHX · Last 10

5−5 · streak L1
Dec 5, 2025at HOU98 − 117L
Dec 1, 2025at LAL125 − 108W
Nov 29, 2025vs DEN112 − 130L
Nov 28, 2025at OKC119 − 123L
Nov 26, 2025at SAC112 − 100W
Nov 24, 2025vs HOU92 − 114L
Nov 23, 2025vs SA111 − 102W
Nov 21, 2025vs MIN114 − 113W
Nov 18, 2025at POR127 − 110W
Nov 16, 2025vs ATL122 − 124L

MIN · Last 10

7−3 · streak W5
Dec 6, 2025vs LAC109 − 106W
Dec 4, 2025at NO125 − 116W
Dec 2, 2025at NO149 − 142W
Nov 30, 2025vs SA125 − 112W
Nov 29, 2025vs BOS119 − 115W
Nov 26, 2025at OKC105 − 113L
Nov 24, 2025at SAC112 − 117L
Nov 21, 2025at PHX113 − 114L
Nov 19, 2025vs WSH120 − 109W
Nov 17, 2025vs DAL120 − 96W