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Suns at Kings

NBA · Wednesday, Nov 26 · 9:00 PM CT · Golden 1 Center · Final PHX 112 – SAC 100
← NBA / Nov 26, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
PHX41261629112
SAC16292827100
Team box
PHX·SAC
42-91
field goals
40-86
14-42
3-pointers
12-34
14-20
free throws
8-10
47
rebounds
41
25
assists
20
17
turnovers
19
52
points in paint
48
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Mark WilliamsPHX2921164
Collin GillespiePHX342139
Devin BookerPHX391976
Russell WestbrookSAC311983
Keegan MurraySAC381983
Malik MonkSAC231512

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
SAC +25
PHX +25
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: SAC 0 · PHX 25lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was PHX 49%, SAC 51% · Updated Nov 26, 2025

Expected margin
PHX by 0.8
Expected score
PHX 117.2 – 116.4 SAC
Expected total
233.6
SunsThe matchupKings
+105Our fair odds−105
117.2Expected points116.4
+0.01Power rating−0.19
117.1Points / game112.3
113.3Allowed / game123.7
47.0FG%46.6
38.33P%35.7
43.4Rebounds / game39.7
11−7Season record5−13
8−2Last 102−8
Grayson Allen · Jalen Green
Ryan DunnOutDaeqwon Plowden · Domantas Sabonis
Dylan Cardwell · Isaiah Stevens

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
PHX chance · SAC chance
Our model fair48.8%51.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PHXPhoenix Suns+10549%————
SACSacramento Kings−10551%————
SpreadPHX by 0.8
PHXPhoenix Suns−0.8our margin————
SACSacramento Kings+0.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 233.6
Over233.6our total————
Under233.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Phoenix Suns by 0.8 expected
Phoenix Suns by 41 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 40 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 39 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 38 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 37 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 36 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 35 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 34 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 33 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 32 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 31 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 30 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 29 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 28 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 27 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 26 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 25 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 24 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 23 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 22 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 21 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 20 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 19 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 18 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 17 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 16 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 15 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 14 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 13 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 12 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 11 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 10 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 9 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 8 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 7 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 6 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 5 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 4 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 3 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 2 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 1 point: 2%Sacramento Kings by 1 point: 2%Sacramento Kings by 2 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 3 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 4 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 5 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 6 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 7 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 8 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 9 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 10 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 11 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 12 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 13 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 14 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 15 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 16 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 17 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 18 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 19 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 20 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 21 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 22 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 23 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 24 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 25 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 26 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 27 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 28 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 29 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 30 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 31 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 32 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 33 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 34 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 35 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 36 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 37 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 38 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 39 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 40 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 41 points: <1%
← PHX wins bySAC wins by →
Phoenix Suns wins by 5 or more42%
Phoenix Suns wins by 10 or more28%
Phoenix Suns wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

233.6 expected
183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 223.569%
Total over 233.549%
Total over 243.530%
Total from 224 to 24338%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Phoenix Suns
GDevin Bookerstarted
GCollin Gillespiestarted
FRoyce O'Nealestarted
FDillon Brooksstarted
CMark Williamsstarted
Sacramento Kings
GRussell Westbrookstarted
GDeMar DeRozanstarted
GZach LaVinestarted
FDrew Eubanksstarted
FKeegan Murraystarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
PHX·SAC
Nov 24, 2025 vs HOU
last game
Nov 24, 2025 vs MIN
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 26, 5:00 PM ET
Phoenix Suns
PHXGrayson Allen · right quadriceps; contusionOut
PHXJalen Green · right hamstring; strainOut
PHXRyan Dunn · right wrist; sprainOut
Sacramento Kings
SACDaeqwon Plowden · g league - two-wayOut
SACDomantas Sabonis · left knee; partial meniscus tearOut
SACDylan Cardwell · g league - two-wayOut
SACIsaiah Stevens · g league - two-wayOut
SACDennis Schroder · right hip; sorenessQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 18+ games
PHX·SAC
+0.01
rating (0 = average)
−0.19
117.1
points / game
112.3
113.3
points allowed / game
123.7
11−7
season record
5−13
8−3
home record
3−5
3−4
away record
2−8
L1
streak
W2
8−2
last 10
2−8
47.0
FG%
46.6
38.3
3P%
35.7
43.4
rebounds / game
39.7
25.9
assists / game
26.3
16.6
turnovers / game
14.2
44.4
points in paint / game
48.8

Rating Trend

PHX · SAC · 30 days
Phoenix SunsSacramento Kings
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · SAC 5−5
Oct 22, 2025at PHXPHX 120 − 116
Apr 13, 2025at SACSAC 109 − 98
Mar 14, 2025at PHXPHX 122 − 106
Nov 13, 2024at SACSAC 127 − 104
Nov 10, 2024at PHXSAC 127 − 118
Apr 12, 2024at SACPHX 108 − 107
Feb 13, 2024at PHXPHX 130 − 125
Jan 16, 2024at PHXPHX 119 − 117
Dec 22, 2023at SACSAC 120 − 105
Dec 8, 2023at PHXSAC 114 − 106

PHX · Last 10

8−2 · streak L1
Nov 24, 2025vs HOU92 − 114L
Nov 23, 2025vs SA111 − 102W
Nov 21, 2025vs MIN114 − 113W
Nov 18, 2025at POR127 − 110W
Nov 16, 2025vs ATL122 − 124L
Nov 13, 2025vs IND133 − 98W
Nov 12, 2025at DAL123 − 114W
Nov 10, 2025vs NO121 − 98W
Nov 8, 2025at LAC114 − 103W
Nov 6, 2025vs LAC115 − 102W

SAC · Last 10

2−8 · streak W2
Nov 24, 2025vs MIN117 − 112W
Nov 22, 2025at DEN128 − 123W
Nov 20, 2025at MEM96 − 137L
Nov 19, 2025at OKC99 − 113L
Nov 16, 2025at SA110 − 123L
Nov 14, 2025at MIN110 − 124L
Nov 12, 2025vs ATL100 − 133L
Nov 11, 2025vs DEN108 − 122L
Nov 9, 2025vs MIN117 − 144L
Nov 7, 2025vs OKC101 − 132L