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Pelicans at Suns

NBA · Monday, Nov 10 · 8:00 PM CT · Mortgage Matchup Center · Final NO 98 – PHX 121
← NBA / Nov 10, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
NO2219312698
PHX29353225121
Team box
NO·PHX
34-83
field goals
39-78
10-32
3-pointers
19-43
20-26
free throws
24-31
40
rebounds
43
18
assists
29
20
turnovers
18
48
points in paint
32
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Grayson AllenPHX284224
Trey Murphy IIINO3321104
Devin BookerPHX271903
Dillon BrooksPHX261850
Saddiq BeyNO291570
Jeremiah FearsNO311521

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHX +32
NO +32
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHX 32 · NO 4lead changes: 2

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NO 30%, PHX 70% · Updated Nov 10, 2025

Expected margin
PHX by 6.3
Expected score
PHX 120.0 – 113.6 NO
Expected total
233.6
PelicansThe matchupSuns
+231Our fair odds−231
113.6Expected points120.0
−0.81Power rating−0.19
109.1Points / game116.4
121.3Allowed / game116.7
43.4FG%46.3
35.43P%38.3
42.1Rebounds / game42.9
2−7Season record5−5
2−8Last 105−5
Dejounte Murray · Hunter Dickinson
Jordan Poole · Trey Alexander
Zion WilliamsonOutJalen Green

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NO chance · PHX chance
Our model fair30.2%69.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NONew Orleans Pelicans+23130%————
PHXPhoenix Suns−23170%————
SpreadPHX by 6.3
NONew Orleans Pelicans+6.3our margin————
PHXPhoenix Suns−6.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 233.6
Over233.6our total————
Under233.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Phoenix Suns by 6.3 expected
New Orleans Pelicans by 48 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 47 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 46 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 45 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 44 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 43 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 42 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 41 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 40 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 39 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 38 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 37 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 36 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 35 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 34 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 33 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 32 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 31 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 30 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 29 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 28 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 27 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 26 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 25 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 24 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 23 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 22 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 21 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 20 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 19 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 18 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 17 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 16 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 15 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 14 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 13 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 12 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 11 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 10 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 9 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 8 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 7 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 6 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 5 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 4 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 3 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 2 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 1 point: 2%Phoenix Suns by 1 point: 2%Phoenix Suns by 2 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 3 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 4 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 5 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 6 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 7 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 8 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 9 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 10 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 11 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 12 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 13 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 14 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 15 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 16 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 17 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 18 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 19 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 20 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 21 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 22 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 23 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 24 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 25 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 26 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 27 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 28 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 29 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 30 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 31 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 32 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 33 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 34 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 35 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 36 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 37 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 38 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 39 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 40 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 41 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 42 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 43 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 44 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 45 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 46 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 47 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 48 points: <1%
← NO wins byPHX wins by →
Phoenix Suns wins by 5 or more57%
Phoenix Suns wins by 10 or more42%
Phoenix Suns wins by 15 or more28%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

233.6 expected
183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 223.569%
Total over 233.549%
Total over 243.530%
Total from 224 to 24338%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
New Orleans Pelicans
GSaddiq Beystarted
GJeremiah Fearsstarted
FKevon Looneystarted
FHerbert Jonesstarted
FTrey Murphy IIIstarted
Phoenix Suns
GGrayson Allenstarted
GDevin Bookerstarted
FRoyce O'Nealestarted
FDillon Brooksstarted
CMark Williamsstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NO·PHX
Nov 8, 2025 at SA
last game
Nov 8, 2025 at LAC
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
3rd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 10, 5:00 PM ET
New Orleans Pelicans
NODejounte Murray · right achilles; ruptureOut
NOHunter Dickinson · g league - two-wayOut
NOJordan Poole · left quad; strainOut
NOTrey Alexander · g league - two-wayOut
NOZion Williamson · left hamstring; strainOut
Phoenix Suns
PHXJalen Green · right hamstring; injuryOut
PHXRoyce O'Neale · n/a; illnessProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 9+ games
NO·PHX
−0.81
rating (0 = average)
−0.19
109.1
points / game
116.4
121.3
points allowed / game
116.7
2−7
season record
5−5
1−2
home record
4−1
1−5
away record
1−4
L1
streak
W2
2−8
last 10
5−5
43.4
FG%
46.3
35.4
3P%
38.3
42.1
rebounds / game
42.9
22.7
assists / game
27.8
14.6
turnovers / game
16.8
49.1
points in paint / game
42.0

Rating Trend

NO · PHX · 14 days
New Orleans PelicansPhoenix Suns
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · PHX 5−5
Feb 28, 2025at PHXPHX 125 − 108
Feb 27, 2025at PHXNO 124 − 116
Dec 5, 2024at NONO 126 − 124
Apr 7, 2024at PHXNO 113 − 105
Apr 1, 2024at NOPHX 124 − 111
Jan 19, 2024at NOPHX 123 − 109
Dec 17, 2022at PHXPHX 118 − 114
Dec 11, 2022at NONO 129 − 124
Dec 9, 2022at NONO 128 − 117
Oct 28, 2022at PHXPHX 124 − 111

NO · Last 10

2−8 · streak L1
Nov 8, 2025at SA119 − 126L
Nov 5, 2025at DAL101 − 99W
Nov 4, 2025vs CHA116 − 112W
Nov 2, 2025at OKC106 − 137L
Oct 31, 2025at LAC124 − 126L
Oct 29, 2025at DEN88 − 122L
Oct 27, 2025vs BOS90 − 122L
Oct 24, 2025vs SA116 − 120L
Oct 22, 2025at MEM122 − 128L
Apr 13, 2025vs OKC100 − 115L

PHX · Last 10

5−5 · streak W2
Nov 8, 2025at LAC114 − 103W
Nov 6, 2025vs LAC115 − 102W
Nov 4, 2025at GS107 − 118L
Nov 2, 2025vs SA130 − 118W
Oct 31, 2025vs UTAH118 − 96W
Oct 29, 2025vs MEM113 − 114L
Oct 27, 2025at UTAH134 − 138L
Oct 25, 2025at DEN111 − 133L
Oct 24, 2025at LAC102 − 129L
Oct 22, 2025vs SAC120 − 116W