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Rockets at Suns

NBA · Monday, Nov 24 · 8:30 PM CT · Mortgage Matchup Center · Final HOU 114 – PHX 92
← NBA / Nov 24, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
HOU30292530114
PHX2327251792
Team box
HOU·PHX
43-88
field goals
33-80
13-31
3-pointers
13-37
15-17
free throws
13-19
41
rebounds
39
26
assists
11
16
turnovers
21
54
points in paint
30
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Dillon BrooksPHX322930
Amen ThompsonHOU372878
Aaron HolidayHOU272212
Alperen SengunHOU351855
Devin BookerPHX381835
Jabari Smith Jr.HOU321771

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHX +23
HOU +23
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHX 2 · HOU 23lead changes: 3

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was HOU 59%, PHX 41% · Updated Nov 24, 2025

Expected margin
HOU by 2.7
Expected score
HOU 116.2 – 113.6 PHX
Expected total
229.8
RocketsThe matchupSuns
−142Our fair odds+142
116.2Expected points113.6
+0.59Power rating−0.03
122.9Points / game118.5
112.5Allowed / game113.3
48.6FG%47.4
42.43P%38.5
49.6Rebounds / game43.6
10−4Season record11−6
8−2Last 108−2
Dorian Finney-Smith · Fred VanVleet
Jae'Sean Tate · Kevin Durant
Kevon HarrisOutGrayson Allen · Jalen Green
Mark Williams · Ryan Dunn

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
HOU chance · PHX chance
Our model fair58.7%41.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
HOUHouston Rockets−14259%————
PHXPhoenix Suns+14241%————
SpreadHOU by 2.7
HOUHouston Rockets−2.7our margin————
PHXPhoenix Suns+2.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 229.8
Over229.8our total————
Under229.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Houston Rockets by 2.7 expected
Houston Rockets by 43 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 42 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 41 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 40 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 39 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 38 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 37 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 36 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 35 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 34 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 33 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 32 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 31 points: <1%Houston Rockets by 30 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 29 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 28 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 27 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 26 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 25 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 24 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 23 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 22 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 21 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 20 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 19 points: 1%Houston Rockets by 18 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 17 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 16 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 15 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 14 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 13 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 12 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 11 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 10 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 9 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 8 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 7 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 6 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 5 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 4 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 3 points: 3%Houston Rockets by 2 points: 2%Houston Rockets by 1 point: 2%Phoenix Suns by 1 point: 2%Phoenix Suns by 2 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 3 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 4 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 5 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 6 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 7 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 8 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 9 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 10 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 11 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 12 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 13 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 14 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 15 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 16 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 17 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 18 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 19 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 20 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 21 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 22 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 23 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 24 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 25 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 26 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 27 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 28 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 29 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 30 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 31 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 32 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 33 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 34 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 35 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 36 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 37 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 38 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 39 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 40 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 41 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 42 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 43 points: <1%
← HOU wins byPHX wins by →
Houston Rockets wins by 5 or more47%
Houston Rockets wins by 10 or more33%
Houston Rockets wins by 15 or more21%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Total range

229.8 expected
180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 219.569%
Total over 229.550%
Total over 239.530%
Total from 220 to 23939%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Houston Rockets
GJosh Okogiestarted
GAmen Thompsonstarted
GReed Sheppardstarted
FJabari Smith Jr.started
CAlperen Sengunstarted
Phoenix Suns
GDevin Bookerstarted
GJordan Goodwinstarted
FRoyce O'Nealestarted
FDillon Brooksstarted
CNick Richardsstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
HOU·PHX
Nov 21, 2025 vs DEN
last game
Nov 23, 2025 vs SA
2 days
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
2
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 24, 5:00 PM ET
Houston Rockets
HOUDorian Finney-Smith · left ankle; surgeryOut
HOUFred VanVleet · right knee; acl repairOut
HOUJae'Sean Tate · personal reasonsOut
HOUKevin Durant · personal reasonsOut
HOUKevon Harris · g league - two-wayOut
HOUTari Eason · right oblique; strainOut
HOUSteven Adams · right ankle; tendinopathyQuestionable
Phoenix Suns
PHXGrayson Allen · right quadriceps; contusionOut
PHXJalen Green · right hamstring; strainOut
PHXMark Williams · right knee; injury managementOut
PHXRyan Dunn · right wrist; sprainOut
PHXRasheer Fleming · left ankle; sprainQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 14+ games
HOU·PHX
+0.59
rating (0 = average)
−0.03
122.9
points / game
118.5
112.5
points allowed / game
113.3
10−4
season record
11−6
5−2
home record
8−2
5−2
away record
3−4
L1
streak
W3
8−2
last 10
8−2
48.6
FG%
47.4
42.4
3P%
38.5
49.6
rebounds / game
43.6
25.3
assists / game
26.8
15.7
turnovers / game
16.4
53.1
points in paint / game
45.3

Rating Trend

HOU · PHX · 28 days
Houston RocketsPhoenix Suns
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · PHX 3−7
Mar 30, 2025at PHXHOU 148 − 109
Mar 12, 2025at HOUHOU 111 − 104
Feb 12, 2025at HOUHOU 119 − 111
Mar 2, 2024at PHXHOU 118 − 109
Feb 29, 2024at PHXPHX 110 − 105
Feb 23, 2024at HOUHOU 114 − 110
Dec 27, 2023at HOUPHX 129 − 113
Dec 13, 2022at HOUHOU 111 − 97
Dec 2, 2022at PHXHOU 122 − 121
Oct 30, 2022at PHXPHX 124 − 109

HOU · Last 10

8−2 · streak L1
Nov 21, 2025vs DEN109 − 112L
Nov 19, 2025at CLE114 − 104W
Nov 16, 2025vs ORL117 − 113W
Nov 14, 2025vs POR140 − 116W
Nov 12, 2025vs WSH135 − 112W
Nov 9, 2025at MIL122 − 115W
Nov 7, 2025at SA110 − 121L
Nov 5, 2025at MEM124 − 109W
Nov 3, 2025vs DAL110 − 102W
Nov 1, 2025at BOS128 − 101W

PHX · Last 10

8−2 · streak W3
Nov 23, 2025vs SA111 − 102W
Nov 21, 2025vs MIN114 − 113W
Nov 18, 2025at POR127 − 110W
Nov 16, 2025vs ATL122 − 124L
Nov 13, 2025vs IND133 − 98W
Nov 12, 2025at DAL123 − 114W
Nov 10, 2025vs NO121 − 98W
Nov 8, 2025at LAC114 − 103W
Nov 6, 2025vs LAC115 − 102W
Nov 4, 2025at GS107 − 118L