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Suns at Trail Blazers

NBA · Tuesday, Nov 18 · 10:00 PM CT · Moda Center · Final PHX 127 – POR 110

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
PHX35293627127
POR32292128110
Team box
PHX·POR
47-98
field goals
42-97
14-40
3-pointers
10-41
19-22
free throws
16-20
46
rebounds
43
24
assists
24
18
turnovers
20
58
points in paint
58
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Shaedon SharpePOR302923
Devin BookerPHX291965
Deni AvdijaPOR291955
Collin GillespiePHX281936
Caleb LovePOR321773
Mark WilliamsPHX211561

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
POR +25
PHX +25
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: POR 3 · PHX 25lead changes: 2

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was PHX 48%, POR 52% · Updated Nov 18, 2025

Expected margin
POR by 0.0
Expected score
POR 115.8 – 115.8 PHX
Expected total
231.6
SunsThe matchupTrail Blazers
+110Our fair odds−110
115.8Expected points115.8
−0.03Power rating−0.20
118.8Points / game121.5
114.4Allowed / game122.2
47.5FG%45.5
38.43P%33.4
43.4Rebounds / game43.7
8−6Season record6−7
7−3Last 105−5
Grayson Allen · Jalen Green
Koby Brea
OutBlake Wesley · Damian Lillard
Matisse Thybulle · Scoot Henderson

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
PHX chance · POR chance
Our model fair47.7%52.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PHXPhoenix Suns+11048%————
PORPortland Trail Blazers−11052%————
SpreadPOR by 0.0
PHXPhoenix SunsPKour margin————
PORPortland Trail BlazersPKour margin————
Totalwe expect 231.6
Over231.6our total————
Under231.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Even game expected
Phoenix Suns by 41 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 40 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 39 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 38 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 37 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 36 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 35 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 34 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 33 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 32 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 31 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 30 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 29 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 28 points: <1%Phoenix Suns by 27 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 26 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 25 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 24 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 23 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 22 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 21 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 20 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 19 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 18 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 17 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 16 points: 1%Phoenix Suns by 15 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 14 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 13 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 12 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 11 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 10 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 9 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 8 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 7 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 6 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 5 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 4 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 3 points: 3%Phoenix Suns by 2 points: 2%Phoenix Suns by 1 point: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 3%Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1%
← PHX wins byPOR wins by →
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 5 or more40%
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 10 or more27%
Portland Trail Blazers wins by 15 or more16%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

231.6 expected
182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 221.569%
Total over 231.549%
Total over 241.530%
Total from 222 to 24139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Phoenix Suns
GDevin Bookerstarted
FRyan Dunnstarted
Portland Trail Blazers
FKris Murraystarted
FDeni Avdijastarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
PHX·POR
Nov 16, 2025 vs ATL
last game
Nov 16, 2025 at DAL
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 18, 5:00 PM ET
Phoenix Suns
PHXGrayson Allen · right quadriceps; contusionOut
PHXJalen Green · right hamstring; strainOut
PHXKoby Brea · g league - two-wayOut
Portland Trail Blazers
PORBlake Wesley · right foot; fractureOut
PORDamian Lillard · left achilles tendon; injury managementOut
PORMatisse Thybulle · left thumb; ligament tearOut
PORScoot Henderson · left hamstring; tearOut
PORJrue Holiday · right calf; sorenessDoubtful

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 13+ games
PHX·POR
−0.03
rating (0 = average)
−0.20
118.8
points / game
121.5
114.4
points allowed / game
122.2
8−6
season record
6−7
6−2
home record
3−2
2−4
away record
3−5
L1
streak
L2
7−3
last 10
5−5
47.5
FG%
45.5
38.4
3P%
33.4
43.4
rebounds / game
43.7
27.1
assists / game
25.5
16.1
turnovers / game
16.3
44.3
points in paint / game
53.7

Rating Trend

PHX · POR · 22 days
Phoenix SunsPortland Trail Blazers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · POR 4−6
Feb 3, 2025at PORPOR 121 − 119
Feb 1, 2025at PORPOR 127 − 108
Dec 15, 2024at PHXPHX 116 − 109
Nov 2, 2024at PHXPHX 103 − 97
Jan 14, 2024at PORPHX 127 − 116
Jan 1, 2024at PHXPHX 109 − 88
Dec 19, 2023at PORPOR 109 − 104
Nov 21, 2023at PHXPHX 120 − 107
Nov 5, 2022at PHXPHX 102 − 82
Nov 4, 2022at PHXPOR 108 − 106

PHX · Last 10

7−3 · streak L1
Nov 16, 2025vs ATL122 − 124L
Nov 13, 2025vs IND133 − 98W
Nov 12, 2025at DAL123 − 114W
Nov 10, 2025vs NO121 − 98W
Nov 8, 2025at LAC114 − 103W
Nov 6, 2025vs LAC115 − 102W
Nov 4, 2025at GS107 − 118L
Nov 2, 2025vs SA130 − 118W
Oct 31, 2025vs UTAH118 − 96W
Oct 29, 2025vs MEM113 − 114L

POR · Last 10

5−5 · streak L2
Nov 16, 2025at DAL133 − 138L
Nov 14, 2025at HOU116 − 140L
Nov 12, 2025at NO125 − 117W
Nov 10, 2025at ORL112 − 115L
Nov 8, 2025at MIA131 − 136L
Nov 5, 2025vs OKC121 − 119W
Nov 3, 2025vs LAL115 − 123L
Oct 31, 2025vs DEN109 − 107W
Oct 29, 2025at UTAH136 − 134W
Oct 27, 2025at LAL122 − 108W