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Clippers at Timberwolves

NBA · Saturday, Dec 6 · 7:00 PM CT · Target Center · Final LAC 106 – MIN 109
← NBA / Dec 6, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
LAC34222228106
MIN22203037109
Team box
LAC·MIN
40-85
field goals
34-68
9-29
3-pointers
11-25
17-25
free throws
30-34
35
rebounds
35
16
assists
23
11
turnovers
14
54
points in paint
40
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
James HardenLAC393456
Jaden McDanielsMIN372712
Julius RandleMIN332436
Kawhi LeonardLAC312032
Naz ReidMIN281993
Ivica ZubacLAC3815132

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
MIN +18
LAC +18
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: MIN 9 · LAC 18lead changes: 3

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAC 31%, MIN 69% · Updated Dec 6, 2025

Expected margin
MIN by 7.3
Expected score
MIN 114.4 – 107.1 LAC
Expected total
221.5
ClippersThe matchupTimberwolves
+219Our fair odds−219
107.1Expected points114.4
+0.04Power rating+0.59
111.8Points / game120.8
117.1Allowed / game115.5
46.9FG%48.6
35.13P%38.6
41.5Rebounds / game43.6
6−17Season record14−8
2−8Last 106−4
Bradley Beal · Chris Paul
Derrick Jones Jr. · Jordan MillerOutEnrique Freeman · Rocco Zikarsky

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAC chance · MIN chance
Our model fair31.3%68.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LACLA Clippers+21931%————
MINMinnesota Timberwolves−21969%————
SpreadMIN by 7.3
LACLA Clippers+7.3our margin————
MINMinnesota Timberwolves−7.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 221.5
Over221.5our total————
Under221.5our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Minnesota Timberwolves by 7.3 expected
LA Clippers by 50 points: <1%LA Clippers by 49 points: <1%LA Clippers by 48 points: <1%LA Clippers by 47 points: <1%LA Clippers by 46 points: <1%LA Clippers by 45 points: <1%LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 32 points: <1%LA Clippers by 31 points: <1%LA Clippers by 30 points: <1%LA Clippers by 29 points: <1%LA Clippers by 28 points: <1%LA Clippers by 27 points: <1%LA Clippers by 26 points: <1%LA Clippers by 25 points: <1%LA Clippers by 24 points: <1%LA Clippers by 23 points: <1%LA Clippers by 22 points: <1%LA Clippers by 21 points: <1%LA Clippers by 20 points: <1%LA Clippers by 19 points: 1%LA Clippers by 18 points: 1%LA Clippers by 17 points: 1%LA Clippers by 16 points: 1%LA Clippers by 15 points: 1%LA Clippers by 14 points: 1%LA Clippers by 13 points: 1%LA Clippers by 12 points: 1%LA Clippers by 11 points: 1%LA Clippers by 10 points: 2%LA Clippers by 9 points: 2%LA Clippers by 8 points: 2%LA Clippers by 7 points: 2%LA Clippers by 6 points: 2%LA Clippers by 5 points: 2%LA Clippers by 4 points: 2%LA Clippers by 3 points: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 1 point: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 2 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 3 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 4 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 5 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 6 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 7 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 8 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 9 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 10 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 11 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 12 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 13 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 14 points: 3%Minnesota Timberwolves by 15 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 16 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 17 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 18 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 19 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 20 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 21 points: 2%Minnesota Timberwolves by 22 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 23 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 24 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 25 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 26 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 27 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 28 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 29 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 30 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 31 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 32 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 33 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 34 points: 1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 35 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 36 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 37 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 38 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 39 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 40 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 41 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 42 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 43 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 44 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 45 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 46 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 47 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 48 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 49 points: <1%Minnesota Timberwolves by 50 points: <1%
← LAC wins byMIN wins by →
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 5 or more60%
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 10 or more44%
Minnesota Timberwolves wins by 15 or more30%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

221.5 expected
174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 211.569%
Total over 221.550%
Total over 231.530%
Total from 212 to 23139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
LA Clippers
GJames Hardenstarted
GKris Dunnstarted
FKawhi Leonardstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
CIvica Zubacstarted
Minnesota Timberwolves
GDonte DiVincenzostarted
GAnthony Edwardsstarted
FJulius Randlestarted
FJaden McDanielsstarted
CRudy Gobertstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAC·MIN
Dec 5, 2025 at MEM
last game
Dec 4, 2025 at NO
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
4
4th straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 6, 5:00 PM ET
LA Clippers
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACChris Paul · not with teamOut
LACDerrick Jones Jr. · right knee; sprainOut
LACJordan Miller · back; injury managementOut
LACBogdan Bogdanovic · left hip; contusionProbable
Minnesota Timberwolves
MINEnrique Freeman · g league - two-wayOut
MINRocco Zikarsky · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 22+ games
LAC·MIN
+0.04
rating (0 = average)
+0.59
111.8
points / game
120.8
117.1
points allowed / game
115.5
6−17
season record
14−8
3−7
home record
7−3
3−10
away record
7−5
L1
streak
W4
2−8
last 10
6−4
46.9
FG%
48.6
35.1
3P%
38.6
41.5
rebounds / game
43.6
23.9
assists / game
26.7
15.7
turnovers / game
15.2
47.8
points in paint / game
51.1

Rating Trend

LAC · MIN · 39 days
LA ClippersMinnesota Timberwolves
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · MIN 8−2
Jan 6, 2025at MINMIN 108 − 106
Dec 4, 2024at LACMIN 108 − 80
Nov 29, 2024at MINMIN 93 − 92
Mar 12, 2024at LACMIN 118 − 100
Mar 3, 2024at MINLAC 89 − 88
Feb 12, 2024at LACMIN 121 − 100
Jan 14, 2024at MINMIN 109 − 105
Feb 28, 2023at LACMIN 108 − 101
Jan 6, 2023at MINMIN 128 − 115
Dec 14, 2022at LACLAC 99 − 88

LAC · Last 10

2−8 · streak L1
Dec 5, 2025at MEM98 − 107L
Dec 3, 2025at ATL115 − 92W
Dec 1, 2025at MIA123 − 140L
Nov 29, 2025vs DAL110 − 114L
Nov 28, 2025vs MEM107 − 112L
Nov 25, 2025at LAL118 − 135L
Nov 23, 2025at CLE105 − 120L
Nov 22, 2025at CHA131 − 116W
Nov 20, 2025at ORL101 − 129L
Nov 17, 2025at PHI108 − 110L

MIN · Last 10

6−4 · streak W4
Dec 4, 2025at NO125 − 116W
Dec 2, 2025at NO149 − 142W
Nov 30, 2025vs SA125 − 112W
Nov 29, 2025vs BOS119 − 115W
Nov 26, 2025at OKC105 − 113L
Nov 24, 2025at SAC112 − 117L
Nov 21, 2025at PHX113 − 114L
Nov 19, 2025vs WSH120 − 109W
Nov 17, 2025vs DAL120 − 96W
Nov 15, 2025vs DEN112 − 123L