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Mavericks at Clippers

NBA · Saturday, Nov 29 · 9:00 PM CT · Intuit Dome · Final DAL 114 – LAC 110
← NBA / Nov 29, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
DAL25243431114
LAC28282727110
Team box
DAL·LAC
40-90
field goals
37-80
11-39
3-pointers
7-25
23-28
free throws
29-31
37
rebounds
46
22
assists
25
9
turnovers
18
50
points in paint
48
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Cooper FlaggDAL383582
Kawhi LeonardLAC293083
James HardenLAC3729811
Klay ThompsonDAL262331
John CollinsLAC362141
Ivica ZubacLAC3819114

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAC +10
DAL +10
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAC 10 · DAL 5lead changes: 15

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was DAL 34%, LAC 66% · Updated Nov 29, 2025

Expected margin
LAC by 6.0
Expected score
LAC 114.3 – 108.3 DAL
Expected total
222.7
MavericksThe matchupClippers
+197Our fair odds−197
108.3Expected points114.3
−0.29Power rating+0.15
110.0Points / game111.9
116.2Allowed / game117.9
44.4FG%47.1
32.33P%36.1
45.1Rebounds / game40.6
5−15Season record5−14
2−8Last 102−8
Anthony Davis · Daniel Gafford
Dante Exum · Dereck Lively II
Kyrie IrvingOutBogdan Bogdanovic · Bradley Beal
Derrick Jones Jr. · Jordan Miller

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
DAL chance · LAC chance
Our model fair33.6%66.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
DALDallas Mavericks+19734%————
LACLA Clippers−19766%————
SpreadLAC by 6.0
DALDallas Mavericks+6our margin————
LACLA Clippers−6our margin————
Totalwe expect 222.7
Over222.7our total————
Under222.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

LA Clippers by 6.0 expected
Dallas Mavericks by 48 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 47 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 46 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 45 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 44 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 43 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 42 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 41 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 40 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 39 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 38 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 37 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 36 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 35 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 34 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 33 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 32 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 31 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 30 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 29 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 28 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 27 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 26 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 25 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 24 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 23 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 22 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 21 points: <1%Dallas Mavericks by 20 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 19 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 18 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 17 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 16 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 15 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 14 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 13 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 12 points: 1%Dallas Mavericks by 11 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 10 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 9 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 8 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 7 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 6 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 5 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 4 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 3 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 2 points: 2%Dallas Mavericks by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 3 points: 3%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 8 points: 3%LA Clippers by 9 points: 3%LA Clippers by 10 points: 3%LA Clippers by 11 points: 3%LA Clippers by 12 points: 3%LA Clippers by 13 points: 3%LA Clippers by 14 points: 2%LA Clippers by 15 points: 2%LA Clippers by 16 points: 2%LA Clippers by 17 points: 2%LA Clippers by 18 points: 2%LA Clippers by 19 points: 2%LA Clippers by 20 points: 2%LA Clippers by 21 points: 1%LA Clippers by 22 points: 1%LA Clippers by 23 points: 1%LA Clippers by 24 points: 1%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 26 points: 1%LA Clippers by 27 points: 1%LA Clippers by 28 points: 1%LA Clippers by 29 points: 1%LA Clippers by 30 points: 1%LA Clippers by 31 points: 1%LA Clippers by 32 points: 1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 45 points: <1%LA Clippers by 46 points: <1%LA Clippers by 47 points: <1%LA Clippers by 48 points: <1%
← DAL wins byLAC wins by →
LA Clippers wins by 5 or more56%
LA Clippers wins by 10 or more41%
LA Clippers wins by 15 or more27%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

222.7 expected
175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 212.570%
Total over 222.550%
Total over 232.530%
Total from 213 to 23239%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Dallas Mavericks
GMax Christiestarted
GRyan Nembhardstarted
FDwight Powellstarted
FNaji Marshallstarted
FCooper Flaggstarted
LA Clippers
GJames Hardenstarted
GKris Dunnstarted
FKawhi Leonardstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
CIvica Zubacstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
DAL·LAC
Nov 28, 2025 at LAL
last game
Nov 28, 2025 vs MEM
0 days
days of rest
0 days
yes
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
4
3rd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 29, 5:00 PM ET
Dallas Mavericks
DALAnthony Davis · left calf; injury managementOut
DALDaniel Gafford · right ankle; injury managementOut
DALDante Exum · right knee; injury managementOut
DALDereck Lively II · right foot; injury managementOut
DALKyrie Irving · left knee; surgeryOut
LA Clippers
LACBogdan Bogdanovic · left hip; contusionOut
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACDerrick Jones Jr. · right knee; sprainOut
LACJordan Miller · left hamstring; injury managementOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 19+ games
DAL·LAC
−0.29
rating (0 = average)
+0.15
110.0
points / game
111.9
116.2
points allowed / game
117.9
5−15
season record
5−14
4−9
home record
3−6
1−6
away record
2−8
L3
streak
L3
2−8
last 10
2−8
44.4
FG%
47.1
32.3
3P%
36.1
45.1
rebounds / game
40.6
24.1
assists / game
23.7
16.6
turnovers / game
15.9
48.2
points in paint / game
47.3

Rating Trend

DAL · LAC · 32 days
Dallas MavericksLA Clippers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · LAC 5−5
Nov 14, 2025at DALLAC 133 − 127
Apr 5, 2025at LACLAC 135 − 104
Apr 4, 2025at LACLAC 114 − 91
Dec 21, 2024at DALDAL 113 − 97
Dec 19, 2024at DALLAC 118 − 95
May 3, 2024at DALDAL 114 − 101post
May 1, 2024at LACDAL 123 − 93post
Apr 28, 2024at DALLAC 116 − 111post
Apr 26, 2024at DALDAL 101 − 90post
Apr 23, 2024at LACDAL 96 − 93post

DAL · Last 10

2−8 · streak L3
Nov 28, 2025at LAL119 − 129L
Nov 24, 2025at MIA102 − 106L
Nov 22, 2025vs MEM96 − 102L
Nov 21, 2025vs NO118 − 115W
Nov 19, 2025vs NY111 − 113L
Nov 17, 2025at MIN96 − 120L
Nov 16, 2025vs POR138 − 133W
Nov 14, 2025vs LAC127 − 133L
Nov 12, 2025vs PHX114 − 123L
Nov 10, 2025vs MIL114 − 116L

LAC · Last 10

2−8 · streak L3
Nov 28, 2025vs MEM107 − 112L
Nov 25, 2025at LAL118 − 135L
Nov 23, 2025at CLE105 − 120L
Nov 22, 2025at CHA131 − 116W
Nov 20, 2025at ORL101 − 129L
Nov 17, 2025at PHI108 − 110L
Nov 16, 2025at BOS118 − 121L
Nov 14, 2025at DAL133 − 127W
Nov 12, 2025vs DEN116 − 130L
Nov 10, 2025vs ATL102 − 105L