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Clippers at Lakers

NBA · Tuesday, Nov 25 · 10:00 PM CT · crypto.com Arena · Final LAC 118 – LAL 135
← NBA / Nov 25, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
LAC38282725118
LAL37322937135
Team box
LAC·LAL
42-81
field goals
50-87
13-35
3-pointers
13-29
21-24
free throws
22-26
29
rebounds
38
24
assists
29
16
turnovers
11
48
points in paint
62
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Luka DoncicLAL3843913
Austin ReavesLAL353193
James HardenLAC372959
LeBron JamesLAL322566
Kawhi LeonardLAC281953
Kris DunnLAC301903

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAL +18
LAC +18
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAL 18 · LAC 4lead changes: 20

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAC 40%, LAL 60% · Updated Nov 25, 2025

Expected margin
LAL by 3.5
Expected score
LAL 113.3 – 109.8 LAC
Expected total
223.2
ClippersThe matchupLakers
+152Our fair odds−152
109.8Expected points113.3
+0.15Power rating+0.33
111.8Points / game117.2
117.2Allowed / game114.6
47.0FG%50.7
36.33P%33.2
41.4Rebounds / game41.4
5−12Season record12−4
2−8Last 108−2
Bradley Beal · Derrick Jones Jr.
Jordan MillerOutDeandre Ayton

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAC chance · LAL chance
Our model fair39.6%60.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LACLA Clippers+15240%————
LALLos Angeles Lakers−15260%————
SpreadLAL by 3.5
LACLA Clippers+3.5our margin————
LALLos Angeles Lakers−3.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 223.2
Over223.2our total————
Under223.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Los Angeles Lakers by 3.5 expected
LA Clippers by 45 points: <1%LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 32 points: <1%LA Clippers by 31 points: <1%LA Clippers by 30 points: <1%LA Clippers by 29 points: <1%LA Clippers by 28 points: <1%LA Clippers by 27 points: <1%LA Clippers by 26 points: <1%LA Clippers by 25 points: <1%LA Clippers by 24 points: <1%LA Clippers by 23 points: 1%LA Clippers by 22 points: 1%LA Clippers by 21 points: 1%LA Clippers by 20 points: 1%LA Clippers by 19 points: 1%LA Clippers by 18 points: 1%LA Clippers by 17 points: 1%LA Clippers by 16 points: 1%LA Clippers by 15 points: 1%LA Clippers by 14 points: 1%LA Clippers by 13 points: 1%LA Clippers by 12 points: 2%LA Clippers by 11 points: 2%LA Clippers by 10 points: 2%LA Clippers by 9 points: 2%LA Clippers by 8 points: 2%LA Clippers by 7 points: 2%LA Clippers by 6 points: 2%LA Clippers by 5 points: 2%LA Clippers by 4 points: 2%LA Clippers by 3 points: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 2 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 3 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 4 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 5 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 6 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 7 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 8 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 9 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 10 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 11 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 12 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 13 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 14 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 15 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 16 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 17 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 18 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 19 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 20 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 21 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 22 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 23 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 24 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 25 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 26 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 27 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 28 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 29 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 30 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 31 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 32 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 33 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 34 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 35 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 36 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 37 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 38 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 39 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 40 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 41 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 42 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 43 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 44 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 45 points: <1%
← LAC wins byLAL wins by →
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 5 or more50%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 10 or more35%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 15 or more22%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

223.2 expected
175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 213.569%
Total over 223.549%
Total over 233.529%
Total from 214 to 23339%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
LA Clippers
GJames Hardenstarted
GKris Dunnstarted
FKawhi Leonardstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
CIvica Zubacstarted
Los Angeles Lakers
GLuka Doncicstarted
GAustin Reavesstarted
FLeBron Jamesstarted
FRui Hachimurastarted
CJaxson Hayesstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAC·LAL
Nov 23, 2025 at CLE
last game
Nov 23, 2025 at UTAH
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
2
7th straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 25, 5:00 PM ET
LA Clippers
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACDerrick Jones Jr. · right knee; sprainOut
LACJordan Miller · left hamstring; injury managementOut
LACBogdan Bogdanovic · left hip; contusionQuestionable
Los Angeles Lakers
LALDeandre Ayton · right knee; contusionOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 16+ games
LAC·LAL
+0.15
rating (0 = average)
+0.33
111.8
points / game
117.2
117.2
points allowed / game
114.6
5−12
season record
12−4
3−5
home record
4−2
2−7
away record
8−2
L1
streak
W4
2−8
last 10
8−2
47.0
FG%
50.7
36.3
3P%
33.2
41.4
rebounds / game
41.4
24.0
assists / game
25.8
16.1
turnovers / game
16.8
47.8
points in paint / game
52.9

Rating Trend

LAC · LAL · 29 days
LA ClippersLos Angeles Lakers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · LAL 6−4
Mar 2, 2025at LALLAL 108 − 102
Feb 28, 2025at LALLAL 106 − 102
Feb 4, 2025at LACLAL 122 − 97
Jan 19, 2025at LACLAC 116 − 102
Feb 28, 2024at LACLAL 116 − 112
Jan 23, 2024at LACLAC 127 − 116
Jan 7, 2024at LALLAL 106 − 103
Nov 1, 2023at LALLAL 130 − 125
Apr 5, 2023at LACLAC 125 − 118
Jan 24, 2023at LALLAC 133 − 115

LAC · Last 10

2−8 · streak L1
Nov 23, 2025at CLE105 − 120L
Nov 22, 2025at CHA131 − 116W
Nov 20, 2025at ORL101 − 129L
Nov 17, 2025at PHI108 − 110L
Nov 16, 2025at BOS118 − 121L
Nov 14, 2025at DAL133 − 127W
Nov 12, 2025vs DEN116 − 130L
Nov 10, 2025vs ATL102 − 105L
Nov 8, 2025vs PHX103 − 114L
Nov 6, 2025at PHX102 − 115L

LAL · Last 10

8−2 · streak W4
Nov 23, 2025at UTAH108 − 106W
Nov 18, 2025vs UTAH140 − 126W
Nov 15, 2025at MIL119 − 95W
Nov 14, 2025at NO118 − 104W
Nov 12, 2025at OKC92 − 121L
Nov 10, 2025at CHA121 − 111W
Nov 8, 2025at ATL102 − 122L
Nov 5, 2025vs SA118 − 116W
Nov 3, 2025at POR123 − 115W
Nov 2, 2025vs MIA130 − 120W