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Lakers at Jazz

NBA · Sunday, Nov 23 · 7:00 PM CT · Delta Center · Final LAL 108 – UTAH 106
← NBA / Nov 23, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
LAL32302224108
UTAH30252625106
Team box
LAL·UTAH
38-86
field goals
40-94
10-38
3-pointers
13-40
22-27
free throws
13-18
45
rebounds
45
23
assists
27
14
turnovers
14
54
points in paint
54
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Luka DoncicLAL4033118
Keyonte GeorgeUTAH392758
Austin ReavesLAL4022104
Lauri MarkkanenUTAH362072
LeBron JamesLAL341768
Rui HachimuraLAL291360

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
UTAH +13
LAL +13
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: UTAH 7 · LAL 13lead changes: 14

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAL 71%, UTAH 29% · Updated Nov 23, 2025

Expected margin
LAL by 8.5
Expected score
LAL 122.3 – 113.8 UTAH
Expected total
236.2
LakersThe matchupJazz
−243Our fair odds+243
122.3Expected points113.8
+0.33Power rating−0.84
117.9Points / game118.9
115.2Allowed / game126.1
51.1FG%45.1
33.73P%33.4
41.1Rebounds / game46.7
11−4Season record5−10
8−2Last 103−7
Adou Thiero · Bronny JamesOutElijah Harkless · Georges Niang
John Tonje · Oscar Tshiebwe
Walker Kessler

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAL chance · UTAH chance
Our model fair70.9%29.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LALLos Angeles Lakers−24371%————
UTAHUtah Jazz+24329%————
SpreadLAL by 8.5
LALLos Angeles Lakers−8.5our margin————
UTAHUtah Jazz+8.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 236.2
Over236.2our total————
Under236.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Los Angeles Lakers by 8.5 expected
Los Angeles Lakers by 49 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 48 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 47 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 46 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 45 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 44 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 43 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 42 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 41 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 40 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 39 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 38 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 37 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 36 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 35 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 34 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 33 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 32 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 31 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 30 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 29 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 28 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 27 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 26 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 25 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 24 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 23 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 22 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 21 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 20 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 19 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 18 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 17 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 16 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 15 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 14 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 13 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 12 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 11 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 10 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 9 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 8 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 7 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 6 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 5 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 4 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 3 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 2 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 14 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 46 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 47 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 48 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 49 points: <1%
← LAL wins byUTAH wins by →
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 5 or more64%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 10 or more48%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 15 or more32%
Within 5 points either way21%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

236.2 expected
186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 226.568%
Total over 236.548%
Total over 246.530%
Total from 227 to 24638%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Los Angeles Lakers
GLuka Doncicstarted
GAustin Reavesstarted
FLeBron Jamesstarted
FRui Hachimurastarted
CDeandre Aytonstarted
Utah Jazz
GSvi Mykhailiukstarted
GKeyonte Georgestarted
GAce Baileystarted
FLauri Markkanenstarted
CJusuf Nurkicstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAL·UTAH
Nov 18, 2025 vs UTAH
last game
Nov 21, 2025 vs OKC
4 days
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
1
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 23, 5:00 PM ET
Los Angeles Lakers
LALAdou Thiero · g league - on assignmentOut
LALBronny James · g league - on assignmentOut
Utah Jazz
UTAHElijah Harkless · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHGeorges Niang · left foot; fourth metatarsal stress reactionOut
UTAHJohn Tonje · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHOscar Tshiebwe · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHWalker Kessler · left shoulder; injury recoveryOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 15+ games
LAL·UTAH
+0.33
rating (0 = average)
−0.84
117.9
points / game
118.9
115.2
points allowed / game
126.1
11−4
season record
5−10
4−2
home record
4−4
7−2
away record
1−6
W3
streak
L2
8−2
last 10
3−7
51.1
FG%
45.1
33.7
3P%
33.4
41.1
rebounds / game
46.7
26.0
assists / game
29.6
16.9
turnovers / game
17.8
52.8
points in paint / game
47.6

Rating Trend

LAL · UTAH · 27 days
Los Angeles LakersUtah Jazz
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · UTAH 2−8
Nov 18, 2025at LALLAL 140 − 126
Feb 12, 2025at UTAHUTAH 131 − 119
Feb 10, 2025at LALLAL 132 − 113
Dec 1, 2024at UTAHLAL 105 − 104
Nov 19, 2024at LALLAL 124 − 118
Feb 14, 2024at UTAHLAL 138 − 122
Jan 13, 2024at UTAHUTAH 132 − 125
Nov 21, 2023at LALLAL 131 − 99
Apr 9, 2023at LALLAL 128 − 117
Apr 4, 2023at UTAHLAL 135 − 133

LAL · Last 10

8−2 · streak W3
Nov 18, 2025vs UTAH140 − 126W
Nov 15, 2025at MIL119 − 95W
Nov 14, 2025at NO118 − 104W
Nov 12, 2025at OKC92 − 121L
Nov 10, 2025at CHA121 − 111W
Nov 8, 2025at ATL102 − 122L
Nov 5, 2025vs SA118 − 116W
Nov 3, 2025at POR123 − 115W
Nov 2, 2025vs MIA130 − 120W
Oct 31, 2025at MEM117 − 112W

UTAH · Last 10

3−7 · streak L2
Nov 21, 2025vs OKC112 − 144L
Nov 18, 2025at LAL126 − 140L
Nov 16, 2025vs CHI150 − 147W
Nov 13, 2025vs ATL122 − 132L
Nov 11, 2025vs IND152 − 128W
Nov 10, 2025vs MIN113 − 120L
Nov 7, 2025at MIN97 − 137L
Nov 5, 2025at DET103 − 114L
Nov 3, 2025at BOS105 − 103W
Nov 2, 2025at CHA103 − 126L