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Hawks at Jazz

NBA · Thursday, Nov 13 · 8:00 PM CT · Delta Center · Final ATL 132 – UTAH 122
← NBA / Nov 13, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
ATL42382329132
UTAH33343619122
Team box
ATL·UTAH
46-90
field goals
45-92
24-47
3-pointers
19-44
16-22
free throws
13-21
43
rebounds
49
36
assists
39
18
turnovers
24
40
points in paint
48
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Lauri MarkkanenUTAH364072
Onyeka OkongwuATL3532112
Jalen JohnsonATL41311814
Ace BaileyUTAH322153
Vit KrejciATL322013
Keyonte GeorgeUTAH371967

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
UTAH +18
ATL +18
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: UTAH 3 · ATL 18lead changes: 11

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was ATL 65%, UTAH 35% · Updated Nov 13, 2025

Expected margin
ATL by 7.7
Expected score
ATL 124.4 – 116.8 UTAH
Expected total
241.2
HawksThe matchupJazz
−188Our fair odds+188
124.4Expected points116.8
−0.03Power rating−0.94
115.8Points / game115.8
112.7Allowed / game120.8
48.2FG%43.9
34.93P%31.8
42.7Rebounds / game47.8
7−5Season record4−7
6−4Last 103−7
Eli John Ndiaye · Jacob Toppin
Kristaps Porzingis · N'Faly Dante
Nikola DjurisicOut (5 each)Georges Niang · John Tonje
Kyle Anderson · Oscar Tshiebwe
Taylor Hendricks

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
ATL chance · UTAH chance
Our model fair65.3%34.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
ATLAtlanta Hawks−18865%————
UTAHUtah Jazz+18835%————
SpreadATL by 7.7
ATLAtlanta Hawks−7.7our margin————
UTAHUtah Jazz+7.7our margin————
Totalwe expect 241.2
Over241.2our total————
Under241.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Atlanta Hawks by 7.7 expected
Atlanta Hawks by 48 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 47 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 46 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 45 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 44 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 43 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 42 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 41 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 40 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 39 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 38 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 37 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 36 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 35 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 34 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 33 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 32 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 31 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 30 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 29 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 28 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 27 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 26 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 25 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 24 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 23 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 22 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 21 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 20 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 19 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 18 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 17 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 16 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 15 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 14 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 13 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 12 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 11 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 10 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 9 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 8 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 7 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 6 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 5 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 4 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 3 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 2 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 14 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 46 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 47 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 48 points: <1%
← ATL wins byUTAH wins by →
Atlanta Hawks wins by 5 or more62%
Atlanta Hawks wins by 10 or more45%
Atlanta Hawks wins by 15 or more30%
Within 5 points either way22%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

241.2 expected
191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: <1%206 points: <1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 1%223 points: 1%224 points: 1%225 points: 1%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 2%253 points: 2%254 points: 2%255 points: 2%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: 1%272 points: 1%273 points: 1%274 points: 1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%299 points: <1%300 points: <1%301 points: <1%302 points: <1%303 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 231.567%
Total over 241.548%
Total over 251.530%
Total from 232 to 25137%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Atlanta Hawks
GNickeil Alexander-Walkerstarted
GDyson Danielsstarted
FOnyeka Okongwustarted
FJalen Johnsonstarted
FZaccharie Risacherstarted
Utah Jazz
GSvi Mykhailiukstarted
GKeyonte Georgestarted
GAce Baileystarted
FLauri Markkanenstarted
CJusuf Nurkicstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
ATL·UTAH
Nov 12, 2025 at SAC
last game
Nov 11, 2025 vs IND
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
3rd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 13, 5:00 PM ET
Atlanta Hawks
ATLEli John Ndiaye · g league - two-wayOut
ATLJacob Toppin · g league - two-wayOut
ATLKristaps Porzingis · restOut
ATLN'Faly Dante · g league - on assignmentOut
ATLNikola Djurisic · right elbow; sprainOut
ATLTrae Young · right knee; mcl sprainOut
Utah Jazz
UTAHGeorges Niang · left foot; fourth metatarsal stress reactionOut
UTAHJohn Tonje · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHKyle Anderson · right si; dysfunctionOut
UTAHOscar Tshiebwe · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHTaylor Hendricks · right hamstring; strainOut
UTAHWalker Kessler · left shoulder; injury recoveryOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 11+ games
ATL·UTAH
−0.03
rating (0 = average)
−0.94
115.8
points / game
115.8
112.7
points allowed / game
120.8
7−5
season record
4−7
2−3
home record
3−2
5−2
away record
1−5
W3
streak
W1
6−4
last 10
3−7
48.2
FG%
43.9
34.9
3P%
31.8
42.7
rebounds / game
47.8
29.6
assists / game
28.5
14.9
turnovers / game
17.1
54.0
points in paint / game
47.6

Rating Trend

ATL · UTAH · 17 days
Atlanta HawksUtah Jazz
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · UTAH 4−4
Apr 6, 2025at ATLATL 147 − 134
Jan 7, 2025at UTAHATL 124 − 121
Mar 15, 2024at UTAHUTAH 124 − 122
Feb 27, 2024at ATLATL 124 − 97
Feb 3, 2023at UTAHATL 115 − 108
Nov 9, 2022at ATLUTAH 125 − 119
Nov 9, 2021at UTAHUTAH 110 − 98
Nov 4, 2021at ATLUTAH 116 − 98

ATL · Last 10

6−4 · streak W3
Nov 12, 2025at SAC133 − 100W
Nov 10, 2025at LAC105 − 102W
Nov 8, 2025vs LAL122 − 102W
Nov 7, 2025vs TOR97 − 109L
Nov 4, 2025vs ORL127 − 112W
Nov 2, 2025at CLE109 − 117L
Oct 31, 2025at IND128 − 108W
Oct 29, 2025at BKN117 − 112W
Oct 27, 2025at CHI123 − 128L
Oct 25, 2025vs OKC100 − 117L

UTAH · Last 10

3−7 · streak W1
Nov 11, 2025vs IND152 − 128W
Nov 10, 2025vs MIN113 − 120L
Nov 7, 2025at MIN97 − 137L
Nov 5, 2025at DET103 − 114L
Nov 3, 2025at BOS105 − 103W
Nov 2, 2025at CHA103 − 126L
Oct 31, 2025at PHX96 − 118L
Oct 29, 2025vs POR134 − 136L
Oct 27, 2025vs PHX138 − 134W
Oct 24, 2025at SAC104 − 105L