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Jazz at Lakers

NBA · Tuesday, Nov 18 · 9:30 PM CT · crypto.com Arena · Final UTAH 126 – LAL 140
← NBA / Nov 18, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
UTAH36352233126
LAL27403736140
Team box
UTAH·LAL
48-92
field goals
50-84
13-45
3-pointers
11-32
17-18
free throws
29-40
33
rebounds
41
33
assists
31
18
turnovers
17
56
points in paint
74
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Luka DoncicLAL3437510
Keyonte GeorgeUTAH353448
Lauri MarkkanenUTAH323152
Austin ReavesLAL332651
Deandre AytonLAL3020141
Jake LaRaviaLAL261642

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAL +23
UTAH +23
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAL 23 · UTAH 11lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was UTAH 20%, LAL 80% · Updated Nov 18, 2025

Expected margin
LAL by 10.9
Expected score
LAL 122.7 – 111.8 UTAH
Expected total
234.5
JazzThe matchupLakers
+407Our fair odds−407
111.8Expected points122.7
−0.84Power rating+0.33
118.9Points / game116.3
123.7Allowed / game114.4
44.3FG%50.5
33.13P%33.7
48.3Rebounds / game41.1
5−8Season record10−4
3−7Last 108−2
Georges Niang · John Tonje
Oscar Tshiebwe · Walker KesslerOut—

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
UTAH chance · LAL chance
Our model fair19.7%80.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
UTAHUtah Jazz+40720%————
LALLos Angeles Lakers−40780%————
SpreadLAL by 10.9
UTAHUtah Jazz+10.9our margin————
LALLos Angeles Lakers−10.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 234.5
Over234.5our total————
Under234.5our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Los Angeles Lakers by 10.9 expected
Utah Jazz by 53 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 52 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 51 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 50 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 49 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 48 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 47 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 46 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 14 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 1 point: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 2 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 3 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 4 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 5 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 6 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 7 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 8 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 9 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 10 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 11 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 12 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 13 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 14 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 15 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 16 points: 3%Los Angeles Lakers by 17 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 18 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 19 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 20 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 21 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 22 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 23 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 24 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 25 points: 2%Los Angeles Lakers by 26 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 27 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 28 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 29 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 30 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 31 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 32 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 33 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 34 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 35 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 36 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 37 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 38 points: 1%Los Angeles Lakers by 39 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 40 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 41 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 42 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 43 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 44 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 45 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 46 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 47 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 48 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 49 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 50 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 51 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 52 points: <1%Los Angeles Lakers by 53 points: <1%
← UTAH wins byLAL wins by →
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 5 or more68%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 10 or more54%
Los Angeles Lakers wins by 15 or more39%
Within 5 points either way20%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

234.5 expected
184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 224.568%
Total over 234.549%
Total over 244.530%
Total from 225 to 24438%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Utah Jazz
GSvi Mykhailiukstarted
GKeyonte Georgestarted
GAce Baileystarted
FLauri Markkanenstarted
CJusuf Nurkicstarted
Los Angeles Lakers
GLuka Doncicstarted
GAustin Reavesstarted
FLeBron Jamesstarted
FRui Hachimurastarted
CDeandre Aytonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
UTAH·LAL
Nov 16, 2025 vs CHI
last game
Nov 15, 2025 at MIL
1 day
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 18, 5:00 PM ET
Utah Jazz
UTAHGeorges Niang · left foot; fourth metatarsal stress reactionOut
UTAHJohn Tonje · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHOscar Tshiebwe · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHWalker Kessler · left shoulder; injury recoveryOut
UTAHKyle Anderson · right low back; injury managementQuestionable
UTAHKyle Filipowski · right wrist; sprainQuestionable
UTAHTaylor Hendricks · right hamstring; strainQuestionable
Los Angeles Lakers
LALLeBron James · right sciatica; -Questionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 13+ games
UTAH·LAL
−0.84
rating (0 = average)
+0.33
118.9
points / game
116.3
123.7
points allowed / game
114.4
5−8
season record
10−4
4−3
home record
3−2
1−5
away record
7−2
W1
streak
W2
3−7
last 10
8−2
44.3
FG%
50.5
33.1
3P%
33.7
48.3
rebounds / game
41.1
29.3
assists / game
25.6
17.0
turnovers / game
16.9
48.0
points in paint / game
51.3

Rating Trend

UTAH · LAL · 22 days
Utah JazzLos Angeles Lakers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · LAL 7−3
Feb 12, 2025at UTAHUTAH 131 − 119
Feb 10, 2025at LALLAL 132 − 113
Dec 1, 2024at UTAHLAL 105 − 104
Nov 19, 2024at LALLAL 124 − 118
Feb 14, 2024at UTAHLAL 138 − 122
Jan 13, 2024at UTAHUTAH 132 − 125
Nov 21, 2023at LALLAL 131 − 99
Apr 9, 2023at LALLAL 128 − 117
Apr 4, 2023at UTAHLAL 135 − 133
Nov 7, 2022at UTAHUTAH 139 − 116

UTAH · Last 10

3−7 · streak W1
Nov 16, 2025vs CHI150 − 147W
Nov 13, 2025vs ATL122 − 132L
Nov 11, 2025vs IND152 − 128W
Nov 10, 2025vs MIN113 − 120L
Nov 7, 2025at MIN97 − 137L
Nov 5, 2025at DET103 − 114L
Nov 3, 2025at BOS105 − 103W
Nov 2, 2025at CHA103 − 126L
Oct 31, 2025at PHX96 − 118L
Oct 29, 2025vs POR134 − 136L

LAL · Last 10

8−2 · streak W2
Nov 15, 2025at MIL119 − 95W
Nov 14, 2025at NO118 − 104W
Nov 12, 2025at OKC92 − 121L
Nov 10, 2025at CHA121 − 111W
Nov 8, 2025at ATL102 − 122L
Nov 5, 2025vs SA118 − 116W
Nov 3, 2025at POR123 − 115W
Nov 2, 2025vs MIA130 − 120W
Oct 31, 2025at MEM117 − 112W
Oct 29, 2025at MIN116 − 115W