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Grizzlies at Clippers

NBA · Friday, Nov 28 · 9:00 PM CT · Intuit Dome · Final MEM 112 – LAC 107
← NBA / Nov 28, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
MEM24262834112
LAC35281826107
Team box
MEM·LAC
39-88
field goals
38-89
17-40
3-pointers
12-38
17-22
free throws
19-21
53
rebounds
39
24
assists
19
15
turnovers
13
42
points in paint
38
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Kawhi LeonardLAC293930
Jaren Jackson Jr.MEM312422
James HardenLAC4023711
Vince Williams Jr.MEM231615
Santi AldamaMEM221375
Jaylen WellsMEM281362

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
LAC +16
MEM +16
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: LAC 16 · MEM 9lead changes: 3

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was MEM 40%, LAC 60% · Updated Nov 28, 2025

Expected margin
LAC by 4.1
Expected score
LAC 115.6 – 111.5 MEM
Expected total
227.1
GrizzliesThe matchupClippers
+153Our fair odds−153
111.5Expected points115.6
−0.03Power rating+0.15
113.4Points / game112.2
117.5Allowed / game118.2
43.8FG%47.3
33.13P%36.3
45.7Rebounds / game40.7
7−12Season record5−13
4−6Last 102−8
Brandon Clarke · Ja Morant
Javon Small · Scotty Pippen Jr.
Ty JeromeOutBogdan Bogdanovic · Bradley Beal
Derrick Jones Jr. · Jordan Miller

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
MEM chance · LAC chance
Our model fair39.5%60.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
MEMMemphis Grizzlies+15340%————
LACLA Clippers−15360%————
SpreadLAC by 4.1
MEMMemphis Grizzlies+4.1our margin————
LACLA Clippers−4.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 227.1
Over227.1our total————
Under227.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

LA Clippers by 4.1 expected
Memphis Grizzlies by 45 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 44 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 43 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 42 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 41 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 40 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 39 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 38 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 37 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 36 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 35 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 34 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 33 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 32 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 31 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 30 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 29 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 28 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 27 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 26 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 25 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 24 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 23 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 22 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 21 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 20 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 19 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 18 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 17 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 16 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 15 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 14 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 13 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 12 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 11 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 10 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 9 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 8 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 7 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 6 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 5 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 4 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 3 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 2 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 3 points: 3%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 8 points: 3%LA Clippers by 9 points: 3%LA Clippers by 10 points: 3%LA Clippers by 11 points: 3%LA Clippers by 12 points: 3%LA Clippers by 13 points: 2%LA Clippers by 14 points: 2%LA Clippers by 15 points: 2%LA Clippers by 16 points: 2%LA Clippers by 17 points: 2%LA Clippers by 18 points: 2%LA Clippers by 19 points: 2%LA Clippers by 20 points: 1%LA Clippers by 21 points: 1%LA Clippers by 22 points: 1%LA Clippers by 23 points: 1%LA Clippers by 24 points: 1%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 26 points: 1%LA Clippers by 27 points: 1%LA Clippers by 28 points: 1%LA Clippers by 29 points: 1%LA Clippers by 30 points: 1%LA Clippers by 31 points: <1%LA Clippers by 32 points: <1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 44 points: <1%LA Clippers by 45 points: <1%
← MEM wins byLAC wins by →
LA Clippers wins by 5 or more51%
LA Clippers wins by 10 or more36%
LA Clippers wins by 15 or more23%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

227.1 expected
178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 217.568%
Total over 227.549%
Total over 237.529%
Total from 218 to 23739%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Memphis Grizzlies
GVince Williams Jr.started
FJaren Jackson Jr.started
FCedric Cowardstarted
FJaylen Wellsstarted
CZach Edeystarted
LA Clippers
GJames Hardenstarted
GKris Dunnstarted
FKawhi Leonardstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
CIvica Zubacstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
MEM·LAC
Nov 26, 2025 at NO
last game
Nov 25, 2025 at LAL
1 day
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 28, 5:00 PM ET
Memphis Grizzlies
MEMBrandon Clarke · right knee; surgery recoveryOut
MEMJa Morant · right calf; strainOut
MEMJavon Small · left toe; turf toeOut
MEMScotty Pippen Jr. · left great toe; surgery recoveryOut
MEMTy Jerome · right calf; strainOut
LA Clippers
LACBogdan Bogdanovic · left hip; contusionOut
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACDerrick Jones Jr. · right knee; sprainOut
LACJordan Miller · left hamstring; injury managementOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 18+ games
MEM·LAC
−0.03
rating (0 = average)
+0.15
113.4
points / game
112.2
117.5
points allowed / game
118.2
7−12
season record
5−13
4−6
home record
3−5
3−6
away record
2−8
W1
streak
L2
4−6
last 10
2−8
43.8
FG%
47.3
33.1
3P%
36.3
45.7
rebounds / game
40.7
29.1
assists / game
24.0
14.2
turnovers / game
16.1
47.5
points in paint / game
47.8

Rating Trend

MEM · LAC · 31 days
Memphis GrizzliesLA Clippers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · LAC 8−2
Mar 21, 2025at LACLAC 128 − 108
Feb 12, 2025at LACLAC 128 − 114
Dec 23, 2024at MEMLAC 114 − 110
Feb 23, 2024at MEMLAC 101 − 95
Jan 12, 2024at MEMLAC 128 − 119
Dec 29, 2023at LACLAC 117 − 106
Nov 12, 2023at LACMEM 105 − 101
Mar 31, 2023at MEMMEM 108 − 94
Mar 29, 2023at MEMLAC 141 − 132
Mar 5, 2023at LACLAC 135 − 129

MEM · Last 10

4−6 · streak W1
Nov 26, 2025at NO133 − 128W
Nov 24, 2025vs DEN115 − 125L
Nov 22, 2025at DAL102 − 96W
Nov 20, 2025vs SAC137 − 96W
Nov 18, 2025at SA101 − 111L
Nov 15, 2025at CLE100 − 108L
Nov 12, 2025at BOS95 − 131L
Nov 11, 2025at NY120 − 133L
Nov 9, 2025vs OKC100 − 114L
Nov 7, 2025vs DAL118 − 104W

LAC · Last 10

2−8 · streak L2
Nov 25, 2025at LAL118 − 135L
Nov 23, 2025at CLE105 − 120L
Nov 22, 2025at CHA131 − 116W
Nov 20, 2025at ORL101 − 129L
Nov 17, 2025at PHI108 − 110L
Nov 16, 2025at BOS118 − 121L
Nov 14, 2025at DAL133 − 127W
Nov 12, 2025vs DEN116 − 130L
Nov 10, 2025vs ATL102 − 105L
Nov 8, 2025vs PHX103 − 114L