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Grizzlies at Pelicans

NBA · Wednesday, Nov 26 · 7:00 PM CT · Smoothie King Center · Final MEM 133 – NO 128
← NBA / Nov 26, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234OTT
MEM2528393011133
NO392932226128
Team box
MEM·NO
52-97
field goals
50-101
17-37
3-pointers
19-45
12-14
free throws
9-10
49
rebounds
40
38
assists
34
16
turnovers
15
66
points in paint
50
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jaren Jackson Jr.MEM362752
Jaylen WellsMEM322531
Jose AlvaradoNO272452
Zach EdeyMEM3521150
Saddiq BeyNO3918102
Zion WilliamsonNO321754

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NO +17
MEM +17
Q1Q2Q3Q4OT
largest lead: NO 17 · MEM 9lead changes: 11

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was MEM 64%, NO 36% · Updated Nov 26, 2025

Expected margin
MEM by 6.0
Expected score
MEM 119.3 – 113.3 NO
Expected total
232.7
GrizzliesThe matchupPelicans
−178Our fair odds+178
119.3Expected points113.3
−0.03Power rating−0.87
112.3Points / game110.6
116.9Allowed / game121.9
43.2FG%44.6
32.33P%33.5
45.6Rebounds / game42.5
6−12Season record3−15
3−7Last 101−9
Brandon Clarke · Ja Morant
Javon Small · Scotty Pippen Jr.
Ty JeromeOutDejounte Murray · Herbert Jones
Jordan Poole · Karlo Matkovic

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
MEM chance · NO chance
Our model fair64.1%35.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
MEMMemphis Grizzlies−17864%————
NONew Orleans Pelicans+17836%————
SpreadMEM by 6.0
MEMMemphis Grizzlies−6our margin————
NONew Orleans Pelicans+6our margin————
Totalwe expect 232.7
Over232.7our total————
Under232.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Memphis Grizzlies by 6.0 expected
Memphis Grizzlies by 47 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 46 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 45 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 44 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 43 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 42 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 41 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 40 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 39 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 38 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 37 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 36 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 35 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 34 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 33 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 32 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 31 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 30 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 29 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 28 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 27 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 26 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 25 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 24 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 23 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 22 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 21 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 20 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 19 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 18 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 17 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 16 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 15 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 14 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 13 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 12 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 11 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 10 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 9 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 8 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 7 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 6 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 5 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 4 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 3 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 2 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 1 point: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 1 point: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 2 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 3 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 4 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 5 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 6 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 7 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 8 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 9 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 10 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 11 points: 2%New Orleans Pelicans by 12 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 13 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 14 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 15 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 16 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 17 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 18 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 19 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 20 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 21 points: 1%New Orleans Pelicans by 22 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 23 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 24 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 25 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 26 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 27 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 28 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 29 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 30 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 31 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 32 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 33 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 34 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 35 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 36 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 37 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 38 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 39 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 40 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 41 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 42 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 43 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 44 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 45 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 46 points: <1%New Orleans Pelicans by 47 points: <1%
← MEM wins byNO wins by →
Memphis Grizzlies wins by 5 or more57%
Memphis Grizzlies wins by 10 or more41%
Memphis Grizzlies wins by 15 or more27%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

232.7 expected
183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 222.569%
Total over 232.550%
Total over 242.530%
Total from 223 to 24239%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Memphis Grizzlies
GVince Williams Jr.started
FJaren Jackson Jr.started
FCedric Cowardstarted
FJaylen Wellsstarted
CZach Edeystarted
New Orleans Pelicans
GSaddiq Beystarted
GJeremiah Fearsstarted
FZion Williamsonstarted
FTrey Murphy IIIstarted
CDerik Queenstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
MEM·NO
Nov 24, 2025 vs DEN
last game
Nov 24, 2025 vs CHI
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 26, 5:00 PM ET
Memphis Grizzlies
MEMBrandon Clarke · right knee; surgery recoveryOut
MEMJa Morant · right calf; strainOut
MEMJavon Small · left toe; turf toeOut
MEMScotty Pippen Jr. · left great toe; surgery recoveryOut
MEMTy Jerome · right calf; strainOut
MEMZach Edey · head; migraineQuestionable
New Orleans Pelicans
NODejounte Murray · right achilles; ruptureOut
NOHerbert Jones · right calf; strainOut
NOJordan Poole · left quad; strainOut
NOKarlo Matkovic · right calf; strainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 18+ games
MEM·NO
−0.03
rating (0 = average)
−0.87
112.3
points / game
110.6
116.9
points allowed / game
121.9
6−12
season record
3−15
4−6
home record
2−8
2−6
away record
1−7
L1
streak
W1
3−7
last 10
1−9
43.2
FG%
44.6
32.3
3P%
33.5
45.6
rebounds / game
42.5
28.6
assists / game
23.1
14.1
turnovers / game
15.6
46.4
points in paint / game
53.1

Rating Trend

MEM · NO · 30 days
Memphis GrizzliesNew Orleans Pelicans
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · NO 3−7
Oct 22, 2025at MEMMEM 128 − 122
Mar 9, 2025at NOMEM 107 − 104
Jan 24, 2025at MEMMEM 139 − 126
Dec 27, 2024at NOMEM 132 − 124
Nov 29, 2024at MEMMEM 120 − 109
Feb 12, 2024at MEMNO 96 − 87
Dec 26, 2023at NOMEM 116 − 115
Dec 19, 2023at NOMEM 115 − 113
Oct 25, 2023at MEMNO 111 − 104
Apr 5, 2023at NONO 138 − 131

MEM · Last 10

3−7 · streak L1
Nov 24, 2025vs DEN115 − 125L
Nov 22, 2025at DAL102 − 96W
Nov 20, 2025vs SAC137 − 96W
Nov 18, 2025at SA101 − 111L
Nov 15, 2025at CLE100 − 108L
Nov 12, 2025at BOS95 − 131L
Nov 11, 2025at NY120 − 133L
Nov 9, 2025vs OKC100 − 114L
Nov 7, 2025vs DAL118 − 104W
Nov 5, 2025vs HOU109 − 124L

NO · Last 10

1−9 · streak W1
Nov 24, 2025vs CHI143 − 130W
Nov 22, 2025vs ATL98 − 115L
Nov 21, 2025at DAL115 − 118L
Nov 19, 2025vs DEN118 − 125L
Nov 17, 2025vs OKC109 − 126L
Nov 16, 2025vs GS106 − 124L
Nov 14, 2025vs LAL104 − 118L
Nov 12, 2025vs POR117 − 125L
Nov 10, 2025at PHX98 − 121L
Nov 8, 2025at SA119 − 126L