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Clippers at Hawks

NBA · Wednesday, Dec 3 · 6:30 PM CT · State Farm Arena · Final LAC 115 – ATL 92
← NBA / Dec 3, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
LAC27283921115
ATL2120321992
Team box
LAC·ATL
44-89
field goals
34-85
10-32
3-pointers
13-39
17-20
free throws
11-14
54
rebounds
38
29
assists
20
12
turnovers
16
52
points in paint
40
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
James HardenLAC372749
Kawhi LeonardLAC352165
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerATL312153
Kobe SandersLAC271734
John CollinsLAC321591
Dyson DanielsATL351532

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
ATL +25
LAC +25
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: ATL 2 · LAC 25lead changes: 3

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was LAC 44%, ATL 56% · Updated Dec 3, 2025

Expected margin
ATL by 1.6
Expected score
ATL 117.3 – 115.8 LAC
Expected total
233.1
ClippersThe matchupHawks
+127Our fair odds−127
115.8Expected points117.3
+0.04Power rating+0.04
112.3Points / game118.0
118.8Allowed / game115.8
46.9FG%48.6
35.53P%36.5
41.1Rebounds / game41.6
5−16Season record13−9
2−8Last 106−4
Bogdan Bogdanovic · Bradley Beal
Chris Paul · Derrick Jones Jr.OutEli John Ndiaye · Jacob Toppin
Kristaps Porzingis · N'Faly Dante
Nikola Djurisic

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
LAC chance · ATL chance
Our model fair44.0%56.0%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
LACLA Clippers+12744%————
ATLAtlanta Hawks−12756%————
SpreadATL by 1.6
LACLA Clippers+1.6our margin————
ATLAtlanta Hawks−1.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 233.1
Over233.1our total————
Under233.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Atlanta Hawks by 1.6 expected
LA Clippers by 43 points: <1%LA Clippers by 42 points: <1%LA Clippers by 41 points: <1%LA Clippers by 40 points: <1%LA Clippers by 39 points: <1%LA Clippers by 38 points: <1%LA Clippers by 37 points: <1%LA Clippers by 36 points: <1%LA Clippers by 35 points: <1%LA Clippers by 34 points: <1%LA Clippers by 33 points: <1%LA Clippers by 32 points: <1%LA Clippers by 31 points: <1%LA Clippers by 30 points: <1%LA Clippers by 29 points: <1%LA Clippers by 28 points: <1%LA Clippers by 27 points: <1%LA Clippers by 26 points: <1%LA Clippers by 25 points: 1%LA Clippers by 24 points: 1%LA Clippers by 23 points: 1%LA Clippers by 22 points: 1%LA Clippers by 21 points: 1%LA Clippers by 20 points: 1%LA Clippers by 19 points: 1%LA Clippers by 18 points: 1%LA Clippers by 17 points: 1%LA Clippers by 16 points: 1%LA Clippers by 15 points: 1%LA Clippers by 14 points: 2%LA Clippers by 13 points: 2%LA Clippers by 12 points: 2%LA Clippers by 11 points: 2%LA Clippers by 10 points: 2%LA Clippers by 9 points: 2%LA Clippers by 8 points: 2%LA Clippers by 7 points: 3%LA Clippers by 6 points: 3%LA Clippers by 5 points: 3%LA Clippers by 4 points: 3%LA Clippers by 3 points: 2%LA Clippers by 2 points: 2%LA Clippers by 1 point: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 1 point: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 2 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 3 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 4 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 5 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 6 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 7 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 8 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 9 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 10 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 11 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 12 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 13 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 14 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 15 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 16 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 17 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 18 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 19 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 20 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 21 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 22 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 23 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 24 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 25 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 26 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 27 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 28 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 29 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 30 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 31 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 32 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 33 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 34 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 35 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 36 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 37 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 38 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 39 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 40 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 41 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 42 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 43 points: <1%
← LAC wins byATL wins by →
Atlanta Hawks wins by 5 or more45%
Atlanta Hawks wins by 10 or more30%
Atlanta Hawks wins by 15 or more19%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

233.1 expected
183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 223.568%
Total over 233.548%
Total over 243.529%
Total from 224 to 24338%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
LA Clippers
GJames Hardenstarted
GKris Dunnstarted
FKawhi Leonardstarted
FJohn Collinsstarted
CIvica Zubacstarted
Atlanta Hawks
GNickeil Alexander-Walkerstarted
GDyson Danielsstarted
FOnyeka Okongwustarted
FMouhamed Gueyestarted
FZaccharie Risacherstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
LAC·ATL
Dec 1, 2025 at MIA
last game
Dec 1, 2025 at DET
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 3, 5:00 PM ET
LA Clippers
LACBogdan Bogdanovic · left hip; contusionOut
LACBradley Beal · left hip; fractureOut
LACChris Paul · not with teamOut
LACDerrick Jones Jr. · right knee; sprainOut
LACJordan Miller · back; sorenessQuestionable
Atlanta Hawks
ATLEli John Ndiaye · g league - two-wayOut
ATLJacob Toppin · right shoulder; sprainOut
ATLKristaps Porzingis · n/a; illnessOut
ATLN'Faly Dante · g league - on assignmentOut
ATLNikola Djurisic · right elbow; sprainOut
ATLTrae Young · right knee; mcl sprainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 21+ games
LAC·ATL
+0.04
rating (0 = average)
+0.04
112.3
points / game
118.0
118.8
points allowed / game
115.8
5−16
season record
13−9
3−7
home record
4−4
2−9
away record
9−5
L5
streak
L1
2−8
last 10
6−4
46.9
FG%
48.6
35.5
3P%
36.5
41.1
rebounds / game
41.6
23.8
assists / game
30.9
15.9
turnovers / game
15.3
48.2
points in paint / game
53.3

Rating Trend

LAC · ATL · 36 days
LA ClippersAtlanta Hawks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · ATL 4−5
Nov 10, 2025at LACATL 105 − 102
Mar 14, 2025at ATLLAC 121 − 98
Jan 4, 2025at LACLAC 131 − 105
Mar 17, 2024at LACATL 110 − 93
Feb 5, 2024at ATLLAC 149 − 144
Jan 28, 2023at ATLLAC 120 − 113
Jan 8, 2023at LACATL 112 − 108
Mar 11, 2022at ATLATL 112 − 106
Jan 9, 2022at LACLAC 106 − 93

LAC · Last 10

2−8 · streak L5
Dec 1, 2025at MIA123 − 140L
Nov 29, 2025vs DAL110 − 114L
Nov 28, 2025vs MEM107 − 112L
Nov 25, 2025at LAL118 − 135L
Nov 23, 2025at CLE105 − 120L
Nov 22, 2025at CHA131 − 116W
Nov 20, 2025at ORL101 − 129L
Nov 17, 2025at PHI108 − 110L
Nov 16, 2025at BOS118 − 121L
Nov 14, 2025at DAL133 − 127W

ATL · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Dec 1, 2025at DET98 − 99L
Nov 30, 2025at PHI142 − 134W
Nov 28, 2025vs CLE130 − 123W
Nov 25, 2025at WSH113 − 132L
Nov 23, 2025vs CHA113 − 110W
Nov 22, 2025at NO115 − 98W
Nov 20, 2025at SA126 − 135L
Nov 18, 2025vs DET112 − 120L
Nov 16, 2025at PHX124 − 122W
Nov 13, 2025at UTAH132 − 122W