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Hawks at 76ers

NBA · Sunday, Nov 30 · 5:00 PM CT · Xfinity Mobile Arena · Final ATL 142 – PHI 134
← NBA / Nov 30, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234OT2OTT
ATL253226321116142
PHI29293126118134
Team box
ATL·PHI
48-104
field goals
46-105
15-45
3-pointers
10-44
31-41
free throws
32-38
58
rebounds
46
36
assists
26
23
turnovers
18
60
points in paint
58
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Tyrese MaxeyPHI524479
Jalen JohnsonATL4541147
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerATL443487
Quentin GrimesPHI4728104
Joel EmbiidPHI301842
Dyson DanielsATL441798

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHI +9
ATL +9
Q1Q2Q3Q4OT2OT
largest lead: PHI 9 · ATL 8lead changes: 21

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was ATL 53%, PHI 47% · Updated Nov 30, 2025

Expected margin
ATL by 1.5
Expected score
ATL 118.3 – 116.8 PHI
Expected total
235.1
HawksThe matchup76ers
−115Our fair odds+115
118.3Expected points116.8
+0.05Power rating−0.34
117.8Points / game117.3
115.7Allowed / game117.6
49.0FG%46.3
36.83P%37.0
41.2Rebounds / game44.1
12−8Season record10−8
7−3Last 105−5
Eli John Ndiaye · Jacob Toppin
Kristaps Porzingis · N'Faly Dante
Nikola DjurisicOutKelly Oubre Jr. · Trendon Watford

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
ATL chance · PHI chance
Our model fair53.4%46.6%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
ATLAtlanta Hawks−11553%————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+11547%————
SpreadATL by 1.5
ATLAtlanta Hawks−1.5our margin————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+1.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 235.1
Over235.1our total————
Under235.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Atlanta Hawks by 1.5 expected
Atlanta Hawks by 42 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 41 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 40 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 39 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 38 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 37 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 36 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 35 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 34 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 33 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 32 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 31 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 30 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 29 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 28 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 27 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 26 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 25 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 24 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 23 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 22 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 21 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 20 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 19 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 18 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 17 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 16 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 15 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 14 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 13 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 12 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 11 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 10 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 9 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 8 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 7 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 6 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 5 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 4 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 3 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 2 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1%
← ATL wins byPHI wins by →
Atlanta Hawks wins by 5 or more44%
Atlanta Hawks wins by 10 or more30%
Atlanta Hawks wins by 15 or more19%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

235.1 expected
185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 225.567%
Total over 235.548%
Total over 245.529%
Total from 226 to 24538%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Atlanta Hawks
GNickeil Alexander-Walkerstarted
GDyson Danielsstarted
FOnyeka Okongwustarted
FJalen Johnsonstarted
FZaccharie Risacherstarted
Philadelphia 76ers
GTyrese Maxeystarted
GVJ Edgecombestarted
FPaul Georgestarted
FDominick Barlowstarted
CJoel Embiidstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
ATL·PHI
Nov 28, 2025 vs CLE
last game
Nov 28, 2025 at BKN
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 30, 5:00 PM ET
Atlanta Hawks
ATLEli John Ndiaye · g league - two-wayOut
ATLJacob Toppin · right shoulder; sprainOut
ATLKristaps Porzingis · n/a; illnessOut
ATLN'Faly Dante · g league - on assignmentOut
ATLNikola Djurisic · g league - on assignmentOut
ATLTrae Young · right knee; mcl sprainOut
Philadelphia 76ers
PHIKelly Oubre Jr. · left knee; sprainOut
PHITrendon Watford · left adductor; strainOut
PHIAndre Drummond · right knee; contusionQuestionable
PHIJoel Embiid · right knee; injury managementQuestionable
PHIVJ Edgecombe · left calf; injury managementQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 18+ games
ATL·PHI
+0.05
rating (0 = average)
−0.34
117.8
points / game
117.3
115.7
points allowed / game
117.6
12−8
season record
10−8
4−4
home record
5−5
8−4
away record
5−3
W1
streak
W1
7−3
last 10
5−5
49.0
FG%
46.3
36.8
3P%
37.0
41.2
rebounds / game
44.1
30.8
assists / game
25.9
14.9
turnovers / game
14.9
53.5
points in paint / game
50.1

Rating Trend

ATL · PHI · 33 days
Atlanta HawksPhiladelphia 76ers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · PHI 5−5
Apr 11, 2025at PHIATL 124 − 110
Mar 23, 2025at ATLATL 132 − 119
Mar 10, 2025at ATLATL 132 − 123
Feb 9, 2024at PHIATL 127 − 121
Jan 10, 2024at ATLATL 139 − 132
Dec 8, 2023at PHIPHI 125 − 114
Nov 17, 2023at ATLPHI 126 − 116
Apr 7, 2023at ATLPHI 136 − 131
Nov 28, 2022at PHIPHI 104 − 101
Nov 12, 2022at PHIPHI 121 − 109

ATL · Last 10

7−3 · streak W1
Nov 28, 2025vs CLE130 − 123W
Nov 25, 2025at WSH113 − 132L
Nov 23, 2025vs CHA113 − 110W
Nov 22, 2025at NO115 − 98W
Nov 20, 2025at SA126 − 135L
Nov 18, 2025vs DET112 − 120L
Nov 16, 2025at PHX124 − 122W
Nov 13, 2025at UTAH132 − 122W
Nov 12, 2025at SAC133 − 100W
Nov 10, 2025at LAC105 − 102W

PHI · Last 10

5−5 · streak W1
Nov 28, 2025at BKN115 − 103W
Nov 25, 2025vs ORL103 − 144L
Nov 23, 2025vs MIA117 − 127L
Nov 20, 2025at MIL123 − 114W
Nov 19, 2025vs TOR112 − 121L
Nov 17, 2025vs LAC110 − 108W
Nov 14, 2025at DET105 − 114L
Nov 11, 2025vs BOS102 − 100W
Nov 9, 2025vs DET108 − 111L
Nov 8, 2025vs TOR130 − 120W