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Magic at 76ers

NBA · Tuesday, Nov 25 · 7:00 PM CT · Xfinity Mobile Arena · Final ORL 144 – PHI 103
← NBA / Nov 25, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
ORL35513523144
PHI35252320103
Team box
ORL·PHI
54-101
field goals
37-82
13-34
3-pointers
9-25
23-28
free throws
20-22
47
rebounds
38
38
assists
22
12
turnovers
21
80
points in paint
56
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Anthony BlackORL283113
Franz WagnerORL272153
Tyrese MaxeyPHI322014
Desmond BaneORL291526
Jared McCainPHI251513
Jett HowardORL181321

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHI +46
ORL +46
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHI 7 · ORL 46lead changes: 4

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was ORL 54%, PHI 46% · Updated Nov 25, 2025

Expected margin
ORL by 1.5
Expected score
ORL 110.3 – 108.8 PHI
Expected total
219.1
MagicThe matchup76ers
−120Our fair odds+120
110.3Expected points108.8
+0.10Power rating−0.34
118.3Points / game118.3
114.9Allowed / game116.8
47.7FG%46.2
34.63P%37.5
44.7Rebounds / game44.6
10−8Season record9−7
7−3Last 104−6
Colin Castleton · Moritz Wagner
Paolo BancheroOutAdem Bona · Joel Embiid
Kelly Oubre Jr. · Paul George
VJ Edgecombe

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
ORL chance · PHI chance
Our model fair54.5%45.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
ORLOrlando Magic−12054%————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+12046%————
SpreadORL by 1.5
ORLOrlando Magic−1.5our margin————
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers+1.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 219.1
Over219.1our total————
Under219.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Orlando Magic by 1.5 expected
Orlando Magic by 42 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 41 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 40 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 39 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 38 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 37 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 36 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 35 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 34 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 33 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 32 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 31 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 30 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 29 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 28 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 27 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 26 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 25 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 24 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 23 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 22 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 21 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 20 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 19 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 18 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 17 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 16 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 15 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 14 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 13 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 12 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 11 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 10 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 9 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 8 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 7 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 6 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 5 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 4 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 3 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 2 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1%
← ORL wins byPHI wins by →
Orlando Magic wins by 5 or more44%
Orlando Magic wins by 10 or more30%
Orlando Magic wins by 15 or more19%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

219.1 expected
173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: 1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 2%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 1%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: <1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 209.569%
Total over 219.549%
Total over 229.529%
Total from 210 to 22939%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Orlando Magic
GDesmond Banestarted
GJalen Suggsstarted
FFranz Wagnerstarted
FTristan da Silvastarted
CWendell Carter Jr.started
Philadelphia 76ers
GQuentin Grimesstarted
GTyrese Maxeystarted
FJustin Edwardsstarted
FDominick Barlowstarted
CAndre Drummondstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
ORL·PHI
Nov 23, 2025 at BOS
last game
Nov 23, 2025 vs MIA
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 25, 5:00 PM ET
Orlando Magic
ORLColin Castleton · g league - two-wayOut
ORLMoritz Wagner · left knee; injury recoveryOut
ORLPaolo Banchero · left groin; strainOut
ORLGoga Bitadze · left ankle; soreQuestionable
Philadelphia 76ers
PHIAdem Bona · right ankle; sprainOut
PHIJoel Embiid · right knee; injury managementOut
PHIKelly Oubre Jr. · left knee; sprainOut
PHIPaul George · right ankle; sprainOut
PHIVJ Edgecombe · left calf; tightnessOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 16+ games
ORL·PHI
+0.10
rating (0 = average)
−0.34
118.3
points / game
118.3
114.9
points allowed / game
116.8
10−8
season record
9−7
7−3
home record
5−4
3−5
away record
4−3
L1
streak
L1
7−3
last 10
4−6
47.7
FG%
46.2
34.6
3P%
37.5
44.7
rebounds / game
44.6
25.5
assists / game
26.0
15.0
turnovers / game
14.7
52.3
points in paint / game
49.2

Rating Trend

ORL · PHI · 29 days
Orlando MagicPhiladelphia 76ers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · PHI 6−4
Oct 27, 2025at PHIPHI 136 − 124
Jan 12, 2025at ORLORL 104 − 99
Dec 6, 2024at PHIPHI 102 − 94
Dec 4, 2024at PHIORL 106 − 102
Nov 15, 2024at ORLORL 98 − 86
Apr 12, 2024at PHIPHI 125 − 113
Jan 19, 2024at ORLPHI 124 − 109
Dec 27, 2023at ORLPHI 112 − 92
Feb 1, 2023at PHIPHI 105 − 94
Jan 30, 2023at PHIORL 119 − 109

ORL · Last 10

7−3 · streak L1
Nov 23, 2025at BOS129 − 138L
Nov 22, 2025vs NY133 − 121W
Nov 20, 2025vs LAC129 − 101W
Nov 18, 2025vs GS121 − 113W
Nov 16, 2025at HOU113 − 117L
Nov 14, 2025vs BKN105 − 98W
Nov 12, 2025at NY124 − 107W
Nov 10, 2025vs POR115 − 112W
Nov 9, 2025vs BOS107 − 111L
Nov 7, 2025vs BOS123 − 110W

PHI · Last 10

4−6 · streak L1
Nov 23, 2025vs MIA117 − 127L
Nov 20, 2025at MIL123 − 114W
Nov 19, 2025vs TOR112 − 121L
Nov 17, 2025vs LAC110 − 108W
Nov 14, 2025at DET105 − 114L
Nov 11, 2025vs BOS102 − 100W
Nov 9, 2025vs DET108 − 111L
Nov 8, 2025vs TOR130 − 120W
Nov 5, 2025at CLE121 − 132L
Nov 4, 2025at CHI111 − 113L