bayesRatings

76ers at Nets

NBA · Friday, Nov 28 · 6:30 PM CT · Barclays Center · Final PHI 115 – BKN 103
← NBA / Nov 28, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
PHI31322428115
BKN23252728103
Team box
PHI·BKN
43-88
field goals
34-85
11-37
3-pointers
13-43
18-20
free throws
22-26
41
rebounds
41
28
assists
21
12
turnovers
18
58
points in paint
36
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Egor DeminBKN302395
Tyrese MaxeyPHI422297
Jared McCainPHI292041
Quentin GrimesPHI431939
Noah ClowneyBKN351673
Tyrese MartinBKN171622

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BKN +21
PHI +21
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: BKN 0 · PHI 21lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was PHI 57%, BKN 43% · Updated Nov 28, 2025

Expected margin
PHI by 3.1
Expected score
PHI 112.0 – 109.0 BKN
Expected total
221.0
76ersThe matchupNets
−135Our fair odds+135
112.0Expected points109.0
−0.34Power rating−0.89
117.4Points / game109.2
118.4Allowed / game119.7
46.1FG%44.0
37.43P%33.5
44.2Rebounds / game39.4
9−8Season record3−14
4−6Last 103−7
Joel Embiid · Kelly Oubre Jr.
Trendon Watford · VJ EdgecombeOut (4 each)Cam Thomas · Haywood Highsmith
Michael Porter Jr. · Nolan Traore

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
PHI chance · BKN chance
Our model fair57.4%42.6%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers−13557%————
BKNBrooklyn Nets+13543%————
SpreadPHI by 3.1
PHIPhiladelphia 76ers−3.1our margin————
BKNBrooklyn Nets+3.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 221.0
Over221.0our total————
Under221.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Philadelphia 76ers by 3.1 expected
Philadelphia 76ers by 44 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 43 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 42 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 34 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 31 points: <1%Philadelphia 76ers by 30 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 29 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 28 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 27 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 26 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 25 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 24 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 23 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 22 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 21 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 20 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 19 points: 1%Philadelphia 76ers by 18 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 17 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 16 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 15 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 14 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 13 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 11 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 10 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 9 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 8 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 7 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 6 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 5 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 4 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 3 points: 3%Philadelphia 76ers by 2 points: 2%Philadelphia 76ers by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 43 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 44 points: <1%
← PHI wins byBKN wins by →
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 5 or more48%
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 10 or more34%
Philadelphia 76ers wins by 15 or more21%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Total range

221.0 expected
174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 211.568%
Total over 221.549%
Total over 231.529%
Total from 212 to 23139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Philadelphia 76ers
GQuentin Grimesstarted
GTyrese Maxeystarted
FPaul Georgestarted
FDominick Barlowstarted
CAndre Drummondstarted
Brooklyn Nets
GTerance Mannstarted
GEgor Deminstarted
FZiaire Williamsstarted
FNoah Clowneystarted
CNic Claxtonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
PHI·BKN
Nov 25, 2025 vs ORL
last game
Nov 24, 2025 vs NY
2 days
days of rest
3 days
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 28, 5:00 PM ET
Philadelphia 76ers
PHIJoel Embiid · right knee; injury managementOut
PHIKelly Oubre Jr. · left knee; sprainOut
PHITrendon Watford · left adductor; strainOut
PHIVJ Edgecombe · left calf; injury managementOut
PHIPaul George · right ankle; sprainQuestionable
PHIAdem Bona · right ankle; sprainProbable
Brooklyn Nets
BKNCam Thomas · left hamstring; strainOut
BKNHaywood Highsmith · right knee; surgery, injury recoveryOut
BKNMichael Porter Jr. · lower back; tightnessOut
BKNNolan Traore · g league - on assignmentOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 17+ games
PHI·BKN
−0.34
rating (0 = average)
−0.89
117.4
points / game
109.2
118.4
points allowed / game
119.7
9−8
season record
3−14
5−5
home record
0−8
4−3
away record
3−6
L2
streak
L2
4−6
last 10
3−7
46.1
FG%
44.0
37.4
3P%
33.5
44.2
rebounds / game
39.4
25.8
assists / game
24.6
15.1
turnovers / game
15.0
49.6
points in paint / game
40.8

Rating Trend

PHI · BKN · 31 days
Philadelphia 76ersBrooklyn Nets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · BKN 4−6
Nov 2, 2025at BKNPHI 129 − 105
Feb 22, 2025at PHIBKN 105 − 103
Feb 12, 2025at BKNBKN 100 − 96
Jan 4, 2025at BKNPHI 123 − 94
Nov 22, 2024at PHIPHI 113 − 98
Apr 14, 2024at PHIPHI 107 − 86
Mar 5, 2024at BKNBKN 112 − 107
Feb 3, 2024at PHIBKN 136 − 121
Nov 19, 2023at BKNPHI 121 − 99
Apr 22, 2023at BKNPHI 96 − 88post

PHI · Last 10

4−6 · streak L2
Nov 25, 2025vs ORL103 − 144L
Nov 23, 2025vs MIA117 − 127L
Nov 20, 2025at MIL123 − 114W
Nov 19, 2025vs TOR112 − 121L
Nov 17, 2025vs LAC110 − 108W
Nov 14, 2025at DET105 − 114L
Nov 11, 2025vs BOS102 − 100W
Nov 9, 2025vs DET108 − 111L
Nov 8, 2025vs TOR130 − 120W
Nov 5, 2025at CLE121 − 132L

BKN · Last 10

3−7 · streak L2
Nov 24, 2025vs NY100 − 113L
Nov 23, 2025at TOR109 − 119L
Nov 21, 2025at BOS113 − 105W
Nov 18, 2025vs BOS99 − 113L
Nov 16, 2025at WSH129 − 106W
Nov 14, 2025at ORL98 − 105L
Nov 11, 2025vs TOR109 − 119L
Nov 9, 2025at NY98 − 134L
Nov 7, 2025vs DET107 − 125L
Nov 5, 2025at IND112 − 103W