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Hornets at Hawks

NBA · Sunday, Nov 23 · 5:00 PM CT · State Farm Arena · Final CHA 110 – ATL 113
← NBA / Nov 23, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHA25303322110
ATL28253921113
Team box
CHA·ATL
39-86
field goals
45-91
14-44
3-pointers
11-31
18-20
free throws
12-16
43
rebounds
37
26
assists
32
16
turnovers
9
48
points in paint
66
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jalen JohnsonATL4028811
Kon KnueppelCHA342863
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerATL392354
Dyson DanielsATL362296
Collin SextonCHA362204
Miles BridgesCHA352155

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
ATL +10
CHA +10
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: ATL 10 · CHA 8lead changes: 15

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHA 21%, ATL 79% · Updated Nov 23, 2025

Expected margin
ATL by 10.2
Expected score
ATL 121.3 – 111.2 CHA
Expected total
232.5
HornetsThe matchupHawks
+386Our fair odds−386
111.2Expected points121.3
−1.04Power rating+0.08
116.6Points / game117.6
120.9Allowed / game114.6
46.0FG%49.0
35.63P%36.9
45.5Rebounds / game41.5
4−12Season record10−7
2−8Last 107−3
Brandon Miller · Grant Williams
Josh Green · LaMelo Ball
Pat ConnaughtonOut (5 each)Eli John Ndiaye · Kristaps Porzingis
Luke Kennard · N'Faly Dante
Nikola Djurisic

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHA chance · ATL chance
Our model fair20.6%79.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHACharlotte Hornets+38621%————
ATLAtlanta Hawks−38679%————
SpreadATL by 10.2
CHACharlotte Hornets+10.2our margin————
ATLAtlanta Hawks−10.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 232.5
Over232.5our total————
Under232.5our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Atlanta Hawks by 10.2 expected
Charlotte Hornets by 52 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 51 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 50 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 49 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 48 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 47 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 46 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 45 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 44 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 43 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 42 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 41 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 40 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 39 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 38 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 37 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 36 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 35 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 34 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 33 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 32 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 31 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 30 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 29 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 28 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 27 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 26 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 25 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 24 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 23 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 22 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 21 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 20 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 19 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 18 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 17 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 16 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 15 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 14 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 13 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 12 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 11 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 10 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 9 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 8 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 7 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 6 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 5 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 4 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 3 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 2 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 1 point: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 1 point: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 2 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 3 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 4 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 5 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 6 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 7 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 8 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 9 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 10 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 11 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 12 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 13 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 14 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 15 points: 3%Atlanta Hawks by 16 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 17 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 18 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 19 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 20 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 21 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 22 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 23 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 24 points: 2%Atlanta Hawks by 25 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 26 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 27 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 28 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 29 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 30 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 31 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 32 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 33 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 34 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 35 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 36 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 37 points: 1%Atlanta Hawks by 38 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 39 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 40 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 41 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 42 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 43 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 44 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 45 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 46 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 47 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 48 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 49 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 50 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 51 points: <1%Atlanta Hawks by 52 points: <1%
← CHA wins byATL wins by →
Atlanta Hawks wins by 5 or more67%
Atlanta Hawks wins by 10 or more52%
Atlanta Hawks wins by 15 or more37%
Within 5 points either way21%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

232.5 expected
182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 222.569%
Total over 232.549%
Total over 242.530%
Total from 223 to 24239%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Charlotte Hornets
GCollin Sextonstarted
GSion Jamesstarted
GKon Knueppelstarted
FMiles Bridgesstarted
CMason Plumleestarted
Atlanta Hawks
GNickeil Alexander-Walkerstarted
GDyson Danielsstarted
FOnyeka Okongwustarted
FJalen Johnsonstarted
FZaccharie Risacherstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHA·ATL
Nov 22, 2025 vs LAC
last game
Nov 22, 2025 at NO
0 days
days of rest
0 days
yes
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 23, 5:00 PM ET
Charlotte Hornets
CHABrandon Miller · left shoulder; injury managementOut
CHAGrant Williams · right knee; surgeryOut
CHAJosh Green · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHALaMelo Ball · right ankle; injury managementOut
CHAPat Connaughton · right calf; strainOut
CHARyan Kalkbrenner · left ankle; sprainOut
CHATidjane Salaun · g league - on assignmentOut
Atlanta Hawks
ATLEli John Ndiaye · g league - two-wayOut
ATLKristaps Porzingis · restOut
ATLLuke Kennard · left hip; inflammationOut
ATLN'Faly Dante · left knee; mcl sprainOut
ATLNikola Djurisic · right elbow; sprainOut
ATLTrae Young · right knee; mcl sprainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 16+ games
CHA·ATL
−1.04
rating (0 = average)
+0.08
116.6
points / game
117.6
120.9
points allowed / game
114.6
4−12
season record
10−7
3−5
home record
2−4
1−7
away record
8−3
L5
streak
W1
2−8
last 10
7−3
46.0
FG%
49.0
35.6
3P%
36.9
45.5
rebounds / game
41.5
26.2
assists / game
30.3
16.2
turnovers / game
15.1
49.6
points in paint / game
52.0

Rating Trend

CHA · ATL · 27 days
Charlotte HornetsAtlanta Hawks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · ATL 5−5
Mar 18, 2025at CHAATL 134 − 102
Mar 12, 2025at ATLATL 123 − 110
Nov 30, 2024at CHAATL 107 − 104
Oct 25, 2024at ATLATL 125 − 120
Apr 10, 2024at ATLCHA 115 − 114
Mar 23, 2024at ATLATL 132 − 91
Feb 14, 2024at CHACHA 122 − 99
Oct 25, 2023at CHACHA 116 − 110
Feb 13, 2023at CHACHA 144 − 138
Jan 21, 2023at ATLCHA 122 − 118

CHA · Last 10

2−8 · streak L5
Nov 22, 2025vs LAC116 − 131L
Nov 19, 2025at IND118 − 127L
Nov 17, 2025at TOR108 − 110L
Nov 15, 2025vs OKC96 − 109L
Nov 14, 2025at MIL134 − 147L
Nov 12, 2025vs MIL111 − 100W
Nov 10, 2025vs LAL111 − 121L
Nov 7, 2025at MIA108 − 126L
Nov 4, 2025at NO112 − 116L
Nov 2, 2025vs UTAH126 − 103W

ATL · Last 10

7−3 · streak W1
Nov 22, 2025at NO115 − 98W
Nov 20, 2025at SA126 − 135L
Nov 18, 2025vs DET112 − 120L
Nov 16, 2025at PHX124 − 122W
Nov 13, 2025at UTAH132 − 122W
Nov 12, 2025at SAC133 − 100W
Nov 10, 2025at LAC105 − 102W
Nov 8, 2025vs LAL122 − 102W
Nov 7, 2025vs TOR97 − 109L
Nov 4, 2025vs ORL127 − 112W