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Spurs at Wizards

NBA · Sunday, Dec 21 · 6:00 PM CT · Capital One Arena · Final SA 124 – WSH 113
← NBA / Dec 21, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
SA26432926124
WSH28213727113
Team box
SA·WSH
43-104
field goals
42-95
13-41
3-pointers
11-45
25-32
free throws
18-24
61
rebounds
43
26
assists
20
10
turnovers
5
56
points in paint
48
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
De'Aaron FoxSA332776
Bub CarringtonWSH402154
Luke KornetSA2820120
Tre JohnsonWSH251971
Stephon CastleSA3218511
Tristan VukcevicWSH271890

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
WSH +24
SA +24
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: WSH 5 · SA 24lead changes: 8

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was SA 77%, WSH 23% · Updated Dec 21, 2025

Expected margin
SA by 11.9
Expected score
SA 124.8 – 112.8 WSH
Expected total
237.6
SpursThe matchupWizards
−339Our fair odds+339
124.8Expected points112.8
+0.08Power rating−1.39
119.7Points / game112.7
114.1Allowed / game126.2
48.4FG%46.2
36.73P%36.2
45.6Rebounds / game43.8
20−8Season record5−21
7−3Last 104−6
David Jones Garcia · Harrison Ingram
Kyle MangasOutAJ Johnson · Alex Sarr
Bilal Coulibaly · Cam Whitmore
Corey Kispert

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
SA chance · WSH chance
Our model fair77.2%22.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
SASan Antonio Spurs−33977%————
WSHWashington Wizards+33923%————
SpreadSA by 11.9
SASan Antonio Spurs−11.9our margin————
WSHWashington Wizards+11.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 237.6
Over237.6our total————
Under237.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

San Antonio Spurs by 11.9 expected
San Antonio Spurs by 48 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 47 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 46 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 45 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 44 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 43 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 42 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 41 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 40 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 39 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 38 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 37 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 36 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 35 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 34 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 33 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 32 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 31 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 30 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 29 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 28 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 27 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 26 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 25 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 24 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 23 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 22 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 21 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 20 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 19 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 18 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 17 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 16 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 15 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 14 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 13 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 12 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 11 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 10 points: 4%San Antonio Spurs by 9 points: 4%San Antonio Spurs by 8 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 7 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 6 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 5 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 4 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 3 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 2 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 1 point: 2%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 1%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 4 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 5 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 6 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 7 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 8 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 9 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 10 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 11 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 12 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 13 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 46 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 47 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 48 points: <1%
← SA wins byWSH wins by →
San Antonio Spurs wins by 5 or more73%
San Antonio Spurs wins by 10 or more57%
San Antonio Spurs wins by 15 or more40%
Within 5 points either way17%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

237.6 expected
187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 227.568%
Total over 237.549%
Total over 247.531%
Total from 228 to 24738%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
San Antonio Spurs
GDe'Aaron Foxstarted
GDevin Vassellstarted
GStephon Castlestarted
FHarrison Barnesstarted
CLuke Kornetstarted
Washington Wizards
GCJ McCollumstarted
GBub Carringtonstarted
FJustin Champagniestarted
FTristan Vukcevicstarted
FKyshawn Georgestarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
SA·WSH
Dec 19, 2025 at ATL
last game
Dec 20, 2025 at MEM
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 21, 5:00 PM ET
San Antonio Spurs
SADavid Jones Garcia · g league - two-wayOut
SAHarrison Ingram · g league - two-wayOut
SAKyle Mangas · g league - two-wayOut
Washington Wizards
WSHAJ Johnson · g league - on assignmentOut
WSHAlex Sarr · right adductor; injuryOut
WSHBilal Coulibaly · left ankle; sprainOut
WSHCam Whitmore · right shoulder; sorenessOut
WSHCorey Kispert · right thumb; distal phalanx fractureOut
WSHKhris Middleton · right knee; injury managementOut
WSHMarvin Bagley III · left calf; sorenessOut
WSHSharife Cooper · g league - two-wayOut
WSHJamir Watkins · management n/a; illnessQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 26+ games
SA·WSH
+0.08
rating (0 = average)
−1.39
119.7
points / game
112.7
114.1
points allowed / game
126.2
20−8
season record
5−21
10−2
home record
2−9
10−6
away record
3−12
W2
streak
W1
7−3
last 10
4−6
48.4
FG%
46.2
36.7
3P%
36.2
45.6
rebounds / game
43.8
26.1
assists / game
25.8
14.6
turnovers / game
16.1
50.0
points in paint / game
46.2

Rating Trend

SA · WSH · 54 days
San Antonio SpursWashington Wizards
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 9 meetings · WSH 3−6
Dec 18, 2025at SASA 119 − 94
Feb 10, 2025at WSHSA 131 − 121
Nov 13, 2024at SASA 139 − 130
Jan 29, 2024at SAWSH 118 − 113
Jan 20, 2024at WSHSA 131 − 127
Mar 24, 2023at WSHWSH 136 − 124
Jan 30, 2023at SAWSH 127 − 106
Feb 25, 2022at WSHSA 157 − 153
Nov 29, 2021at SASA 116 − 99

SA · Last 10

7−3 · streak W2
Dec 19, 2025at ATL126 − 98W
Dec 18, 2025vs WSH119 − 94W
Dec 16, 2025at NY113 − 124L
Dec 13, 2025at OKC111 − 109W
Dec 10, 2025at LAL132 − 119W
Dec 8, 2025at NO135 − 132W
Dec 5, 2025at CLE117 − 130L
Dec 3, 2025at ORL114 − 112W
Dec 2, 2025vs MEM126 − 119W
Nov 30, 2025at MIN112 − 125L

WSH · Last 10

4−6 · streak W1
Dec 20, 2025at MEM130 − 122W
Dec 18, 2025at SA94 − 119L
Dec 14, 2025at IND108 − 89W
Dec 12, 2025vs CLE126 − 130L
Dec 6, 2025vs ATL116 − 131L
Dec 4, 2025vs BOS101 − 146L
Dec 2, 2025at PHI102 − 121L
Dec 1, 2025vs MIL129 − 126W
Nov 28, 2025at IND86 − 119L
Nov 25, 2025vs ATL132 − 113W