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Grizzlies at Spurs

NBA · Tuesday, Dec 2 · 7:00 PM CT · Frost Bank Center · Final MEM 119 – SA 126
← NBA / Dec 2, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
MEM32273921119
SA36273429126
Team box
MEM·SA
45-90
field goals
42-92
9-26
3-pointers
18-39
20-24
free throws
24-31
50
rebounds
40
28
assists
28
15
turnovers
7
58
points in paint
42
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Harrison BarnesSA363155
De'Aaron FoxSA312944
Cam SpencerMEM222116
Jaylen WellsMEM282012
Zach EdeyMEM3019151
Dylan HarperSA211516

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
SA +7
MEM +7
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: SA 7 · MEM 7lead changes: 23

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was MEM 46%, SA 54% · Updated Dec 2, 2025

Expected margin
SA by 1.4
Expected score
SA 118.1 – 116.7 MEM
Expected total
234.8
GrizzliesThe matchupSpurs
+120Our fair odds−120
116.7Expected points118.1
+0.03Power rating−0.04
113.4Points / game118.8
116.5Allowed / game113.6
44.2FG%49.2
33.83P%35.8
46.4Rebounds / game44.8
9−12Season record13−6
5−5Last 106−4
Brandon Clarke · Ja Morant
Javon Small · Scotty Pippen Jr.
Ty JeromeOutJordan McLaughlin · Stephon Castle
Victor Wembanyama

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
MEM chance · SA chance
Our model fair45.6%54.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
MEMMemphis Grizzlies+12046%————
SASan Antonio Spurs−12054%————
SpreadSA by 1.4
MEMMemphis Grizzlies+1.4our margin————
SASan Antonio Spurs−1.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 234.8
Over234.8our total————
Under234.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

San Antonio Spurs by 1.4 expected
Memphis Grizzlies by 43 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 42 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 41 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 40 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 39 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 38 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 37 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 36 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 35 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 34 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 33 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 32 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 31 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 30 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 29 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 28 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 27 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 26 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 25 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 24 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 23 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 22 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 21 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 20 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 19 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 18 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 17 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 16 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 15 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 14 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 13 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 12 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 11 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 10 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 9 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 8 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 7 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 6 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 5 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 4 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 3 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 2 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 1 point: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 1 point: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 2 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 3 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 4 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 5 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 6 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 7 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 8 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 9 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 10 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 11 points: 3%San Antonio Spurs by 12 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 13 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 14 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 15 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 16 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 17 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 18 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 19 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 20 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 21 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 22 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 23 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 24 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 25 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 26 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 27 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 28 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 29 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 30 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 31 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 32 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 33 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 34 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 35 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 36 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 37 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 38 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 39 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 40 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 41 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 42 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 43 points: <1%
← MEM wins bySA wins by →
San Antonio Spurs wins by 5 or more44%
San Antonio Spurs wins by 10 or more30%
San Antonio Spurs wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

234.8 expected
185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 224.569%
Total over 234.550%
Total over 244.531%
Total from 225 to 24438%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Memphis Grizzlies
GVince Williams Jr.started
FJaren Jackson Jr.started
FCedric Cowardstarted
FJaylen Wellsstarted
CZach Edeystarted
San Antonio Spurs
GDe'Aaron Foxstarted
GDevin Vassellstarted
FHarrison Barnesstarted
FJulian Champagniestarted
CLuke Kornetstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
MEM·SA
Nov 30, 2025 at SAC
last game
Nov 30, 2025 at MIN
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
4th straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 2, 5:00 PM ET
Memphis Grizzlies
MEMBrandon Clarke · right knee; surgery recoveryOut
MEMJa Morant · right calf; strainOut
MEMJavon Small · surgery recovery left toe; turf toeOut
MEMScotty Pippen Jr. · left great toe;Out
MEMTy Jerome · right calf; strainOut
MEMJock Landale · left ankle; sorenessQuestionable
San Antonio Spurs
SAJordan McLaughlin · left hamstring; strainOut
SAStephon Castle · left hip flexor; strainOut
SAVictor Wembanyama · left calf; strainOut
SAHarrison Ingram · g league - two-wayQuestionable
SARiley Minix · g league - two-wayQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 19+ games
MEM·SA
+0.03
rating (0 = average)
−0.04
113.4
points / game
118.8
116.5
points allowed / game
113.6
9−12
season record
13−6
4−6
home record
8−2
5−6
away record
5−4
W3
streak
L1
5−5
last 10
6−4
44.2
FG%
49.2
33.8
3P%
35.8
46.4
rebounds / game
44.8
28.8
assists / game
25.9
14.7
turnovers / game
15.0
47.9
points in paint / game
51.1

Rating Trend

MEM · SA · 35 days
Memphis GrizzliesSan Antonio Spurs
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · SA 3−7
Nov 18, 2025at SASA 111 − 101
Mar 1, 2025at MEMSA 130 − 128
Feb 3, 2025at MEMMEM 128 − 109
Jan 17, 2025at SAMEM 140 − 112
Jan 15, 2025at SAMEM 129 − 115
Apr 9, 2024at MEMSA 102 − 87
Mar 22, 2024at SAMEM 99 − 97
Jan 2, 2024at MEMMEM 106 − 98
Nov 18, 2023at SAMEM 120 − 108
Mar 17, 2023at SAMEM 126 − 120

MEM · Last 10

5−5 · streak W3
Nov 30, 2025at SAC115 − 107W
Nov 28, 2025at LAC112 − 107W
Nov 26, 2025at NO133 − 128W
Nov 24, 2025vs DEN115 − 125L
Nov 22, 2025at DAL102 − 96W
Nov 20, 2025vs SAC137 − 96W
Nov 18, 2025at SA101 − 111L
Nov 15, 2025at CLE100 − 108L
Nov 12, 2025at BOS95 − 131L
Nov 11, 2025at NY120 − 133L

SA · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Nov 30, 2025at MIN112 − 125L
Nov 28, 2025at DEN139 − 136W
Nov 26, 2025at POR115 − 102W
Nov 23, 2025at PHX102 − 111L
Nov 20, 2025vs ATL135 − 126W
Nov 18, 2025vs MEM111 − 101W
Nov 16, 2025vs SAC123 − 110W
Nov 14, 2025vs GS108 − 109L
Nov 12, 2025vs GS120 − 125L
Nov 10, 2025at CHI121 − 117W