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Grizzlies at Kings

NBA · Sunday, Nov 30 · 8:00 PM CT · Golden 1 Center · Final MEM 115 – SAC 107
← NBA / Nov 30, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
MEM31312132115
SAC35242820107
Team box
MEM·SAC
45-86
field goals
43-94
9-24
3-pointers
8-27
16-22
free throws
13-22
52
rebounds
34
28
assists
25
23
turnovers
8
62
points in paint
58
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Zach EdeyMEM2932170
DeMar DeRozanSAC352314
Malik MonkSAC342166
Zach LaVineSAC351933
Cam SpencerMEM211603
Jaylen WellsMEM301531

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
SAC +13
MEM +13
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: SAC 5 · MEM 13lead changes: 13

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was MEM 48%, SAC 52% · Updated Nov 30, 2025

Expected margin
MEM by 0.4
Expected score
MEM 118.0 – 117.5 SAC
Expected total
235.5
GrizzliesThe matchupKings
+109Our fair odds−109
118.0Expected points117.5
−0.03Power rating−0.19
113.3Points / game112.0
117.0Allowed / game123.3
43.8FG%46.5
33.53P%35.6
46.1Rebounds / game40.0
8−12Season record5−15
4−6Last 102−8
Brandon Clarke · Ja Morant
Javon Small · Scotty Pippen Jr.
Ty JeromeOutDaeqwon Plowden · Domantas Sabonis
Dylan Cardwell · Isaiah Stevens

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
MEM chance · SAC chance
Our model fair47.8%52.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
MEMMemphis Grizzlies+10948%————
SACSacramento Kings−10952%————
SpreadMEM by 0.4
MEMMemphis Grizzlies−0.4our margin————
SACSacramento Kings+0.4our margin————
Totalwe expect 235.5
Over235.5our total————
Under235.5our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Memphis Grizzlies by 0.4 expected
Memphis Grizzlies by 41 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 40 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 39 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 38 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 37 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 36 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 35 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 34 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 33 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 32 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 31 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 30 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 29 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 28 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 27 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 26 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 25 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 24 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 23 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 22 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 21 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 20 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 19 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 18 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 17 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 16 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 15 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 14 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 13 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 12 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 11 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 10 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 9 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 8 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 7 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 6 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 5 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 4 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 3 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 2 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 1 point: 2%Sacramento Kings by 1 point: 2%Sacramento Kings by 2 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 3 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 4 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 5 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 6 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 7 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 8 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 9 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 10 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 11 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 12 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 13 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 14 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 15 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 16 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 17 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 18 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 19 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 20 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 21 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 22 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 23 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 24 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 25 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 26 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 27 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 28 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 29 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 30 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 31 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 32 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 33 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 34 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 35 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 36 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 37 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 38 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 39 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 40 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 41 points: <1%
← MEM wins bySAC wins by →
Memphis Grizzlies wins by 5 or more41%
Memphis Grizzlies wins by 10 or more27%
Memphis Grizzlies wins by 15 or more17%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

235.5 expected
185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 225.568%
Total over 235.549%
Total over 245.530%
Total from 226 to 24538%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Memphis Grizzlies
GVince Williams Jr.started
FJaren Jackson Jr.started
FCedric Cowardstarted
FJaylen Wellsstarted
CZach Edeystarted
Sacramento Kings
GRussell Westbrookstarted
GDeMar DeRozanstarted
GZach LaVinestarted
FDrew Eubanksstarted
FKeegan Murraystarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
MEM·SAC
Nov 28, 2025 at LAC
last game
Nov 28, 2025 at UTAH
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
3rd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 30, 5:00 PM ET
Memphis Grizzlies
MEMBrandon Clarke · right knee; surgery recoveryOut
MEMJa Morant · right calf; strainOut
MEMJavon Small · left toe; turf toeOut
MEMScotty Pippen Jr. · left great toe; surgery recoveryOut
MEMTy Jerome · right calf; strainOut
Sacramento Kings
SACDaeqwon Plowden · g league - two-wayOut
SACDomantas Sabonis · left knee; partial meniscus tearOut
SACDylan Cardwell · g league - two-wayOut
SACIsaiah Stevens · g league - two-wayOut
SACDennis Schroder · right hip flexor; strainQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 20+ games
MEM·SAC
−0.03
rating (0 = average)
−0.19
113.3
points / game
112.0
117.0
points allowed / game
123.3
8−12
season record
5−15
4−6
home record
3−6
4−6
away record
2−9
W2
streak
L2
4−6
last 10
2−8
43.8
FG%
46.5
33.5
3P%
35.6
46.1
rebounds / game
40.0
28.9
assists / game
26.0
14.2
turnovers / game
14.2
47.2
points in paint / game
48.7

Rating Trend

MEM · SAC · 33 days
Memphis GrizzliesSacramento Kings
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · SAC 7−3
Nov 20, 2025at MEMMEM 137 − 96
Mar 17, 2025at SACSAC 132 − 122
Jan 3, 2025at SACSAC 138 − 133
Dec 5, 2024at MEMMEM 115 − 110
Mar 18, 2024at SACSAC 121 − 111
Jan 29, 2024at MEMSAC 103 − 94
Dec 31, 2023at MEMSAC 123 − 92
Jan 23, 2023at SACSAC 133 − 100
Jan 1, 2023at MEMMEM 118 − 108
Nov 22, 2022at MEMSAC 113 − 109

MEM · Last 10

4−6 · streak W2
Nov 28, 2025at LAC112 − 107W
Nov 26, 2025at NO133 − 128W
Nov 24, 2025vs DEN115 − 125L
Nov 22, 2025at DAL102 − 96W
Nov 20, 2025vs SAC137 − 96W
Nov 18, 2025at SA101 − 111L
Nov 15, 2025at CLE100 − 108L
Nov 12, 2025at BOS95 − 131L
Nov 11, 2025at NY120 − 133L
Nov 9, 2025vs OKC100 − 114L

SAC · Last 10

2−8 · streak L2
Nov 28, 2025at UTAH119 − 128L
Nov 26, 2025vs PHX100 − 112L
Nov 24, 2025vs MIN117 − 112W
Nov 22, 2025at DEN128 − 123W
Nov 20, 2025at MEM96 − 137L
Nov 19, 2025at OKC99 − 113L
Nov 16, 2025at SA110 − 123L
Nov 14, 2025at MIN110 − 124L
Nov 12, 2025vs ATL100 − 133L
Nov 11, 2025vs DEN108 − 122L