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Kings at Jazz

NBA · Friday, Nov 28 · 8:30 PM CT · Delta Center · Final SAC 119 – UTAH 128
← NBA / Nov 28, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
SAC27242246119
UTAH30322838128
Team box
SAC·UTAH
43-96
field goals
42-87
10-29
3-pointers
13-40
23-32
free throws
31-40
44
rebounds
49
27
assists
32
9
turnovers
13
48
points in paint
50
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Zach LaVineSAC393426
Keyonte GeorgeUTAH363156
Lauri MarkkanenUTAH392872
Keegan MurraySAC4523103
Brice SensabaughUTAH282030
Maxime RaynaudSAC221940

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
UTAH +17
SAC +17
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: UTAH 17 · SAC 6lead changes: 6

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was SAC 61%, UTAH 39% · Updated Nov 28, 2025

Expected margin
SAC by 5.3
Expected score
SAC 123.4 – 118.1 UTAH
Expected total
241.5
KingsThe matchupJazz
−158Our fair odds+158
123.4Expected points118.1
−0.19Power rating−0.91
111.6Points / game118.1
123.1Allowed / game125.5
46.6FG%45.1
35.73P%33.2
39.7Rebounds / game46.6
5−14Season record5−12
2−8Last 102−8
Daeqwon Plowden · Domantas Sabonis
Dylan Cardwell · Isaiah StevensOutCody Williams · Elijah Harkless
Georges Niang · John Tonje
Oscar Tshiebwe

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
SAC chance · UTAH chance
Our model fair61.3%38.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
SACSacramento Kings−15861%————
UTAHUtah Jazz+15839%————
SpreadSAC by 5.3
SACSacramento Kings−5.3our margin————
UTAHUtah Jazz+5.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 241.5
Over241.5our total————
Under241.5our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Sacramento Kings by 5.3 expected
Sacramento Kings by 46 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 45 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 44 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 43 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 42 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 41 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 40 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 39 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 38 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 37 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 36 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 35 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 34 points: <1%Sacramento Kings by 33 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 32 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 31 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 30 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 29 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 28 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 27 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 26 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 25 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 24 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 23 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 22 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 21 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 20 points: 1%Sacramento Kings by 19 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 18 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 17 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 16 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 15 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 14 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 13 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 12 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 11 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 10 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 9 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 8 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 7 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 6 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 5 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 4 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 3 points: 3%Sacramento Kings by 2 points: 2%Sacramento Kings by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 2%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 14 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 46 points: <1%
← SAC wins byUTAH wins by →
Sacramento Kings wins by 5 or more55%
Sacramento Kings wins by 10 or more39%
Sacramento Kings wins by 15 or more25%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

241.5 expected
191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: <1%206 points: <1%207 points: <1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 1%223 points: 1%224 points: 1%225 points: 1%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 2%253 points: 2%254 points: 2%255 points: 2%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: 1%272 points: 1%273 points: 1%274 points: 1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%299 points: <1%300 points: <1%301 points: <1%302 points: <1%303 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 231.567%
Total over 241.548%
Total over 251.531%
Total from 232 to 25137%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Sacramento Kings
GRussell Westbrookstarted
GDeMar DeRozanstarted
GZach LaVinestarted
FDrew Eubanksstarted
FKeegan Murraystarted
Utah Jazz
GSvi Mykhailiukstarted
GKeyonte Georgestarted
GAce Baileystarted
FLauri Markkanenstarted
CJusuf Nurkicstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
SAC·UTAH
Nov 26, 2025 vs PHX
last game
Nov 24, 2025 at GS
1 day
days of rest
3 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 28, 5:00 PM ET
Sacramento Kings
SACDaeqwon Plowden · g league - two-wayOut
SACDomantas Sabonis · left knee; partial meniscus tearOut
SACDylan Cardwell · g league - two-wayOut
SACIsaiah Stevens · g league - two-wayOut
SACDennis Schroder · right hip; sorenessQuestionable
Utah Jazz
UTAHCody Williams · g league - on assignmentOut
UTAHElijah Harkless · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHGeorges Niang · left foot; fourth metatarsal stress reactionOut
UTAHJohn Tonje · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHOscar Tshiebwe · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHTaylor Hendricks · g league - on assignmentOut
UTAHWalker Kessler · left shoulder; injury recoveryOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 17+ games
SAC·UTAH
−0.19
rating (0 = average)
−0.91
111.6
points / game
118.1
123.1
points allowed / game
125.5
5−14
season record
5−12
3−6
home record
4−5
2−8
away record
1−7
L1
streak
L4
2−8
last 10
2−8
46.6
FG%
45.1
35.7
3P%
33.2
39.7
rebounds / game
46.6
25.9
assists / game
29.6
14.5
turnovers / game
17.4
48.7
points in paint / game
49.1

Rating Trend

SAC · UTAH · 31 days
Sacramento KingsUtah Jazz
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · UTAH 1−9
Oct 24, 2025at SACSAC 105 − 104
Feb 26, 2025at UTAHSAC 118 − 101
Dec 8, 2024at SACSAC 141 − 97
Nov 16, 2024at SACSAC 121 − 117
Oct 29, 2024at UTAHSAC 113 − 96
Mar 31, 2024at SACSAC 127 − 106
Dec 16, 2023at SACSAC 125 − 104
Oct 25, 2023at UTAHSAC 130 − 114
Mar 25, 2023at SACSAC 121 − 113
Mar 20, 2023at UTAHUTAH 128 − 120

SAC · Last 10

2−8 · streak L1
Nov 26, 2025vs PHX100 − 112L
Nov 24, 2025vs MIN117 − 112W
Nov 22, 2025at DEN128 − 123W
Nov 20, 2025at MEM96 − 137L
Nov 19, 2025at OKC99 − 113L
Nov 16, 2025at SA110 − 123L
Nov 14, 2025at MIN110 − 124L
Nov 12, 2025vs ATL100 − 133L
Nov 11, 2025vs DEN108 − 122L
Nov 9, 2025vs MIN117 − 144L

UTAH · Last 10

2−8 · streak L4
Nov 24, 2025at GS117 − 134L
Nov 23, 2025vs LAL106 − 108L
Nov 21, 2025vs OKC112 − 144L
Nov 18, 2025at LAL126 − 140L
Nov 16, 2025vs CHI150 − 147W
Nov 13, 2025vs ATL122 − 132L
Nov 11, 2025vs IND152 − 128W
Nov 10, 2025vs MIN113 − 120L
Nov 7, 2025at MIN97 − 137L
Nov 5, 2025at DET103 − 114L