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Jazz at Warriors

NBA · Monday, Nov 24 · 9:00 PM CT · Chase Center · Final UTAH 117 – GS 134
← NBA / Nov 24, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
UTAH35202933117
GS26413928134
Team box
UTAH·GS
47-99
field goals
51-104
11-36
3-pointers
19-52
12-18
free throws
13-18
47
rebounds
50
32
assists
34
14
turnovers
10
66
points in paint
56
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Stephen CurryGS293142
Keyonte GeorgeUTAH382867
Ace BaileyUTAH292132
Buddy HieldGS232054
Jimmy Butler IIIGS291867
Lauri MarkkanenUTAH331764

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
GS +26
UTAH +26
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: GS 26 · UTAH 11lead changes: 3

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was UTAH 19%, GS 81% · Updated Nov 24, 2025

Expected margin
GS by 11.8
Expected score
GS 122.0 – 110.2 UTAH
Expected total
232.2
JazzThe matchupWarriors
+432Our fair odds−432
110.2Expected points122.0
−0.84Power rating+0.39
118.1Points / game114.8
125.0Allowed / game114.9
44.9FG%45.3
33.33P%36.9
46.6Rebounds / game42.2
5−11Season record9−9
3−7Last 104−6
Elijah Harkless · Georges Niang
John Tonje · Kevin Love
Oscar TshiebweOutAl Horford · De'Anthony Melton
Draymond Green · Jonathan Kuminga

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
UTAH chance · GS chance
Our model fair18.8%81.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
UTAHUtah Jazz+43219%————
GSGolden State Warriors−43281%————
SpreadGS by 11.8
UTAHUtah Jazz+11.8our margin————
GSGolden State Warriors−11.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 232.2
Over232.2our total————
Under232.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Golden State Warriors by 11.8 expected
Utah Jazz by 53 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 52 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 51 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 50 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 49 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 48 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 47 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 46 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 14 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 2%Golden State Warriors by 1 point: 2%Golden State Warriors by 2 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 3 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 4 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 5 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 6 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 7 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 8 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 9 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 10 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 11 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 12 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 13 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 14 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 15 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 16 points: 3%Golden State Warriors by 17 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 18 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 19 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 20 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 21 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 22 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 23 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 24 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 25 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 26 points: 2%Golden State Warriors by 27 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 28 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 29 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 30 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 31 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 32 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 33 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 34 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 35 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 36 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 37 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 38 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 39 points: 1%Golden State Warriors by 40 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 41 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 42 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 43 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 44 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 45 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 46 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 47 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 48 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 49 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 50 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 51 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 52 points: <1%Golden State Warriors by 53 points: <1%
← UTAH wins byGS wins by →
Golden State Warriors wins by 5 or more71%
Golden State Warriors wins by 10 or more56%
Golden State Warriors wins by 15 or more41%
Within 5 points either way19%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

232.2 expected
182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 222.568%
Total over 232.549%
Total over 242.529%
Total from 223 to 24239%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Utah Jazz
GSvi Mykhailiukstarted
GKeyonte Georgestarted
GAce Baileystarted
FLauri Markkanenstarted
CJusuf Nurkicstarted
Golden State Warriors
GStephen Currystarted
GGary Payton IIstarted
GMoses Moodystarted
FJimmy Butler IIIstarted
CQuinten Poststarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
UTAH·GS
Nov 23, 2025 vs LAL
last game
Nov 21, 2025 vs POR
0 days
days of rest
2 days
yes
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 24, 5:00 PM ET
Utah Jazz
UTAHElijah Harkless · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHGeorges Niang · left foot; fourth metatarsal stress reactionOut
UTAHJohn Tonje · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHKevin Love · restOut
UTAHOscar Tshiebwe · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHTaylor Hendricks · g league - on assignmentOut
UTAHWalker Kessler · left shoulder; injury recoveryOut
Golden State Warriors
GSAl Horford · right sciatic nerve; irritationOut
GSDe'Anthony Melton · left acl; surgeryOut
GSDraymond Green · right midfoot; sprainOut
GSJonathan Kuminga · bilateral knee; patellar tendonitisOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 16+ games
UTAH·GS
−0.84
rating (0 = average)
+0.39
118.1
points / game
114.8
125.0
points allowed / game
114.9
5−11
season record
9−9
4−5
home record
5−1
1−6
away record
4−8
L3
streak
L3
3−7
last 10
4−6
44.9
FG%
45.3
33.3
3P%
36.9
46.6
rebounds / game
42.2
29.4
assists / game
27.2
17.6
turnovers / game
16.9
48.0
points in paint / game
40.2

Rating Trend

UTAH · GS · 28 days
Utah JazzGolden State Warriors
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · GS 8−2
Feb 5, 2025at UTAHUTAH 131 − 128
Jan 28, 2025at GSGS 114 − 103
Oct 25, 2024at UTAHGS 127 − 86
Apr 14, 2024at GSGS 123 − 116
Apr 7, 2024at GSGS 118 − 110
Feb 15, 2024at UTAHGS 140 − 137
Feb 12, 2024at UTAHGS 129 − 107
Dec 28, 2022at GSGS 112 − 107
Dec 7, 2022at UTAHUTAH 124 − 123
Nov 25, 2022at GSGS 129 − 118

UTAH · Last 10

3−7 · streak L3
Nov 23, 2025vs LAL106 − 108L
Nov 21, 2025vs OKC112 − 144L
Nov 18, 2025at LAL126 − 140L
Nov 16, 2025vs CHI150 − 147W
Nov 13, 2025vs ATL122 − 132L
Nov 11, 2025vs IND152 − 128W
Nov 10, 2025vs MIN113 − 120L
Nov 7, 2025at MIN97 − 137L
Nov 5, 2025at DET103 − 114L
Nov 3, 2025at BOS105 − 103W

GS · Last 10

4−6 · streak L3
Nov 21, 2025vs POR123 − 127L
Nov 19, 2025at MIA96 − 110L
Nov 18, 2025at ORL113 − 121L
Nov 16, 2025at NO124 − 106W
Nov 14, 2025at SA109 − 108W
Nov 12, 2025at SA125 − 120W
Nov 11, 2025at OKC102 − 126L
Nov 9, 2025vs IND114 − 83W
Nov 7, 2025at DEN104 − 129L
Nov 5, 2025at SAC116 − 121L