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Spurs at Knicks

NBA · Tuesday, Dec 16 · 7:30 PM CT · T-Mobile Arena · neutral site · Final SA 113 – NY 124
← NBA / Dec 16, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
SA30313319113
NY28313035124
Team box
SA·NY
41-99
field goals
49-105
14-39
3-pointers
15-40
17-22
free throws
11-15
42
rebounds
59
29
assists
27
8
turnovers
11
44
points in paint
56
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
OG AnunobyNY402893
Jalen BrunsonNY412548
Dylan HarperSA282170
Victor WembanyamaSA251861
Karl-Anthony TownsNY3016111
De'Aaron FoxSA321629

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NY +12
SA +12
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: NY 12 · SA 11lead changes: 4

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was SA 39%, NY 61% · Updated Dec 16, 2025

Expected margin
NY by 4.5
Expected score
NY 117.8 – 113.3 SA
Expected total
231.1
SpursThe matchupKnicks
+157Our fair odds−157
113.3Expected points117.8
+0.08Power rating+0.53
119.7Points / game121.0
115.2Allowed / game112.2
48.5FG%48.2
36.83P%38.0
45.1Rebounds / game45.9
18−7Season record18−7
7−3Last 109−1
Kyle MangasOutLandry Shamet · Miles McBride

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
SA chance · NY chance
Our model fair38.9%61.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
SASan Antonio Spurs+15739%————
NYNew York Knicks−15761%————
SpreadNY by 4.5
SASan Antonio Spurs+4.5our margin————
NYNew York Knicks−4.5our margin————
Totalwe expect 231.1
Over231.1our total————
Under231.1our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 4.5 expected
San Antonio Spurs by 46 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 45 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 44 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 43 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 42 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 41 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 40 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 39 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 38 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 37 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 36 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 35 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 34 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 33 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 32 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 31 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 30 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 29 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 28 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 27 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 26 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 25 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 24 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 23 points: <1%San Antonio Spurs by 22 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 21 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 20 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 19 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 18 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 17 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 16 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 15 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 14 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 13 points: 1%San Antonio Spurs by 12 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 11 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 10 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 9 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 8 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 7 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 6 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 5 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 4 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 3 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 2 points: 2%San Antonio Spurs by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 3 points: 3%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 11 points: 3%New York Knicks by 12 points: 3%New York Knicks by 13 points: 2%New York Knicks by 14 points: 2%New York Knicks by 15 points: 2%New York Knicks by 16 points: 2%New York Knicks by 17 points: 2%New York Knicks by 18 points: 2%New York Knicks by 19 points: 2%New York Knicks by 20 points: 1%New York Knicks by 21 points: 1%New York Knicks by 22 points: 1%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 27 points: 1%New York Knicks by 28 points: 1%New York Knicks by 29 points: 1%New York Knicks by 30 points: 1%New York Knicks by 31 points: <1%New York Knicks by 32 points: <1%New York Knicks by 33 points: <1%New York Knicks by 34 points: <1%New York Knicks by 35 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%New York Knicks by 45 points: <1%New York Knicks by 46 points: <1%
← SA wins byNY wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more52%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more37%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more24%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

231.1 expected
181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 221.568%
Total over 231.548%
Total over 241.529%
Total from 222 to 24139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
San Antonio Spurs
GDe'Aaron Foxstarted
GDevin Vassellstarted
GStephon Castlestarted
FHarrison Barnesstarted
CLuke Kornetstarted
New York Knicks
GJosh Hartstarted
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
FOG Anunobystarted
CKarl-Anthony Townsstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
SA·NY
Dec 13, 2025 at OKC
last game
Dec 13, 2025 at ORL
2 days
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
2
6th straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 16, 5:00 PM ET
San Antonio Spurs
SAKyle Mangas · g league - two-wayOut
New York Knicks
NYLandry Shamet · right shoulder; sprainOut
NYMiles McBride · left ankle; sprainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 25+ games
SA·NY
+0.08
rating (0 = average)
+0.53
119.7
points / game
121.0
115.2
points allowed / game
112.2
18−7
season record
18−7
9−2
home record
13−1
9−5
away record
5−6
W3
streak
W5
7−3
last 10
9−1
48.5
FG%
48.2
36.8
3P%
38.0
45.1
rebounds / game
45.9
25.7
assists / game
27.0
14.8
turnovers / game
13.2
49.8
points in paint / game
48.9

Rating Trend

SA · NY · 49 days
San Antonio SpursNew York Knicks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · NY 5−3
Mar 19, 2025at SASA 120 − 105
Dec 25, 2024at NYNY 117 − 114
Mar 29, 2024at SASA 130 − 126
Nov 8, 2023at NYNY 126 − 105
Jan 4, 2023at NYNY 117 − 114
Dec 29, 2022at SASA 122 − 115
Jan 10, 2022at NYNY 111 − 96
Dec 7, 2021at SANY 121 − 109

SA · Last 10

7−3 · streak W3
Dec 13, 2025at OKC111 − 109W
Dec 10, 2025at LAL132 − 119W
Dec 8, 2025at NO135 − 132W
Dec 5, 2025at CLE117 − 130L
Dec 3, 2025at ORL114 − 112W
Dec 2, 2025vs MEM126 − 119W
Nov 30, 2025at MIN112 − 125L
Nov 28, 2025at DEN139 − 136W
Nov 26, 2025at POR115 − 102W
Nov 23, 2025at PHX102 − 111L

NY · Last 10

9−1 · streak W5
Dec 13, 2025at ORL132 − 120W
Dec 9, 2025at TOR117 − 101W
Dec 7, 2025vs ORL106 − 100W
Dec 5, 2025vs UTAH146 − 112W
Dec 3, 2025vs CHA119 − 104W
Dec 2, 2025at BOS117 − 123L
Nov 30, 2025vs TOR116 − 94W
Nov 28, 2025vs MIL118 − 109W
Nov 26, 2025at CHA129 − 101W
Nov 24, 2025at BKN113 − 100W