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Jazz at Knicks

NBA · Friday, Dec 5 · 6:30 PM CT · Madison Square Garden · Final UTAH 112 – NY 146
← NBA / Dec 5, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
UTAH13343035112
NY41274731146
Team box
UTAH·NY
35-87
field goals
51-91
15-42
3-pointers
21-42
27-35
free throws
23-26
37
rebounds
46
23
assists
30
12
turnovers
13
36
points in paint
54
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jalen BrunsonNY313324
Miles McBrideNY222232
Karl-Anthony TownsNY221894
Lauri MarkkanenUTAH261892
Keyonte GeorgeUTAH281804
Jordan ClarksonNY311645

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NY +41
UTAH +41
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: NY 41 · UTAH 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was UTAH 18%, NY 82% · Updated Dec 5, 2025

Expected margin
NY by 13.2
Expected score
NY 124.1 – 110.9 UTAH
Expected total
235.0
JazzThe matchupKnicks
+460Our fair odds−460
110.9Expected points124.1
−0.84Power rating+0.47
118.7Points / game120.2
124.6Allowed / game113.0
45.7FG%47.2
34.33P%37.5
45.9Rebounds / game45.7
8−13Season record14−7
4−6Last 107−3
Elijah Harkless · Georges Niang
John Tonje · Walker KesslerOutKevin McCullar Jr. · Landry Shamet
Pacome Dadiet · Tosan Evbuomwan
Trey Jemison III

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
UTAH chance · NY chance
Our model fair17.8%82.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
UTAHUtah Jazz+46018%————
NYNew York Knicks−46082%————
SpreadNY by 13.2
UTAHUtah Jazz+13.2our margin————
NYNew York Knicks−13.2our margin————
Totalwe expect 235.0
Over235.0our total————
Under235.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 13.2 expected
Utah Jazz by 53 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 52 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 51 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 50 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 49 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 48 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 47 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 46 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 45 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 44 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 43 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 14 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 3 points: 2%New York Knicks by 4 points: 2%New York Knicks by 5 points: 2%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 11 points: 3%New York Knicks by 12 points: 3%New York Knicks by 13 points: 3%New York Knicks by 14 points: 3%New York Knicks by 15 points: 3%New York Knicks by 16 points: 3%New York Knicks by 17 points: 3%New York Knicks by 18 points: 2%New York Knicks by 19 points: 2%New York Knicks by 20 points: 2%New York Knicks by 21 points: 2%New York Knicks by 22 points: 2%New York Knicks by 23 points: 2%New York Knicks by 24 points: 2%New York Knicks by 25 points: 2%New York Knicks by 26 points: 2%New York Knicks by 27 points: 2%New York Knicks by 28 points: 2%New York Knicks by 29 points: 1%New York Knicks by 30 points: 1%New York Knicks by 31 points: 1%New York Knicks by 32 points: 1%New York Knicks by 33 points: 1%New York Knicks by 34 points: 1%New York Knicks by 35 points: 1%New York Knicks by 36 points: 1%New York Knicks by 37 points: 1%New York Knicks by 38 points: 1%New York Knicks by 39 points: 1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%New York Knicks by 45 points: <1%New York Knicks by 46 points: <1%New York Knicks by 47 points: <1%New York Knicks by 48 points: <1%New York Knicks by 49 points: <1%New York Knicks by 50 points: <1%New York Knicks by 51 points: <1%New York Knicks by 52 points: <1%New York Knicks by 53 points: <1%
← UTAH wins byNY wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more74%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more60%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more45%
Within 5 points either way18%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Total range

235.0 expected
185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 225.567%
Total over 235.548%
Total over 245.529%
Total from 226 to 24538%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Utah Jazz
GSvi Mykhailiukstarted
GKeyonte Georgestarted
GAce Baileystarted
FLauri Markkanenstarted
CJusuf Nurkicstarted
New York Knicks
GJosh Hartstarted
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
FOG Anunobystarted
CKarl-Anthony Townsstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
UTAH·NY
Dec 4, 2025 at BKN
last game
Dec 3, 2025 vs CHA
0 days
days of rest
1 day
yes
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
4
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 5, 5:00 PM ET
Utah Jazz
UTAHElijah Harkless · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHGeorges Niang · left foot; fourth metatarsal stress reactionOut
UTAHJohn Tonje · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHWalker Kessler · left shoulder; injury recoveryOut
UTAHJusuf Nurkic · right rib; contusionQuestionable
New York Knicks
NYKevin McCullar Jr. · g league - two-wayOut
NYLandry Shamet · right shoulder; sprainOut
NYPacome Dadiet · g league - on assignmentOut
NYTosan Evbuomwan · g league - two-wayOut
NYTrey Jemison III · g league - two-wayOut
NYOG Anunoby · left hamstring; strainQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 21+ games
UTAH·NY
−0.84
rating (0 = average)
+0.47
118.7
points / game
120.2
124.6
points allowed / game
113.0
8−13
season record
14−7
6−6
home record
11−1
2−7
away record
3−6
W2
streak
W1
4−6
last 10
7−3
45.7
FG%
47.2
34.3
3P%
37.5
45.9
rebounds / game
45.7
30.0
assists / game
27.3
16.7
turnovers / game
13.4
49.5
points in paint / game
47.9

Rating Trend

UTAH · NY · 38 days
Utah JazzNew York Knicks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · NY 4−4
Jan 1, 2025at NYNY 119 − 103
Nov 23, 2024at UTAHUTAH 121 − 106
Jan 30, 2024at NYNY 118 − 103
Dec 13, 2023at UTAHUTAH 117 − 113
Feb 11, 2023at NYNY 126 − 120
Nov 15, 2022at UTAHNY 118 − 111
Mar 20, 2022at NYUTAH 108 − 93
Feb 7, 2022at UTAHUTAH 113 − 104

UTAH · Last 10

4−6 · streak W2
Dec 4, 2025at BKN123 − 110W
Dec 1, 2025vs HOU133 − 125W
Nov 30, 2025vs HOU101 − 129L
Nov 28, 2025vs SAC128 − 119W
Nov 24, 2025at GS117 − 134L
Nov 23, 2025vs LAL106 − 108L
Nov 21, 2025vs OKC112 − 144L
Nov 18, 2025at LAL126 − 140L
Nov 16, 2025vs CHI150 − 147W
Nov 13, 2025vs ATL122 − 132L

NY · Last 10

7−3 · streak W1
Dec 3, 2025vs CHA119 − 104W
Dec 2, 2025at BOS117 − 123L
Nov 30, 2025vs TOR116 − 94W
Nov 28, 2025vs MIL118 − 109W
Nov 26, 2025at CHA129 − 101W
Nov 24, 2025at BKN113 − 100W
Nov 22, 2025at ORL121 − 133L
Nov 19, 2025at DAL113 − 111W
Nov 17, 2025at MIA113 − 115L
Nov 14, 2025vs MIA140 − 132W