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Jazz at Nets

NBA · Thursday, Dec 4 · 6:30 PM CT · Barclays Center · Final UTAH 123 – BKN 110

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
UTAH20293242123
BKN29293220110
Team box
UTAH·BKN
42-83
field goals
35-82
14-25
3-pointers
11-42
25-27
free throws
29-38
39
rebounds
44
31
assists
22
13
turnovers
18
56
points in paint
46
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Lauri MarkkanenUTAH353081
Keyonte GeorgeUTAH3129510
Noah ClowneyBKN342943
Ziaire WilliamsBKN282301
Danny WolfBKN281793
Kyle FilipowskiUTAH311585

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
BKN +16
UTAH +16
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: BKN 15 · UTAH 16lead changes: 6

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was UTAH 45%, BKN 55% · Updated Dec 4, 2025

Expected margin
BKN by 1.1
Expected score
BKN 114.9 – 113.8 UTAH
Expected total
228.7
JazzThe matchupNets
+120Our fair odds−120
113.8Expected points114.9
−0.84Power rating−0.90
118.5Points / game109.0
125.3Allowed / game117.7
45.4FG%44.2
33.23P%34.2
46.2Rebounds / game39.3
7−13Season record5−16
4−6Last 104−6
Elijah Harkless · Georges Niang
John Tonje · Kevin Love
Walker Kessler
Out (5 each)Cam Thomas · Drake Powell
E.J. Liddell · Haywood Highsmith
Michael Porter Jr.

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
UTAH chance · BKN chance
Our model fair45.5%54.5%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
UTAHUtah Jazz+12045%————
BKNBrooklyn Nets−12055%————
SpreadBKN by 1.1
UTAHUtah Jazz+1.1our margin————
BKNBrooklyn Nets−1.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 228.7
Over228.7our total————
Under228.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Brooklyn Nets by 1.1 expected
Utah Jazz by 42 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 41 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 40 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 39 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 38 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 37 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 36 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 35 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 34 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 33 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 32 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 31 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 30 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 29 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 28 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 27 points: <1%Utah Jazz by 26 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 25 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 24 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 23 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 22 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 21 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 20 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 19 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 18 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 17 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 16 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 15 points: 1%Utah Jazz by 14 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 13 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 12 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 11 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 10 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 9 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 8 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 7 points: 3%Utah Jazz by 6 points: 3%Utah Jazz by 5 points: 3%Utah Jazz by 4 points: 3%Utah Jazz by 3 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 2 points: 2%Utah Jazz by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 3%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%
← UTAH wins byBKN wins by →
Brooklyn Nets wins by 5 or more43%
Brooklyn Nets wins by 10 or more29%
Brooklyn Nets wins by 15 or more18%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

228.7 expected
179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 218.569%
Total over 228.550%
Total over 238.530%
Total from 219 to 23839%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Utah Jazz
GAce Baileystarted
Brooklyn Nets
GTerance Mannstarted
GEgor Deminstarted
FNoah Clowneystarted
CNic Claxtonstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
UTAH·BKN
Dec 1, 2025 vs HOU
last game
Dec 3, 2025 at CHI
2 days
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
4
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 4, 5:00 PM ET
Utah Jazz
UTAHElijah Harkless · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHGeorges Niang · left foot; fourth metatarsal stress reactionOut
UTAHJohn Tonje · g league - two-wayOut
UTAHKevin Love · restOut
UTAHWalker Kessler · left shoulder; injury recoveryOut
UTAHJusuf Nurkic · right rib; contusionQuestionable
Brooklyn Nets
BKNCam Thomas · left hamstring; strainOut
BKNDrake Powell · left knee; injury managementOut
BKNE.J. Liddell · g league - two-wayOut
BKNHaywood Highsmith · right knee; surgery, injury recoveryOut
BKNMichael Porter Jr. · lower back; injury managementOut
BKNNolan Traore · g league - on assignmentOut
BKNTerance Mann · right rib; sorenessProbable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 20+ games
UTAH·BKN
−0.84
rating (0 = average)
−0.90
118.5
points / game
109.0
125.3
points allowed / game
117.7
7−13
season record
5−16
6−6
home record
1−9
1−7
away record
4−7
W1
streak
W2
4−6
last 10
4−6
45.4
FG%
44.2
33.2
3P%
34.2
46.2
rebounds / game
39.3
30.0
assists / game
25.0
16.9
turnovers / game
15.5
49.2
points in paint / game
40.3

Rating Trend

UTAH · BKN · 37 days
Utah JazzBrooklyn Nets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · BKN 4−4
Jan 12, 2025at UTAHUTAH 112 − 111
Dec 21, 2024at BKNUTAH 105 − 94
Jan 29, 2024at BKNBKN 147 − 114
Dec 18, 2023at UTAHUTAH 125 − 108
Apr 2, 2023at BKNBKN 111 − 110
Jan 20, 2023at UTAHBKN 117 − 106
Mar 21, 2022at BKNBKN 114 − 106
Feb 4, 2022at UTAHUTAH 125 − 102

UTAH · Last 10

4−6 · streak W1
Dec 1, 2025vs HOU133 − 125W
Nov 30, 2025vs HOU101 − 129L
Nov 28, 2025vs SAC128 − 119W
Nov 24, 2025at GS117 − 134L
Nov 23, 2025vs LAL106 − 108L
Nov 21, 2025vs OKC112 − 144L
Nov 18, 2025at LAL126 − 140L
Nov 16, 2025vs CHI150 − 147W
Nov 13, 2025vs ATL122 − 132L
Nov 11, 2025vs IND152 − 128W

BKN · Last 10

4−6 · streak W2
Dec 3, 2025at CHI113 − 103W
Dec 1, 2025vs CHA116 − 103W
Nov 29, 2025at MIL99 − 116L
Nov 28, 2025vs PHI103 − 115L
Nov 24, 2025vs NY100 − 113L
Nov 23, 2025at TOR109 − 119L
Nov 21, 2025at BOS113 − 105W
Nov 18, 2025vs BOS99 − 113L
Nov 16, 2025at WSH129 − 106W
Nov 14, 2025at ORL98 − 105L