bayesRatings

Nets at Bulls

NBA · Wednesday, Dec 3 · 7:00 PM CT · United Center · Final BKN 113 – CHI 103
← NBA / Dec 3, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
BKN29252930113
CHI24203128103
Team box
BKN·CHI
38-78
field goals
38-90
19-46
3-pointers
7-30
18-22
free throws
20-25
42
rebounds
42
30
assists
20
21
turnovers
16
36
points in paint
60
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Michael Porter Jr.BKN3433105
Josh GiddeyCHI36281111
Noah ClowneyBKN342072
Nikola VucevicCHI3316110
Ayo DosunmuCHI361621
Nic ClaxtonBKN351489

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CHI +19
BKN +19
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CHI 5 · BKN 19lead changes: 4

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was BKN 28%, CHI 72% · Updated Dec 3, 2025

Expected margin
CHI by 6.8
Expected score
CHI 119.0 – 112.2 BKN
Expected total
231.2
NetsThe matchupBulls
+258Our fair odds−258
112.2Expected points119.0
−0.90Power rating−0.18
108.8Points / game120.0
118.5Allowed / game123.2
44.0FG%47.5
33.93P%37.6
39.2Rebounds / game46.0
4−16Season record9−11
3−7Last 103−7
Cam Thomas · E.J. Liddell
Haywood Highsmith · Nolan Traore
Terance MannOutCoby White · Kevin Huerter
Noa Essengue

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
BKN chance · CHI chance
Our model fair27.9%72.1%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
BKNBrooklyn Nets+25828%————
CHIChicago Bulls−25872%————
SpreadCHI by 6.8
BKNBrooklyn Nets+6.8our margin————
CHIChicago Bulls−6.8our margin————
Totalwe expect 231.2
Over231.2our total————
Under231.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Chicago Bulls by 6.8 expected
Brooklyn Nets by 49 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 48 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 47 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 46 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 45 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 44 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 43 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 42 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 41 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 40 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 39 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 38 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 37 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 36 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 35 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 34 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 33 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 32 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 31 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 30 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 29 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 28 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 27 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 26 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 25 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 24 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 23 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 22 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 21 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 20 points: <1%Brooklyn Nets by 19 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 18 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 17 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 16 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 15 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 14 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 13 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 12 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 11 points: 1%Brooklyn Nets by 10 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 9 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 8 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 7 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 6 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 5 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 4 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 3 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 2 points: 2%Brooklyn Nets by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 44 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 45 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 46 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 47 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 48 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 49 points: <1%
← BKN wins byCHI wins by →
Chicago Bulls wins by 5 or more58%
Chicago Bulls wins by 10 or more43%
Chicago Bulls wins by 15 or more29%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

231.2 expected
181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 221.568%
Total over 231.549%
Total over 241.529%
Total from 222 to 24139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Brooklyn Nets
GTyrese Martinstarted
GEgor Deminstarted
FMichael Porter Jr.started
FNoah Clowneystarted
CNic Claxtonstarted
Chicago Bulls
GAyo Dosunmustarted
GJosh Giddeystarted
FMatas Buzelisstarted
FJulian Phillipsstarted
CNikola Vucevicstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
BKN·CHI
Dec 1, 2025 vs CHA
last game
Dec 1, 2025 at ORL
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 3, 5:00 PM ET
Brooklyn Nets
BKNCam Thomas · left hamstring; strainOut
BKNE.J. Liddell · g league - two-wayOut
BKNHaywood Highsmith · right knee; surgery, injury recoveryOut
BKNNolan Traore · g league - on assignmentOut
BKNTerance Mann · right rib; sorenessOut
Chicago Bulls
CHICoby White · left calf; strainOut
CHIKevin Huerter · left adductor; strainOut
CHINoa Essengue · left shoulder; contusionOut
CHIIsaac Okoro · left lumbar; radiculopathyDoubtful
CHIDalen Terry · left calf; strainQuestionable
CHIJalen Smith · left hamstring; strainQuestionable
CHITre Jones · left ankle; sprainQuestionable
CHIZach Collins · left scaphoid; fractureQuestionable
CHIJulian Phillips · n/a; illnessProbable
CHILachlan Olbrich · left calf; contusionProbable
and 1 more

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 20+ games
BKN·CHI
−0.90
rating (0 = average)
−0.18
108.8
points / game
120.0
118.5
points allowed / game
123.2
4−16
season record
9−11
1−9
home record
6−2
3−7
away record
3−9
W1
streak
L4
3−7
last 10
3−7
44.0
FG%
47.5
33.9
3P%
37.6
39.2
rebounds / game
46.0
24.8
assists / game
29.4
15.2
turnovers / game
15.3
40.5
points in paint / game
54.3

Rating Trend

BKN · CHI · 36 days
Brooklyn NetsChicago Bulls
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CHI 5−5
Mar 13, 2025at CHICHI 116 − 110
Dec 2, 2024at CHICHI 128 − 102
Nov 1, 2024at BKNBKN 120 − 112
Mar 29, 2024at BKNBKN 125 − 108
Nov 26, 2023at BKNBKN 118 − 109
Nov 3, 2023at CHIBKN 109 − 107
Feb 24, 2023at CHICHI 131 − 87
Feb 9, 2023at BKNBKN 116 − 105
Jan 4, 2023at CHICHI 121 − 112
Nov 1, 2022at BKNCHI 108 − 99

BKN · Last 10

3−7 · streak W1
Dec 1, 2025vs CHA116 − 103W
Nov 29, 2025at MIL99 − 116L
Nov 28, 2025vs PHI103 − 115L
Nov 24, 2025vs NY100 − 113L
Nov 23, 2025at TOR109 − 119L
Nov 21, 2025at BOS113 − 105W
Nov 18, 2025vs BOS99 − 113L
Nov 16, 2025at WSH129 − 106W
Nov 14, 2025at ORL98 − 105L
Nov 11, 2025vs TOR109 − 119L

CHI · Last 10

3−7 · streak L4
Dec 1, 2025at ORL120 − 125L
Nov 29, 2025at IND101 − 103L
Nov 28, 2025at CHA116 − 123L
Nov 24, 2025at NO130 − 143L
Nov 22, 2025vs WSH121 − 120W
Nov 21, 2025vs MIA107 − 143L
Nov 19, 2025at POR122 − 121W
Nov 17, 2025at DEN130 − 127W
Nov 16, 2025at UTAH147 − 150L
Nov 12, 2025at DET113 − 124L