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Bulls at Pacers

NBA · Saturday, Nov 29 · 6:30 PM CT · Gainbridge Fieldhouse · Final CHI 101 – IND 103
← NBA / Nov 29, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHI27272621101
IND26352517103
Team box
CHI·IND
39-87
field goals
41-89
14-34
3-pointers
13-41
9-16
free throws
8-11
45
rebounds
44
24
assists
24
13
turnovers
13
40
points in paint
36
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Pascal SiakamIND362494
Bennedict MathurinIND381963
Josh GiddeyCHI3417117
Tre JonesCHI291712
Nikola VucevicCHI301686
Ayo DosunmuCHI351544

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
IND +11
CHI +11
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: IND 11 · CHI 7lead changes: 13

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHI 40%, IND 60% · Updated Nov 29, 2025

Expected margin
IND by 2.3
Expected score
IND 122.0 – 119.6 CHI
Expected total
241.6
BullsThe matchupPacers
+148Our fair odds−148
119.6Expected points122.0
−0.12Power rating+0.03
121.0Points / game110.1
124.2Allowed / game119.5
47.5FG%42.3
37.23P%31.6
46.2Rebounds / game45.3
9−9Season record3−16
3−7Last 102−8
Dalen Terry · Isaac Okoro
Jalen Smith · Noa Essengue
Zach CollinsOut (5 each)Aaron Nesmith · Johnny Furphy
Kam Jones · Obi Toppin
Quenton Jackson

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHI chance · IND chance
Our model fair40.3%59.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHIChicago Bulls+14840%————
INDIndiana Pacers−14860%————
SpreadIND by 2.3
CHIChicago Bulls+2.3our margin————
INDIndiana Pacers−2.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 241.6
Over241.6our total————
Under241.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Indiana Pacers by 2.3 expected
Chicago Bulls by 44 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Indiana Pacers by 1 point: 2%Indiana Pacers by 2 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 3 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 4 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 5 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 6 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 7 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 8 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 9 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 10 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 11 points: 3%Indiana Pacers by 12 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 13 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 14 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 15 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 16 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 17 points: 2%Indiana Pacers by 18 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 19 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 20 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 21 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 22 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 23 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 24 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 25 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 26 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 27 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 28 points: 1%Indiana Pacers by 29 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 30 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 31 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 32 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 33 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 34 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 35 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 36 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 37 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 38 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 39 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 40 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 41 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 42 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 43 points: <1%Indiana Pacers by 44 points: <1%
← CHI wins byIND wins by →
Indiana Pacers wins by 5 or more47%
Indiana Pacers wins by 10 or more32%
Indiana Pacers wins by 15 or more20%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Total range

241.6 expected
191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: <1%204 points: <1%205 points: <1%206 points: <1%207 points: <1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 1%221 points: 1%222 points: 1%223 points: 1%224 points: 1%225 points: 1%226 points: 1%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 2%250 points: 2%251 points: 2%252 points: 2%253 points: 2%254 points: 2%255 points: 2%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: 1%270 points: 1%271 points: 1%272 points: 1%273 points: 1%274 points: 1%275 points: 1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%296 points: <1%297 points: <1%298 points: <1%299 points: <1%300 points: <1%301 points: <1%302 points: <1%303 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 231.568%
Total over 241.549%
Total over 251.531%
Total from 232 to 25137%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Chicago Bulls
GKevin Huerterstarted
GAyo Dosunmustarted
GJosh Giddeystarted
FMatas Buzelisstarted
CNikola Vucevicstarted
Indiana Pacers
GAndrew Nembhardstarted
GBen Sheppardstarted
GBennedict Mathurinstarted
FPascal Siakamstarted
CJay Huffstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHI·IND
Nov 28, 2025 at CHA
last game
Nov 28, 2025 vs WSH
0 days
days of rest
0 days
yes
back-to-back
yes
3
games in last 7 days
3
3rd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 29, 5:00 PM ET
Chicago Bulls
CHIDalen Terry · left calf; strainOut
CHIIsaac Okoro · left lumbar; radiculopathyOut
CHIJalen Smith · left hamstring; strainOut
CHINoa Essengue · left shoulder; contusionOut
CHIZach Collins · left scaphoid; fractureOut
CHICoby White · right calf; strain, injury managementQuestionable
CHIAyo Dosunmu · n/a; illnessProbable
CHIJulian Phillips · n/a; illnessProbable
CHINikola Vucevic · right knee; patellofemoral syndromeProbable
CHIPatrick Williams · left wrist; sprainProbable
Indiana Pacers
INDAaron Nesmith · left knee mcl; sprainOut
INDJohnny Furphy · left ankle; sprainOut
INDKam Jones · strain lower back; stress reactionOut
INDObi Toppin · right foot; stress fractureOut
INDQuenton Jackson · right hamstring;Out
INDTyrese Haliburton · right achilles tendon; tearOut
INDAndrew Nembhard · right quad; contusionQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 18+ games
CHI·IND
−0.12
rating (0 = average)
+0.03
121.0
points / game
110.1
124.2
points allowed / game
119.5
9−9
season record
3−16
6−2
home record
3−6
3−7
away record
0−10
L2
streak
W1
3−7
last 10
2−8
47.5
FG%
42.3
37.2
3P%
31.6
46.2
rebounds / game
45.3
29.7
assists / game
23.5
15.2
turnovers / game
14.6
55.1
points in paint / game
46.2

Rating Trend

CHI · IND · 32 days
Chicago BullsIndiana Pacers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · IND 6−4
Mar 10, 2025at CHICHI 121 − 103
Mar 2, 2025at INDIND 127 − 112
Jan 8, 2025at INDIND 129 − 113
Dec 6, 2024at CHIIND 132 − 123
Mar 27, 2024at CHICHI 125 − 99
Mar 13, 2024at INDCHI 132 − 129
Dec 28, 2023at CHIIND 120 − 104
Oct 30, 2023at INDCHI 112 − 105
Mar 5, 2023at CHIIND 125 − 122
Feb 15, 2023at INDIND 117 − 113

CHI · Last 10

3−7 · streak L2
Nov 28, 2025at CHA116 − 123L
Nov 24, 2025at NO130 − 143L
Nov 22, 2025vs WSH121 − 120W
Nov 21, 2025vs MIA107 − 143L
Nov 19, 2025at POR122 − 121W
Nov 17, 2025at DEN130 − 127W
Nov 16, 2025at UTAH147 − 150L
Nov 12, 2025at DET113 − 124L
Nov 10, 2025vs SA117 − 121L
Nov 8, 2025at CLE122 − 128L

IND · Last 10

2−8 · streak W1
Nov 28, 2025vs WSH119 − 86W
Nov 26, 2025at TOR95 − 97L
Nov 24, 2025vs DET117 − 122L
Nov 21, 2025at CLE109 − 120L
Nov 19, 2025vs CHA127 − 118W
Nov 17, 2025at DET112 − 127L
Nov 15, 2025vs TOR111 − 129L
Nov 13, 2025at PHX98 − 133L
Nov 11, 2025at UTAH128 − 152L
Nov 9, 2025at GS83 − 114L