bayesRatings

Bulls at Hornets

NBA · Friday, Nov 28 · 6:30 PM CT · Spectrum Center · Final CHI 116 – CHA 123
← NBA / Nov 28, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHI29333222116
CHA32352630123
Team box
CHI·CHA
46-97
field goals
44-97
8-36
3-pointers
15-45
16-20
free throws
20-24
44
rebounds
46
31
assists
28
11
turnovers
14
74
points in paint
56
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Brandon MillerCHA322751
Josh GiddeyCHI3325119
Coby WhiteCHI292524
Miles BridgesCHA362287
Collin SextonCHA262143
LaMelo BallCHA291678

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CHA +13
CHI +13
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CHA 13 · CHI 4lead changes: 6

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHI 66%, CHA 34% · Updated Nov 28, 2025

Expected margin
CHI by 6.1
Expected score
CHI 120.3 – 114.2 CHA
Expected total
234.5
BullsThe matchupHornets
−197Our fair odds+197
120.3Expected points114.2
−0.12Power rating−1.06
121.3Points / game115.3
124.2Allowed / game120.9
47.5FG%45.7
38.13P%35.1
46.4Rebounds / game44.8
9−8Season record4−14
3−7Last 101−9
Emanuel Miller · Lachlan Olbrich
Noa Essengue · Trentyn Flowers
Zach CollinsOut (5 each)Antonio Reeves · Drew Peterson
Grant Williams · Josh Green
KJ Simpson

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHI chance · CHA chance
Our model fair66.3%33.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHIChicago Bulls−19766%————
CHACharlotte Hornets+19734%————
SpreadCHI by 6.1
CHIChicago Bulls−6.1our margin————
CHACharlotte Hornets+6.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 234.5
Over234.5our total————
Under234.5our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Chicago Bulls by 6.1 expected
Chicago Bulls by 47 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 46 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 45 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 44 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 3%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 1 point: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 2 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 3 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 4 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 5 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 6 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 7 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 8 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 9 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 10 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 11 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 12 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 13 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 14 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 15 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 16 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 17 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 18 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 19 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 20 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 21 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 22 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 23 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 24 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 25 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 26 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 27 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 28 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 29 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 30 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 31 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 32 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 33 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 34 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 35 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 36 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 37 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 38 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 39 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 40 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 41 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 42 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 43 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 44 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 45 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 46 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 47 points: <1%
← CHI wins byCHA wins by →
Chicago Bulls wins by 5 or more57%
Chicago Bulls wins by 10 or more41%
Chicago Bulls wins by 15 or more27%
Within 5 points either way23%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

234.5 expected
184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 224.568%
Total over 234.549%
Total over 244.530%
Total from 225 to 24438%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Chicago Bulls
GKevin Huerterstarted
GCoby Whitestarted
GJosh Giddeystarted
FMatas Buzelisstarted
CNikola Vucevicstarted
Charlotte Hornets
GLaMelo Ballstarted
GKon Knueppelstarted
FMiles Bridgesstarted
FBrandon Millerstarted
CRyan Kalkbrennerstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHI·CHA
Nov 24, 2025 at NO
last game
Nov 26, 2025 vs NY
3 days
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 28, 5:00 PM ET
Chicago Bulls
CHIEmanuel Miller · g league - two-wayOut
CHILachlan Olbrich · g league - two-wayOut
CHINoa Essengue · g league - on assignmentOut
CHITrentyn Flowers · g league - two-wayOut
CHIZach Collins · left scaphoid; fractureOut
CHIDalen Terry · left calf; strainDoubtful
CHIIsaac Okoro · left lumbar; radiculopathyDoubtful
CHIKevin Huerter · left pelvic; contusionQuestionable
CHINikola Vucevic · right patellofemoral; syndromeQuestionable
CHIPatrick Williams · left wrist; sprainQuestionable
and 1 more
Charlotte Hornets
CHAAntonio Reeves · g league - two-wayOut
CHADrew Peterson · g league - two-wayOut
CHAGrant Williams · right knee; surgeryOut
CHAJosh Green · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHAKJ Simpson · g league - two-wayOut
CHAPat Connaughton · right calf; strainOut
CHATidjane Salaun · g league - on assignmentOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 17+ games
CHI·CHA
−0.12
rating (0 = average)
−1.06
121.3
points / game
115.3
124.2
points allowed / game
120.9
9−8
season record
4−14
6−2
home record
3−6
3−6
away record
1−8
L1
streak
L7
3−7
last 10
1−9
47.5
FG%
45.7
38.1
3P%
35.1
46.4
rebounds / game
44.8
29.6
assists / game
25.6
15.4
turnovers / game
16.2
54.0
points in paint / game
49.0

Rating Trend

CHI · CHA · 31 days
Chicago BullsCharlotte Hornets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CHA 1−9
Apr 6, 2025at CHACHI 131 − 117
Jan 17, 2025at CHICHA 125 − 123
Dec 30, 2024at CHACHI 115 − 108
Dec 13, 2024at CHICHI 109 − 95
Jan 31, 2024at CHACHI 117 − 110
Jan 8, 2024at CHACHI 119 − 112
Jan 5, 2024at CHICHI 104 − 91
Dec 6, 2023at CHICHI 111 − 100
Mar 31, 2023at CHACHI 121 − 91
Feb 2, 2023at CHICHI 114 − 98

CHI · Last 10

3−7 · streak L1
Nov 24, 2025at NO130 − 143L
Nov 22, 2025vs WSH121 − 120W
Nov 21, 2025vs MIA107 − 143L
Nov 19, 2025at POR122 − 121W
Nov 17, 2025at DEN130 − 127W
Nov 16, 2025at UTAH147 − 150L
Nov 12, 2025at DET113 − 124L
Nov 10, 2025vs SA117 − 121L
Nov 8, 2025at CLE122 − 128L
Nov 7, 2025at MIL110 − 126L

CHA · Last 10

1−9 · streak L7
Nov 26, 2025vs NY101 − 129L
Nov 23, 2025at ATL110 − 113L
Nov 22, 2025vs LAC116 − 131L
Nov 19, 2025at IND118 − 127L
Nov 17, 2025at TOR108 − 110L
Nov 15, 2025vs OKC96 − 109L
Nov 14, 2025at MIL134 − 147L
Nov 12, 2025vs MIL111 − 100W
Nov 10, 2025vs LAL111 − 121L
Nov 7, 2025at MIA108 − 126L