bayesRatings

Knicks at Hornets

NBA · Wednesday, Nov 26 · 6:00 PM CT · Spectrum Center · Final NY 129 – CHA 101
← NBA / Nov 26, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
NY37352631129
CHA31162826101
Team box
NY·CHA
50-88
field goals
35-85
13-25
3-pointers
13-43
16-18
free throws
18-24
41
rebounds
35
26
assists
15
15
turnovers
17
64
points in paint
40
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jalen BrunsonNY343323
Josh HartNY342287
Karl-Anthony TownsNY3219103
Miles McBrideNY391933
Mikal BridgesNY361853
Brandon MillerCHA281843

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
CHA +31
NY +31
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: CHA 6 · NY 31lead changes: 1

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was NY 77%, CHA 23% · Updated Nov 26, 2025

Expected margin
NY by 9.9
Expected score
NY 116.8 – 106.9 CHA
Expected total
223.7
KnicksThe matchupHornets
−328Our fair odds+328
116.8Expected points106.9
+0.40Power rating−1.06
120.3Points / game116.2
115.1Allowed / game120.4
46.5FG%45.9
36.43P%35.4
46.1Rebounds / game45.4
10−6Season record4−13
7−3Last 101−9
Landry Shamet · OG AnunobyOutAntonio Reeves · Drew Peterson
Grant Williams · Josh Green
KJ Simpson

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NY chance · CHA chance
Our model fair76.7%23.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NYNew York Knicks−32877%————
CHACharlotte Hornets+32823%————
SpreadNY by 9.9
NYNew York Knicks−9.9our margin————
CHACharlotte Hornets+9.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 223.7
Over223.7our total————
Under223.7our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 9.9 expected
New York Knicks by 49 points: <1%New York Knicks by 48 points: <1%New York Knicks by 47 points: <1%New York Knicks by 46 points: <1%New York Knicks by 45 points: <1%New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: 1%New York Knicks by 36 points: 1%New York Knicks by 35 points: 1%New York Knicks by 34 points: 1%New York Knicks by 33 points: 1%New York Knicks by 32 points: 1%New York Knicks by 31 points: 1%New York Knicks by 30 points: 1%New York Knicks by 29 points: 1%New York Knicks by 28 points: 1%New York Knicks by 27 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 22 points: 1%New York Knicks by 21 points: 2%New York Knicks by 20 points: 2%New York Knicks by 19 points: 2%New York Knicks by 18 points: 2%New York Knicks by 17 points: 2%New York Knicks by 16 points: 3%New York Knicks by 15 points: 3%New York Knicks by 14 points: 3%New York Knicks by 13 points: 3%New York Knicks by 12 points: 3%New York Knicks by 11 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 4%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 3 points: 2%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 1 point: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 2 points: 2%Charlotte Hornets by 3 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 4 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 5 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 6 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 7 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 8 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 9 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 10 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 11 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 12 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 13 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 14 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 15 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 16 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 17 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 18 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 19 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 20 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 21 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 22 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 23 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 24 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 25 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 26 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 27 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 28 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 29 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 30 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 31 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 32 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 33 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 34 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 35 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 36 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 37 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 38 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 39 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 40 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 41 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 42 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 43 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 44 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 45 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 46 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 47 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 48 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 49 points: <1%
← NY wins byCHA wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more68%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more52%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more35%
Within 5 points either way19%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

223.7 expected
175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 213.570%
Total over 223.550%
Total over 233.530%
Total from 214 to 23339%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
New York Knicks
GJosh Hartstarted
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
GMiles McBridestarted
CKarl-Anthony Townsstarted
Charlotte Hornets
GLaMelo Ballstarted
GKon Knueppelstarted
FMiles Bridgesstarted
FBrandon Millerstarted
CRyan Kalkbrennerstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NY·CHA
Nov 24, 2025 at BKN
last game
Nov 23, 2025 at ATL
1 day
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
5th straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 25, 5:00 PM ET
New York Knicks
NYLandry Shamet · right shoulder; sprainOut
NYOG Anunoby · left hamstring; strainOut
Charlotte Hornets
CHAAntonio Reeves · g league - two-wayOut
CHADrew Peterson · g league - two-wayOut
CHAGrant Williams · right knee; surgeryOut
CHAJosh Green · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHAKJ Simpson · g league - two-wayOut
CHAPat Connaughton · right calf; strainOut
CHATidjane Salaun · g league - on assignmentOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 16+ games
NY·CHA
+0.40
rating (0 = average)
−1.06
120.3
points / game
116.2
115.1
points allowed / game
120.4
10−6
season record
4−13
8−1
home record
3−5
2−5
away record
1−8
W1
streak
L6
7−3
last 10
1−9
46.5
FG%
45.9
36.4
3P%
35.4
46.1
rebounds / game
45.4
27.4
assists / game
26.2
13.4
turnovers / game
16.2
47.4
points in paint / game
49.5

Rating Trend

NY · CHA · 30 days
New York KnicksCharlotte Hornets
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · CHA 2−8
Mar 20, 2025at CHACHA 115 − 98
Dec 5, 2024at NYNY 125 − 101
Nov 29, 2024at CHANY 99 − 98
Jan 29, 2024at CHANY 113 − 92
Nov 28, 2023at NYNY 115 − 91
Nov 18, 2023at CHANY 122 − 108
Nov 12, 2023at NYNY 129 − 107
Mar 7, 2023at NYCHA 112 − 105
Dec 9, 2022at CHANY 121 − 102
Oct 26, 2022at NYNY 134 − 131

NY · Last 10

7−3 · streak W1
Nov 24, 2025at BKN113 − 100W
Nov 22, 2025at ORL121 − 133L
Nov 19, 2025at DAL113 − 111W
Nov 17, 2025at MIA113 − 115L
Nov 14, 2025vs MIA140 − 132W
Nov 12, 2025vs ORL107 − 124L
Nov 11, 2025vs MEM133 − 120W
Nov 9, 2025vs BKN134 − 98W
Nov 5, 2025vs MIN137 − 114W
Nov 3, 2025vs WSH119 − 102W

CHA · Last 10

1−9 · streak L6
Nov 23, 2025at ATL110 − 113L
Nov 22, 2025vs LAC116 − 131L
Nov 19, 2025at IND118 − 127L
Nov 17, 2025at TOR108 − 110L
Nov 15, 2025vs OKC96 − 109L
Nov 14, 2025at MIL134 − 147L
Nov 12, 2025vs MIL111 − 100W
Nov 10, 2025vs LAL111 − 121L
Nov 7, 2025at MIA108 − 126L
Nov 4, 2025at NO112 − 116L