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Bulls at Magic

NBA · Monday, Dec 1 · 6:30 PM CT · Kia Center · Final CHI 120 – ORL 125

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHI26273235120
ORL29243240125
Team box
CHI·ORL
44-88
field goals
45-88
16-37
3-pointers
9-33
16-22
free throws
26-33
43
rebounds
46
30
assists
25
21
turnovers
18
54
points in paint
62
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Desmond BaneORL343765
Franz WagnerORL322562
Josh GiddeyCHI362296
Anthony BlackORL342293
Matas BuzelisCHI362164
Nikola VucevicCHI3420115

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
ORL +15
CHI +15
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: ORL 7 · CHI 15lead changes: 10

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHI 39%, ORL 61% · Updated Dec 1, 2025

Expected margin
ORL by 4.6
Expected score
ORL 115.9 – 111.3 CHI
Expected total
227.2
BullsThe matchupMagic
+158Our fair odds−158
111.3Expected points115.9
−0.12Power rating+0.10
119.9Points / game119.2
123.1Allowed / game114.0
47.4FG%47.6
37.43P%33.9
46.2Rebounds / game44.8
9−10Season record12−8
3−7Last 108−2
Coby White · Dalen Terry
Isaac Okoro · Jalen Smith
Noa Essengue
Out (5 each)Colin Castleton · Jamal Cain
Moritz Wagner · Orlando Robinson
Paolo Banchero

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHI chance · ORL chance
Our model fair38.8%61.2%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHIChicago Bulls+15839%————
ORLOrlando Magic−15861%————
SpreadORL by 4.6
CHIChicago Bulls+4.6our margin————
ORLOrlando Magic−4.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 227.2
Over227.2our total————
Under227.2our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Orlando Magic by 4.6 expected
Chicago Bulls by 46 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 45 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 44 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 43 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 42 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 41 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 40 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 39 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 38 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 37 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 36 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 35 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 34 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 33 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 32 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 31 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 30 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 29 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 28 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 27 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 26 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 25 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 24 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 23 points: <1%Chicago Bulls by 22 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 21 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 20 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 19 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 18 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 17 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 16 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 15 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 14 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 13 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 12 points: 1%Chicago Bulls by 11 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 10 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 9 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 8 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 7 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 6 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 5 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 4 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 3 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 2 points: 2%Chicago Bulls by 1 point: 2%Orlando Magic by 1 point: 2%Orlando Magic by 2 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 3 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 4 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 5 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 6 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 7 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 8 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 9 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 10 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 11 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 12 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 13 points: 3%Orlando Magic by 14 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 15 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 16 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 17 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 18 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 19 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 20 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 21 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 22 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 23 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 24 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 25 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 26 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 27 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 28 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 29 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 30 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 31 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 32 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 33 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 34 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 35 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 36 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 37 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 38 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 39 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 40 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 41 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 42 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 43 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 44 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 45 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 46 points: <1%
← CHI wins byORL wins by →
Orlando Magic wins by 5 or more53%
Orlando Magic wins by 10 or more37%
Orlando Magic wins by 15 or more24%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Total range

227.2 expected
178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 217.569%
Total over 227.549%
Total over 237.529%
Total from 218 to 23739%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,531 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Chicago Bulls
GAyo Dosunmustarted
GJosh Giddeystarted
Orlando Magic
GDesmond Banestarted
GJalen Suggsstarted
FFranz Wagnerstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHI·ORL
Nov 29, 2025 at IND
last game
Nov 28, 2025 at DET
1 day
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
2
4th straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 1, 5:00 PM ET
Chicago Bulls
CHICoby White · left calf; tightness; congestionOut
CHIDalen Terry · left calf; strainOut
CHIIsaac Okoro · left lumbar; radiculopathyOut
CHIJalen Smith · left hamstring; strainOut
CHINoa Essengue · left shoulder; contusionOut
CHIZach Collins · left scaphoid; fractureOut
Orlando Magic
ORLColin Castleton · g league - two-wayOut
ORLJamal Cain · g league - two-wayOut
ORLMoritz Wagner · left knee; injuryOut
ORLOrlando Robinson · g league - two-wayOut
ORLPaolo Banchero · left groin; strainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 19+ games
CHI·ORL
−0.12
rating (0 = average)
+0.10
119.9
points / game
119.2
123.1
points allowed / game
114.0
9−10
season record
12−8
6−2
home record
7−3
3−8
away record
5−5
L3
streak
W2
3−7
last 10
8−2
47.4
FG%
47.6
37.4
3P%
33.9
46.2
rebounds / game
44.8
29.4
assists / game
25.6
15.1
turnovers / game
14.8
54.3
points in paint / game
54.2

Rating Trend

CHI · ORL · 34 days
Chicago BullsOrlando Magic
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · ORL 6−4
Oct 25, 2025at ORLCHI 110 − 98
Mar 6, 2025at ORLCHI 125 − 123
Nov 27, 2024at ORLORL 133 − 119
Oct 30, 2024at CHICHI 102 − 99
Apr 7, 2024at ORLORL 113 − 98
Feb 10, 2024at ORLORL 114 − 108
Nov 17, 2023at CHIORL 103 − 97
Nov 15, 2023at CHIORL 96 − 94
Feb 13, 2023at CHIORL 100 − 91
Jan 28, 2023at ORLCHI 128 − 109

CHI · Last 10

3−7 · streak L3
Nov 29, 2025at IND101 − 103L
Nov 28, 2025at CHA116 − 123L
Nov 24, 2025at NO130 − 143L
Nov 22, 2025vs WSH121 − 120W
Nov 21, 2025vs MIA107 − 143L
Nov 19, 2025at POR122 − 121W
Nov 17, 2025at DEN130 − 127W
Nov 16, 2025at UTAH147 − 150L
Nov 12, 2025at DET113 − 124L
Nov 10, 2025vs SA117 − 121L

ORL · Last 10

8−2 · streak W2
Nov 28, 2025at DET112 − 109W
Nov 25, 2025at PHI144 − 103W
Nov 23, 2025at BOS129 − 138L
Nov 22, 2025vs NY133 − 121W
Nov 20, 2025vs LAC129 − 101W
Nov 18, 2025vs GS121 − 113W
Nov 16, 2025at HOU113 − 117L
Nov 14, 2025vs BKN105 − 98W
Nov 12, 2025at NY124 − 107W
Nov 10, 2025vs POR115 − 112W