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Magic at Pistons

NBA · Friday, Nov 28 · 6:30 PM CT · Little Caesars Arena · Final ORL 112 – DET 109
← NBA / Nov 28, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
ORL31283023112
DET33252625109
Team box
ORL·DET
40-97
field goals
37-84
5-30
3-pointers
11-28
27-32
free throws
24-31
44
rebounds
49
14
assists
22
14
turnovers
24
62
points in paint
46
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Cade CunninghamDET40391311
Desmond BaneORL393782
Franz WagnerORL362171
Tobias HarrisDET301851
Jalen DurenDET3116122
Anthony BlackORL321644

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
DET +13
ORL +13
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: DET 13 · ORL 10lead changes: 17

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was ORL 40%, DET 60% · Updated Nov 28, 2025

Expected margin
DET by 3.9
Expected score
DET 112.0 – 108.0 ORL
Expected total
220.0
MagicThe matchupPistons
+152Our fair odds−152
108.0Expected points112.0
+0.10Power rating+0.27
119.6Points / game119.3
114.3Allowed / game112.9
47.9FG%48.8
34.83P%35.3
44.8Rebounds / game46.4
11−8Season record15−3
7−3Last 109−1
Colin Castleton · Jamal Cain
Moritz Wagner · Orlando Robinson
Paolo BancheroOut (5 each)Bobi Klintman · Isaac Jones
Marcus Sasser · Tolu Smith
Wendell Moore Jr.

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
ORL chance · DET chance
Our model fair39.6%60.4%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
ORLOrlando Magic+15240%————
DETDetroit Pistons−15260%————
SpreadDET by 3.9
ORLOrlando Magic+3.9our margin————
DETDetroit Pistons−3.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 220.0
Over220.0our total————
Under220.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Detroit Pistons by 3.9 expected
Orlando Magic by 45 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 44 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 43 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 42 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 41 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 40 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 39 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 38 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 37 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 36 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 35 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 34 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 33 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 32 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 31 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 30 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 29 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 28 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 27 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 26 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 25 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 24 points: <1%Orlando Magic by 23 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 22 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 21 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 20 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 19 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 18 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 17 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 16 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 15 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 14 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 13 points: 1%Orlando Magic by 12 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 11 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 10 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 9 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 8 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 7 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 6 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 5 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 4 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 3 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 2 points: 2%Orlando Magic by 1 point: 2%Detroit Pistons by 1 point: 2%Detroit Pistons by 2 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 3 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 4 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 5 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 6 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 7 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 8 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 9 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 10 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 11 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 12 points: 3%Detroit Pistons by 13 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 14 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 15 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 16 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 17 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 18 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 19 points: 2%Detroit Pistons by 20 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 21 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 22 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 23 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 24 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 25 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 26 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 27 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 28 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 29 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 30 points: 1%Detroit Pistons by 31 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 32 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 33 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 34 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 35 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 36 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 37 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 38 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 39 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 40 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 41 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 42 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 43 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 44 points: <1%Detroit Pistons by 45 points: <1%
← ORL wins byDET wins by →
Detroit Pistons wins by 5 or more51%
Detroit Pistons wins by 10 or more36%
Detroit Pistons wins by 15 or more23%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

220.0 expected
173 points: <1%174 points: <1%175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: 1%188 points: 1%189 points: 1%190 points: 1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 2%206 points: 2%207 points: 2%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 1%237 points: 1%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: <1%254 points: <1%255 points: <1%256 points: <1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 210.568%
Total over 220.549%
Total over 230.529%
Total from 211 to 23039%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Orlando Magic
GDesmond Banestarted
GJalen Suggsstarted
FFranz Wagnerstarted
FTristan da Silvastarted
CWendell Carter Jr.started
Detroit Pistons
GCade Cunninghamstarted
GAusar Thompsonstarted
FTobias Harrisstarted
FDuncan Robinsonstarted
CJalen Durenstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
ORL·DET
Nov 25, 2025 at PHI
last game
Nov 26, 2025 at BOS
2 days
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
3rd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 28, 5:00 PM ET
Orlando Magic
ORLColin Castleton · g league - two-wayOut
ORLJamal Cain · g league - two-wayOut
ORLMoritz Wagner · left knee; injury recoveryOut
ORLOrlando Robinson · g league - two-wayOut
ORLPaolo Banchero · left groin; strainOut
Detroit Pistons
DETBobi Klintman · left ankle; sprainOut
DETIsaac Jones · g league - on assignmentOut
DETMarcus Sasser · right hip; impingementOut
DETTolu Smith · g league - two-wayOut
DETWendell Moore Jr. · g league - two-wayOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 18+ games
ORL·DET
+0.10
rating (0 = average)
+0.27
119.6
points / game
119.3
114.3
points allowed / game
112.9
11−8
season record
15−3
7−3
home record
8−1
4−5
away record
7−2
W1
streak
L1
7−3
last 10
9−1
47.9
FG%
48.8
34.8
3P%
35.3
44.8
rebounds / game
46.4
26.2
assists / game
26.6
14.8
turnovers / game
15.2
53.8
points in paint / game
58.1

Rating Trend

ORL · DET · 31 days
Orlando MagicDetroit Pistons
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · DET 2−8
Oct 29, 2025at DETDET 135 − 116
Jan 25, 2025at ORLORL 121 − 113
Jan 1, 2025at DETDET 105 − 96
Nov 23, 2024at ORLORL 111 − 100
Mar 3, 2024at ORLORL 113 − 91
Feb 24, 2024at DETORL 112 − 109
Feb 4, 2024at DETORL 111 − 99
Dec 8, 2023at ORLORL 123 − 91
Apr 2, 2023at ORLORL 128 − 102
Feb 23, 2023at ORLORL 108 − 106

ORL · Last 10

7−3 · streak W1
Nov 25, 2025at PHI144 − 103W
Nov 23, 2025at BOS129 − 138L
Nov 22, 2025vs NY133 − 121W
Nov 20, 2025vs LAC129 − 101W
Nov 18, 2025vs GS121 − 113W
Nov 16, 2025at HOU113 − 117L
Nov 14, 2025vs BKN105 − 98W
Nov 12, 2025at NY124 − 107W
Nov 10, 2025vs POR115 − 112W
Nov 9, 2025vs BOS107 − 111L

DET · Last 10

9−1 · streak L1
Nov 26, 2025at BOS114 − 117L
Nov 24, 2025at IND122 − 117W
Nov 22, 2025at MIL129 − 116W
Nov 18, 2025at ATL120 − 112W
Nov 17, 2025vs IND127 − 112W
Nov 14, 2025vs PHI114 − 105W
Nov 12, 2025vs CHI124 − 113W
Nov 10, 2025vs WSH137 − 135W
Nov 9, 2025at PHI111 − 108W
Nov 7, 2025at BKN125 − 107W