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Bucks at Knicks

NBA · Friday, Nov 28 · 6:30 PM CT · Madison Square Garden · Final MIL 109 – NY 118
← NBA / Nov 28, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
MIL37252621109
NY33283126118
Team box
MIL·NY
37-71
field goals
38-84
18-41
3-pointers
14-34
17-25
free throws
28-33
35
rebounds
44
24
assists
25
15
turnovers
13
36
points in paint
40
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Jalen BrunsonNY393715
Giannis AntetokounmpoMIL2830158
Kyle KuzmaMIL282043
Josh HartNY4019157
Miles McBrideNY331921
AJ GreenMIL391851

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NY +13
MIL +13
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: NY 13 · MIL 12lead changes: 18

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was MIL 35%, NY 65% · Updated Nov 28, 2025

Expected margin
NY by 5.6
Expected score
NY 117.5 – 112.0 MIL
Expected total
229.5
BucksThe matchupKnicks
+184Our fair odds−184
112.0Expected points117.5
+0.03Power rating+0.40
115.8Points / game120.8
118.6Allowed / game114.3
49.1FG%47.1
41.03P%37.4
40.0Rebounds / game45.8
8−11Season record11−6
2−8Last 107−3
Alex Antetokounmpo · Kevin Porter Jr.
Taurean PrinceOutLandry Shamet · OG Anunoby

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
MIL chance · NY chance
Our model fair35.2%64.8%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
MILMilwaukee Bucks+18435%————
NYNew York Knicks−18465%————
SpreadNY by 5.6
MILMilwaukee Bucks+5.6our margin————
NYNew York Knicks−5.6our margin————
Totalwe expect 229.5
Over229.5our total————
Under229.5our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 5.6 expected
Milwaukee Bucks by 47 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 46 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 45 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 44 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 43 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 42 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 41 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 40 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 39 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 38 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 37 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 36 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 35 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 34 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 33 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 32 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 31 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 30 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 29 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 28 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 27 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 26 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 25 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 24 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 23 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 22 points: <1%Milwaukee Bucks by 21 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 20 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 19 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 18 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 17 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 16 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 15 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 14 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 13 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 12 points: 1%Milwaukee Bucks by 11 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 10 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 9 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 8 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 7 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 6 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 5 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 4 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 3 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 2 points: 2%Milwaukee Bucks by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 3 points: 3%New York Knicks by 4 points: 3%New York Knicks by 5 points: 3%New York Knicks by 6 points: 3%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 11 points: 3%New York Knicks by 12 points: 3%New York Knicks by 13 points: 3%New York Knicks by 14 points: 2%New York Knicks by 15 points: 2%New York Knicks by 16 points: 2%New York Knicks by 17 points: 2%New York Knicks by 18 points: 2%New York Knicks by 19 points: 2%New York Knicks by 20 points: 2%New York Knicks by 21 points: 1%New York Knicks by 22 points: 1%New York Knicks by 23 points: 1%New York Knicks by 24 points: 1%New York Knicks by 25 points: 1%New York Knicks by 26 points: 1%New York Knicks by 27 points: 1%New York Knicks by 28 points: 1%New York Knicks by 29 points: 1%New York Knicks by 30 points: 1%New York Knicks by 31 points: 1%New York Knicks by 32 points: <1%New York Knicks by 33 points: <1%New York Knicks by 34 points: <1%New York Knicks by 35 points: <1%New York Knicks by 36 points: <1%New York Knicks by 37 points: <1%New York Knicks by 38 points: <1%New York Knicks by 39 points: <1%New York Knicks by 40 points: <1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%New York Knicks by 45 points: <1%New York Knicks by 46 points: <1%New York Knicks by 47 points: <1%
← MIL wins byNY wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more55%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more40%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more26%
Within 5 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

229.5 expected
180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 219.569%
Total over 229.549%
Total over 239.530%
Total from 220 to 23939%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Milwaukee Bucks
GGary Trent Jr.started
GAJ Greenstarted
GRyan Rollinsstarted
FGiannis Antetokounmpostarted
CMyles Turnerstarted
New York Knicks
GJosh Hartstarted
GMikal Bridgesstarted
GJalen Brunsonstarted
GMiles McBridestarted
CKarl-Anthony Townsstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
MIL·NY
Nov 26, 2025 at MIA
last game
Nov 26, 2025 at CHA
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
3
games in last 7 days
3
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Nov 28, 5:00 PM ET
Milwaukee Bucks
MILAlex Antetokounmpo · g league - two-wayOut
MILKevin Porter Jr. · right knee; meniscus surgeryOut
MILTaurean Prince · neck; surgeryOut
MILGiannis Antetokounmpo · left adductor; strainQuestionable
New York Knicks
NYLandry Shamet · right shoulder; sprainOut
NYOG Anunoby · left hamstring; strainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 17+ games
MIL·NY
+0.03
rating (0 = average)
+0.40
115.8
points / game
120.8
118.6
points allowed / game
114.3
8−11
season record
11−6
5−6
home record
8−1
3−5
away record
3−5
L6
streak
W2
2−8
last 10
7−3
49.1
FG%
47.1
41.0
3P%
37.4
40.0
rebounds / game
45.8
27.0
assists / game
27.3
14.5
turnovers / game
13.5
47.5
points in paint / game
48.4

Rating Trend

MIL · NY · 31 days
Milwaukee BucksNew York Knicks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · NY 5−5
Oct 28, 2025at MILMIL 121 − 111
Mar 28, 2025at MILNY 116 − 107
Jan 12, 2025at NYNY 140 − 106
Nov 8, 2024at NYNY 116 − 94
Apr 7, 2024at MILNY 122 − 109
Dec 25, 2023at NYNY 129 − 122
Dec 23, 2023at NYMIL 130 − 111
Dec 5, 2023at MILMIL 146 − 122
Nov 3, 2023at MILMIL 110 − 105
Jan 9, 2023at NYMIL 111 − 107

MIL · Last 10

2−8 · streak L6
Nov 26, 2025at MIA103 − 106L
Nov 24, 2025vs POR103 − 115L
Nov 22, 2025vs DET116 − 129L
Nov 20, 2025vs PHI114 − 123L
Nov 17, 2025at CLE106 − 118L
Nov 15, 2025vs LAL95 − 119L
Nov 14, 2025vs CHA147 − 134W
Nov 12, 2025at CHA100 − 111L
Nov 10, 2025at DAL116 − 114W
Nov 9, 2025vs HOU115 − 122L

NY · Last 10

7−3 · streak W2
Nov 26, 2025at CHA129 − 101W
Nov 24, 2025at BKN113 − 100W
Nov 22, 2025at ORL121 − 133L
Nov 19, 2025at DAL113 − 111W
Nov 17, 2025at MIA113 − 115L
Nov 14, 2025vs MIA140 − 132W
Nov 12, 2025vs ORL107 − 124L
Nov 11, 2025vs MEM133 − 120W
Nov 9, 2025vs BKN134 − 98W
Nov 5, 2025vs MIN137 − 114W