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Hornets at Knicks

NBA · Wednesday, Dec 3 · 6:30 PM CT · Madison Square Garden · Final CHA 104 – NY 119

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CHA12352829104
NY27263729119
Team box
CHA·NY
36-90
field goals
42-88
13-42
3-pointers
12-38
19-21
free throws
23-27
44
rebounds
44
19
assists
28
13
turnovers
9
40
points in paint
54
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Karl-Anthony TownsNY3935185
LaMelo BallCHA373489
Jalen BrunsonNY372625
Mikal BridgesNY361642
Josh HartNY371588
Miles McBrideNY341521

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
NY +22
CHA +22
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: NY 22 · CHA 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CHA 15%, NY 85% · Updated Dec 3, 2025

Expected margin
NY by 14.3
Expected score
NY 119.0 – 104.6 CHA
Expected total
223.6
HornetsThe matchupKnicks
+554Our fair odds−554
104.6Expected points119.0
−1.03Power rating+0.47
115.2Points / game120.2
120.0Allowed / game113.5
45.5FG%47.1
34.73P%37.8
44.4Rebounds / game45.8
6−15Season record13−7
2−8Last 106−4
Brandon Miller · Drew Peterson
Grant Williams · Josh Green
Pat Connaughton
OutLandry Shamet · Mitchell Robinson
OG Anunoby

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CHA chance · NY chance
Our model fair15.3%84.7%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
CHACharlotte Hornets+55415%————
NYNew York Knicks−55485%————
SpreadNY by 14.3
CHACharlotte Hornets+14.3our margin————
NYNew York Knicks−14.3our margin————
Totalwe expect 223.6
Over223.6our total————
Under223.6our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Knicks by 14.3 expected
Charlotte Hornets by 53 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 52 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 51 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 50 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 49 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 48 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 47 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 46 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 45 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 44 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 43 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 42 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 41 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 40 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 39 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 38 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 37 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 36 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 35 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 34 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 33 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 32 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 31 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 30 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 29 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 28 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 27 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 26 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 25 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 24 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 23 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 22 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 21 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 20 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 19 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 18 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 17 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 16 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 15 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 14 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 13 points: <1%Charlotte Hornets by 12 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 11 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 10 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 9 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 8 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 7 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 6 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 5 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 4 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 3 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 2 points: 1%Charlotte Hornets by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 1 point: 2%New York Knicks by 2 points: 2%New York Knicks by 3 points: 2%New York Knicks by 4 points: 2%New York Knicks by 5 points: 2%New York Knicks by 6 points: 2%New York Knicks by 7 points: 3%New York Knicks by 8 points: 3%New York Knicks by 9 points: 3%New York Knicks by 10 points: 3%New York Knicks by 11 points: 3%New York Knicks by 12 points: 3%New York Knicks by 13 points: 3%New York Knicks by 14 points: 3%New York Knicks by 15 points: 3%New York Knicks by 16 points: 3%New York Knicks by 17 points: 3%New York Knicks by 18 points: 3%New York Knicks by 19 points: 2%New York Knicks by 20 points: 2%New York Knicks by 21 points: 2%New York Knicks by 22 points: 2%New York Knicks by 23 points: 2%New York Knicks by 24 points: 2%New York Knicks by 25 points: 2%New York Knicks by 26 points: 2%New York Knicks by 27 points: 2%New York Knicks by 28 points: 2%New York Knicks by 29 points: 2%New York Knicks by 30 points: 2%New York Knicks by 31 points: 2%New York Knicks by 32 points: 2%New York Knicks by 33 points: 1%New York Knicks by 34 points: 1%New York Knicks by 35 points: 1%New York Knicks by 36 points: 1%New York Knicks by 37 points: 1%New York Knicks by 38 points: 1%New York Knicks by 39 points: 1%New York Knicks by 40 points: 1%New York Knicks by 41 points: <1%New York Knicks by 42 points: <1%New York Knicks by 43 points: <1%New York Knicks by 44 points: <1%New York Knicks by 45 points: <1%New York Knicks by 46 points: <1%New York Knicks by 47 points: <1%New York Knicks by 48 points: <1%New York Knicks by 49 points: <1%New York Knicks by 50 points: <1%New York Knicks by 51 points: <1%New York Knicks by 52 points: <1%New York Knicks by 53 points: <1%
← CHA wins byNY wins by →
New York Knicks wins by 5 or more76%
New York Knicks wins by 10 or more63%
New York Knicks wins by 15 or more48%
Within 5 points either way17%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

223.6 expected
175 points: <1%176 points: <1%177 points: <1%178 points: <1%179 points: <1%180 points: <1%181 points: <1%182 points: <1%183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: 1%192 points: 1%193 points: 1%194 points: 1%195 points: 1%196 points: 1%197 points: 1%198 points: 1%199 points: 1%200 points: 1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 2%209 points: 2%210 points: 2%211 points: 2%212 points: 2%213 points: 2%214 points: 2%215 points: 2%216 points: 2%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 1%239 points: 1%240 points: 1%241 points: 1%242 points: 1%243 points: 1%244 points: 1%245 points: 1%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: <1%258 points: <1%259 points: <1%260 points: <1%261 points: <1%262 points: <1%263 points: <1%264 points: <1%265 points: <1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 213.569%
Total over 223.550%
Total over 233.530%
Total from 214 to 23339%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Charlotte Hornets
GLaMelo Ballstarted
GSion Jamesstarted
GKon Knueppelstarted
New York Knicks
GJosh Hartstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CHA·NY
Dec 1, 2025 at BKN
last game
Dec 2, 2025 at BOS
1 day
days of rest
0 days
no
back-to-back
yes
4
games in last 7 days
4
2nd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 3, 5:00 PM ET
Charlotte Hornets
CHABrandon Miller · left shoulder; subluxationOut
CHADrew Peterson · g league - two-wayOut
CHAGrant Williams · right knee; surgeryOut
CHAJosh Green · left shoulder; surgeryOut
CHAPat Connaughton · right calf; strainOut
CHATre Mann · left ankle; impingementOut
CHALaMelo Ball · left wrist; sorenessProbable
New York Knicks
NYLandry Shamet · right shoulder; sprainOut
NYMitchell Robinson · left ankle; left ankle injury managementOut
NYOG Anunoby · left hamstring; strainOut
NYKevin McCullar Jr. · g league - two-wayQuestionable

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 20+ games
CHA·NY
−1.03
rating (0 = average)
+0.47
115.2
points / game
120.2
120.0
points allowed / game
113.5
6−15
season record
13−7
5−6
home record
10−1
1−9
away record
3−6
L1
streak
L1
2−8
last 10
6−4
45.5
FG%
47.1
34.7
3P%
37.8
44.4
rebounds / game
45.8
25.6
assists / game
27.2
15.9
turnovers / game
13.6
49.9
points in paint / game
47.6

Rating Trend

CHA · NY · 36 days
Charlotte HornetsNew York Knicks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · NY 8−2
Nov 26, 2025at CHANY 129 − 101
Mar 20, 2025at CHACHA 115 − 98
Dec 5, 2024at NYNY 125 − 101
Nov 29, 2024at CHANY 99 − 98
Jan 29, 2024at CHANY 113 − 92
Nov 28, 2023at NYNY 115 − 91
Nov 18, 2023at CHANY 122 − 108
Nov 12, 2023at NYNY 129 − 107
Mar 7, 2023at NYCHA 112 − 105
Dec 9, 2022at CHANY 121 − 102

CHA · Last 10

2−8 · streak L1
Dec 1, 2025at BKN103 − 116L
Nov 29, 2025vs TOR118 − 111W
Nov 28, 2025vs CHI123 − 116W
Nov 26, 2025vs NY101 − 129L
Nov 23, 2025at ATL110 − 113L
Nov 22, 2025vs LAC116 − 131L
Nov 19, 2025at IND118 − 127L
Nov 17, 2025at TOR108 − 110L
Nov 15, 2025vs OKC96 − 109L
Nov 14, 2025at MIL134 − 147L

NY · Last 10

6−4 · streak L1
Dec 2, 2025at BOS117 − 123L
Nov 30, 2025vs TOR116 − 94W
Nov 28, 2025vs MIL118 − 109W
Nov 26, 2025at CHA129 − 101W
Nov 24, 2025at BKN113 − 100W
Nov 22, 2025at ORL121 − 133L
Nov 19, 2025at DAL113 − 111W
Nov 17, 2025at MIA113 − 115L
Nov 14, 2025vs MIA140 − 132W
Nov 12, 2025vs ORL107 − 124L