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Wizards at Grizzlies

NBA · Saturday, Dec 20 · 7:00 PM CT · FedExForum · Final WSH 130 – MEM 122
← NBA / Dec 20, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
WSH25284235130
MEM30382727122
Team box
WSH·MEM
47-99
field goals
45-100
17-44
3-pointers
16-44
19-26
free throws
16-22
54
rebounds
48
32
assists
31
13
turnovers
14
44
points in paint
50
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Santi AldamaMEM3637102
Kyshawn GeorgeWSH392877
CJ McCollumWSH392856
Jaren Jackson Jr.MEM322283
Cam SpencerMEM3719411
Alex SarrWSH2618112

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
MEM +20
WSH +20
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: MEM 20 · WSH 8lead changes: 6

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was WSH 16%, MEM 84% · Updated Dec 20, 2025

Expected margin
MEM by 13.1
Expected score
MEM 124.5 – 111.4 WSH
Expected total
235.8
WizardsThe matchupGrizzlies
+522Our fair odds−522
111.4Expected points124.5
−1.39Power rating+0.07
112.0Points / game114.4
126.4Allowed / game115.2
46.1FG%45.1
36.13P%34.4
43.4Rebounds / game46.4
4−21Season record13−14
3−7Last 107−3
AJ Johnson · Bilal Coulibaly
Corey Kispert · Sharife CooperOutGG Jackson · Ja Morant
Jahmai Mashack · Javon Small
John Konchar

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
WSH chance · MEM chance
Our model fair16.1%83.9%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
WSHWashington Wizards+52216%————
MEMMemphis Grizzlies−52284%————
SpreadMEM by 13.1
WSHWashington Wizards+13.1our margin————
MEMMemphis Grizzlies−13.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 235.8
Over235.8our total————
Under235.8our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Memphis Grizzlies by 13.1 expected
Washington Wizards by 53 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 52 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 51 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 50 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 49 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 48 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 47 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 46 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 45 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 44 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 43 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 42 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 41 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 40 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 39 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 38 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 37 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 36 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 35 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 34 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 33 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 32 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 31 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 30 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 29 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 28 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 27 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 26 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 25 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 24 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 23 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 22 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 21 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 20 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 19 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 18 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 17 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 16 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 15 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 14 points: <1%Washington Wizards by 13 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 12 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 11 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 10 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 9 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 8 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 7 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 6 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 5 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 4 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 3 points: 1%Washington Wizards by 2 points: 2%Washington Wizards by 1 point: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 1 point: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 2 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 3 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 4 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 5 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 6 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 7 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 8 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 9 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 10 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 11 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 12 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 13 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 14 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 15 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 16 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 17 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 18 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 19 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 20 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 21 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 22 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 23 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 24 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 25 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 26 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 27 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 28 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 29 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 30 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 31 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 32 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 33 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 34 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 35 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 36 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 37 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 38 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 39 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 40 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 41 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 42 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 43 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 44 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 45 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 46 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 47 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 48 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 49 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 50 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 51 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 52 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 53 points: <1%
← WSH wins byMEM wins by →
Memphis Grizzlies wins by 5 or more74%
Memphis Grizzlies wins by 10 or more60%
Memphis Grizzlies wins by 15 or more44%
Within 5 points either way18%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

235.8 expected
186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: <1%202 points: <1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 1%218 points: 1%219 points: 1%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 2%247 points: 2%248 points: 2%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: 1%267 points: 1%268 points: 1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%291 points: <1%292 points: <1%293 points: <1%294 points: <1%295 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 225.569%
Total over 235.549%
Total over 245.531%
Total from 226 to 24538%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Washington Wizards
GCJ McCollumstarted
GBub Carringtonstarted
FKhris Middletonstarted
FKyshawn Georgestarted
CAlex Sarrstarted
Memphis Grizzlies
GCam Spencerstarted
FBrandon Clarkestarted
FJaren Jackson Jr.started
FCedric Cowardstarted
FJaylen Wellsstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
WSH·MEM
Dec 18, 2025 at SA
last game
Dec 17, 2025 at MIN
1 day
days of rest
2 days
no
back-to-back
no
2
games in last 7 days
2
3rd straight road game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 20, 5:00 PM ET
Washington Wizards
WSHAJ Johnson · g league - on assignmentOut
WSHBilal Coulibaly · left ankle; sprainOut
WSHCorey Kispert · right thumb; distal phalanx fractureOut
WSHSharife Cooper · g league - two-wayOut
WSHCam Whitmore · right shoulder; sorenessQuestionable
WSHJamir Watkins · n/a; illnessQuestionable
Memphis Grizzlies
MEMGG Jackson · g league - on assignmentOut
MEMJa Morant · left ankle; sprainOut
MEMJahmai Mashack · g league - two-wayOut
MEMJavon Small · left toe; turf toeOut
MEMJohn Konchar · left thumb; ucl surgery recoveryOut
MEMScotty Pippen Jr. · left great toe; surgery recoveryOut
MEMTy Jerome · right calf; strainOut
MEMVince Williams Jr. · left knee; sorenessOut
MEMZach Edey · left ankle; stress reactionOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 25+ games
WSH·MEM
−1.39
rating (0 = average)
+0.07
112.0
points / game
114.4
126.4
points allowed / game
115.2
4−21
season record
13−14
2−9
home record
6−7
2−12
away record
7−7
L1
streak
W2
3−7
last 10
7−3
46.1
FG%
45.1
36.1
3P%
34.4
43.4
rebounds / game
46.4
25.6
assists / game
28.8
16.2
turnovers / game
14.9
46.2
points in paint / game
49.0

Rating Trend

WSH · MEM · 53 days
Washington WizardsMemphis Grizzlies
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 8 meetings · MEM 5−3
Dec 8, 2024at WSHMEM 140 − 112
Nov 8, 2024at MEMMEM 128 − 104
Mar 12, 2024at MEMMEM 109 − 97
Oct 28, 2023at WSHWSH 113 − 106
Nov 13, 2022at WSHWSH 102 − 92
Nov 6, 2022at MEMMEM 103 − 97
Jan 29, 2022at MEMMEM 115 − 95
Nov 5, 2021at WSHWSH 115 − 87

WSH · Last 10

3−7 · streak L1
Dec 18, 2025at SA94 − 119L
Dec 14, 2025at IND108 − 89W
Dec 12, 2025vs CLE126 − 130L
Dec 6, 2025vs ATL116 − 131L
Dec 4, 2025vs BOS101 − 146L
Dec 2, 2025at PHI102 − 121L
Dec 1, 2025vs MIL129 − 126W
Nov 28, 2025at IND86 − 119L
Nov 25, 2025vs ATL132 − 113W
Nov 22, 2025at CHI120 − 121L

MEM · Last 10

7−3 · streak W2
Dec 17, 2025at MIN116 − 110W
Dec 15, 2025at LAC121 − 103W
Dec 12, 2025vs UTAH126 − 130L
Dec 7, 2025vs POR119 − 96W
Dec 5, 2025vs LAC107 − 98W
Dec 2, 2025at SA119 − 126L
Nov 30, 2025at SAC115 − 107W
Nov 28, 2025at LAC112 − 107W
Nov 26, 2025at NO133 − 128W
Nov 24, 2025vs DEN115 − 125L