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Trail Blazers at Grizzlies

NBA · Sunday, Dec 7 · 5:00 PM CT · FedExForum · Final POR 96 – MEM 119
← NBA / Dec 7, 2025

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
POR2026321896
MEM40262627119
Team box
POR·MEM
33-83
field goals
40-89
15-43
3-pointers
10-35
15-18
free throws
29-39
40
rebounds
51
21
assists
28
26
turnovers
23
34
points in paint
52
Top performers
PlayerTeamMINPTSREBAST
Santi AldamaMEM282271
Jerami GrantPOR322173
Deni AvdijaPOR311777
Shaedon SharpePOR271722
Jaylen WellsMEM261653
Kentavious Caldwell-PopeMEM231625

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
MEM +26
POR +26
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: MEM 26 · POR 1lead changes: 2

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was POR 38%, MEM 62% · Updated Dec 7, 2025

Expected margin
MEM by 3.9
Expected score
MEM 118.5 – 114.5 POR
Expected total
233.0
Trail BlazersThe matchupGrizzlies
+165Our fair odds−165
114.5Expected points118.5
−0.24Power rating+0.03
118.3Points / game113.3
120.7Allowed / game116.1
44.5FG%44.9
33.03P%33.9
46.0Rebounds / game46.3
9−14Season record10−13
3−7Last 106−4
Blake Wesley · Damian Lillard
Donovan Clingan · Jrue Holiday
Matisse ThybulleOut (5 each)Brandon Clarke · GG Jackson
Ja Morant · Javon Small
Scotty Pippen Jr.

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
POR chance · MEM chance
Our model fair37.7%62.3%
Kalshino two-sided price
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi Polymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
PORPortland Trail Blazers+16538%————
MEMMemphis Grizzlies−16562%————
SpreadMEM by 3.9
PORPortland Trail Blazers+3.9our margin————
MEMMemphis Grizzlies−3.9our margin————
Totalwe expect 233.0
Over233.0our total————
Under233.0our total————

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Memphis Grizzlies by 3.9 expected
Portland Trail Blazers by 45 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 44 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 43 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 42 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 41 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 40 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 39 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 38 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 37 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 36 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 35 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 34 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 33 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 32 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 31 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 30 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 29 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 28 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 27 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 26 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 25 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 24 points: <1%Portland Trail Blazers by 23 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 22 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 21 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 20 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 19 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 18 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 17 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 16 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 15 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 14 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 13 points: 1%Portland Trail Blazers by 12 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 11 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 10 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 9 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 8 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 7 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 6 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 5 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 4 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 3 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 2 points: 2%Portland Trail Blazers by 1 point: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 1 point: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 2 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 3 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 4 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 5 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 6 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 7 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 8 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 9 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 10 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 11 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 12 points: 3%Memphis Grizzlies by 13 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 14 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 15 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 16 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 17 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 18 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 19 points: 2%Memphis Grizzlies by 20 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 21 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 22 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 23 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 24 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 25 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 26 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 27 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 28 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 29 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 30 points: 1%Memphis Grizzlies by 31 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 32 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 33 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 34 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 35 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 36 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 37 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 38 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 39 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 40 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 41 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 42 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 43 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 44 points: <1%Memphis Grizzlies by 45 points: <1%
← POR wins byMEM wins by →
Memphis Grizzlies wins by 5 or more51%
Memphis Grizzlies wins by 10 or more36%
Memphis Grizzlies wins by 15 or more23%
Within 5 points either way25%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Total range

233.0 expected
183 points: <1%184 points: <1%185 points: <1%186 points: <1%187 points: <1%188 points: <1%189 points: <1%190 points: <1%191 points: <1%192 points: <1%193 points: <1%194 points: <1%195 points: <1%196 points: <1%197 points: <1%198 points: <1%199 points: <1%200 points: <1%201 points: 1%202 points: 1%203 points: 1%204 points: 1%205 points: 1%206 points: 1%207 points: 1%208 points: 1%209 points: 1%210 points: 1%211 points: 1%212 points: 1%213 points: 1%214 points: 1%215 points: 1%216 points: 1%217 points: 2%218 points: 2%219 points: 2%220 points: 2%221 points: 2%222 points: 2%223 points: 2%224 points: 2%225 points: 2%226 points: 2%227 points: 2%228 points: 2%229 points: 2%230 points: 2%231 points: 2%232 points: 2%233 points: 2%234 points: 2%235 points: 2%236 points: 2%237 points: 2%238 points: 2%239 points: 2%240 points: 2%241 points: 2%242 points: 2%243 points: 2%244 points: 2%245 points: 2%246 points: 1%247 points: 1%248 points: 1%249 points: 1%250 points: 1%251 points: 1%252 points: 1%253 points: 1%254 points: 1%255 points: 1%256 points: 1%257 points: 1%258 points: 1%259 points: 1%260 points: 1%261 points: 1%262 points: 1%263 points: 1%264 points: 1%265 points: 1%266 points: <1%267 points: <1%268 points: <1%269 points: <1%270 points: <1%271 points: <1%272 points: <1%273 points: <1%274 points: <1%275 points: <1%276 points: <1%277 points: <1%278 points: <1%279 points: <1%280 points: <1%281 points: <1%282 points: <1%283 points: <1%284 points: <1%285 points: <1%286 points: <1%287 points: <1%288 points: <1%289 points: <1%290 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 223.568%
Total over 233.548%
Total over 243.529%
Total from 224 to 24338%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 6,530 past NBA games.

Starting Lineups

from the box score
Portland Trail Blazers
GSidy Cissokostarted
FJerami Grantstarted
FToumani Camarastarted
FDeni Avdijastarted
CYang Hansenstarted
Memphis Grizzlies
GVince Williams Jr.started
FJaren Jackson Jr.started
FCedric Cowardstarted
FJaylen Wellsstarted
CZach Edeystarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
POR·MEM
Dec 5, 2025 at DET
last game
Dec 5, 2025 vs LAC
1 day
days of rest
1 day
no
back-to-back
no
4
games in last 7 days
3
4th straight road game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

NBA official injury report · Dec 7, 5:00 PM ET
Portland Trail Blazers
PORBlake Wesley · right foot; fractureOut
PORDamian Lillard · left achilles tendon; injury managementOut
PORDonovan Clingan · left lower leg; contusionOut
PORJrue Holiday · right calf; strainOut
PORMatisse Thybulle · left thumb; ligament tearOut
PORRobert Williams III · illness; .Out
PORScoot Henderson · left hamstring; tearOut
Memphis Grizzlies
MEMBrandon Clarke · right knee; surgery recoveryOut
MEMGG Jackson · g league - on assignmentOut
MEMJa Morant · right calf; strainOut
MEMJavon Small · left toe; turf toeOut
MEMScotty Pippen Jr. · left great toe; surgery recoveryOut
MEMTy Jerome · right calf; strainOut

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2025–26 season · box-score averages from 23+ games
POR·MEM
−0.24
rating (0 = average)
+0.03
118.3
points / game
113.3
120.7
points allowed / game
116.1
9−14
season record
10−13
3−6
home record
5−6
6−8
away record
5−7
L1
streak
W1
3−7
last 10
6−4
44.5
FG%
44.9
33.0
3P%
33.9
46.0
rebounds / game
46.3
24.8
assists / game
28.7
16.6
turnovers / game
14.7
50.3
points in paint / game
48.9

Rating Trend

POR · MEM · 40 days
Portland Trail BlazersMemphis Grizzlies
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · MEM 5−5
Mar 19, 2025at PORPOR 115 − 99
Nov 25, 2024at MEMMEM 123 − 98
Nov 10, 2024at PORMEM 134 − 89
Mar 2, 2024at MEMPOR 107 − 100
Mar 1, 2024at MEMPOR 122 − 92
Nov 5, 2023at PORMEM 112 − 100
Nov 3, 2023at PORPOR 115 − 113
Apr 4, 2023at MEMMEM 119 − 109
Feb 1, 2023at MEMPOR 122 − 112
Nov 2, 2022at PORMEM 111 − 106

POR · Last 10

3−7 · streak L1
Dec 5, 2025at DET116 − 122L
Dec 3, 2025at CLE122 − 110W
Dec 2, 2025at TOR118 − 121L
Nov 30, 2025vs OKC115 − 123L
Nov 26, 2025vs SA102 − 115L
Nov 24, 2025at MIL115 − 103W
Nov 23, 2025at OKC95 − 122L
Nov 21, 2025at GS127 − 123W
Nov 19, 2025vs CHI121 − 122L
Nov 18, 2025vs PHX110 − 127L

MEM · Last 10

6−4 · streak W1
Dec 5, 2025vs LAC107 − 98W
Dec 2, 2025at SA119 − 126L
Nov 30, 2025at SAC115 − 107W
Nov 28, 2025at LAC112 − 107W
Nov 26, 2025at NO133 − 128W
Nov 24, 2025vs DEN115 − 125L
Nov 22, 2025at DAL102 − 96W
Nov 20, 2025vs SAC137 − 96W
Nov 18, 2025at SA101 − 111L
Nov 15, 2025at CLE100 − 108L